Result
1:0
11/08/2024 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- BRAZIL: Serie A - Round 22
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Brazil | Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Chile | MEGOGO |
Indonesia | Mola TV |
Peru | L1 Play |
World | Amazon Prime Video, Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.37 | 0.50 |
Ball Possession |
---|
47% | 53% |
Goal Attempts |
---|
11 | 12 |
Shots on Goal |
---|
6 | 6 |
Shots off Goal |
---|
2 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
3 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
7 | 17 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 1 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 0 |
Throw-ins |
---|
24 | 21 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
6 | 5 |
Fouls |
---|
13 | 8 |
Total Passes |
---|
3 | 2 |
Completed Passes |
---|
1 | 1 |
Attacks |
---|
102 | 118 |
Dangerous Attacks |
---|
36 | 46 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 15', 1 - 0, Andre Silva ⚽, Wellington Rato (A),
- 42', Zubeldia L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Cruz A. ↓, Campbell J. ↑,
- 46', Derek ↓, Jan Hurtado ↑,
- 53', Baralhas 🟨,
- 59', Liziero 🟨,
- 67', Liziero ↓, Bobadilla D. ↑,
- 72', Michel Araujo ↓, Luciano ↑,
- 72', Joao Moreira ↓, Robert Arboleda ↑,
- 77', Baralhas ↓, Eli ↑,
- 80', Marcos Antonio ↓, Ferreirinha ↑,
- 81', Wellington Rato ↓, Erick ↑,
- 87', Maguinho ↓, Luiz Felipe ↑,
Chances of winning
São Paulo 53% | Draw 27.4% | Atlético Goianiense 19.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
São Paulo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that São Paulo's form might have worsened.Atlético Goianiense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlético Goianiense's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Paulo than the current prediction. (+11.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for São Paulo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Goianiense than the current prediction. (-5.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlético Goianiense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
São Paulo - Atlético Goianiense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.79 ↑ (1.49) |
3.51 ↓ (4.19) |
4.94 ↓ (6.72) |
4.6% (5.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for São Paulo - Atlético Goianiense?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. São Paulo will win (votes: 13 - 76.5%). Atlético GO will win (votes: 3 - 17.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for São Paulo: 56.3% – 96.7%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: ) and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches São Paulo won 4.
- Recent matches São Paulo is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Atlético GO is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Atlético GO could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match São Paulo is a favorite.
- There will not play in São Paulo: Pablo Maia
(Injury)
- There will not play in Atlético GO: Bruno Tubarao
(Injury)
Janderson
(Red Card)
- Last 12 head-to-head matches São Paulo won 8 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 22-12.
- Including matches at home between the teams São Paulo won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 14-4.
How many head-to-head matches has São Paulo won against Atlético Goianiense?
São Paulo has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Goianiense won against São Paulo?
Atlético Goianiense has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between São Paulo - Atlético Goianiense were as follows:
21.04.2024
Atlético Goianiense
-
São Paulo
0:3
27.10.2022
São Paulo
-
Atlético Goianiense
2:1
08.09.2022
São Paulo
-
Atlético Goianiense
3:0
01.09.2022
Atlético Goianiense
-
São Paulo
3:1
Latest results of São Paulo
Latest results of Atlético Goianiense
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Flamengo RJ | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 36:9 | 27 | 43 |
2 | Palmeiras | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 24:15 | 9 | 39 |
3 | Cruzeiro | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 32:14 | 18 | 38 |
4 | Bahia | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 25:17 | 8 | 33 |
5 | Botafogo RJ | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 23:11 | 12 | 29 |
6 | Mirassol | 18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 29:19 | 10 | 29 |
7 | Sao Paulo | 20 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 24:22 | 2 | 29 |
8 | Fluminense | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 23:24 | -1 | 27 |
9 | Bragantino | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 22:26 | -4 | 27 |
10 | Ceara | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 19:19 | 0 | 25 |
11 | Atletico-MG | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 20:21 | -1 | 24 |
12 | Internacional | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 22:26 | -4 | 24 |
13 | Gremio | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 19:25 | -6 | 23 |
14 | Corinthians | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 19:25 | -6 | 22 |
15 | Santos | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 20:29 | -9 | 21 |
16 | Vasco | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 25:26 | -1 | 19 |
17 | Vitoria | 20 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 18:24 | -6 | 19 |
18 | Juventude | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 17:38 | -21 | 18 |
19 | Fortaleza | 19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 19:31 | -12 | 15 |
20 | Sport Recife | 18 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 12:27 | -15 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet