São Paulo vs Atlético Goianiense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie A São Paulo - Atlético Goianiense
Result
1:0
11/08/2024 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: Serie A - Round 22
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
chileChileMEGOGO
indonesiaIndonesiaMola TV
peruPeruL1 Play
worldWorldAmazon Prime Video, Fanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.370.50
Ball Possession
47%53%
Goal Attempts
1112
Shots on Goal
66
Shots off Goal
24
Blocked Shots
32
Free Kicks
717
Corner Kicks
31
Offsides
00
Throw-ins
2421
Goalkeeper Saves
65
Fouls
138
Total Passes
32
Completed Passes
11
Attacks
102118
Dangerous Attacks
3646

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 15', 1 - 0, Andre Silva , Wellington Rato (A),
  • 42', Zubeldia L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Cruz A. , Campbell J. ,
  • 46', Derek , Jan Hurtado ,
  • 53', Baralhas 🟨,
  • 59', Liziero 🟨,
  • 67', Liziero , Bobadilla D. ,
  • 72', Michel Araujo , Luciano ,
  • 72', Joao Moreira , Robert Arboleda ,
  • 77', Baralhas , Eli ,
  • 80', Marcos Antonio , Ferreirinha ,
  • 81', Wellington Rato , Erick ,
  • 87', Maguinho , Luiz Felipe ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


São Paulo
53%
Draw
27.4%
Atlético Goianiense
19.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
63.4% 22.6% 14.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.6% 22.2% 13.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • São Paulo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that São Paulo's form might have worsened.
  • Atlético Goianiense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlético Goianiense's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Paulo than the current prediction. (+11.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for São Paulo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Goianiense than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlético Goianiense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • São Paulo - Atlético Goianiense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.79
    (1.49)
    3.51
    (4.19)
    4.94
    (6.72)
    4.6%
    (5.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for São Paulo - Atlético Goianiense?
  • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. São Paulo will win (votes: 13 - 76.5%). Atlético GO will win (votes: 3 - 17.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for São Paulo: 56.3%96.7%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: ) and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches São Paulo won 4.
    • Recent matches São Paulo is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Atlético GO is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Atlético GO could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match São Paulo is a favorite.
    • There will not play in São Paulo: Pablo Maia (Injury)
    • There will not play in Atlético GO: Bruno Tubarao (Injury) Janderson (Red Card)
    • Last 12 head-to-head matches São Paulo won 8 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 22-12.
    • Including matches at home between the teams São Paulo won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 14-4.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between São Paulo - Atlético Goianiense were as follows:
    21.04.2024 Atlético Goianiense - São Paulo 0:3
    27.10.2022 São Paulo - Atlético Goianiense 2:1
    08.09.2022 São Paulo - Atlético Goianiense 3:0
    01.09.2022 Atlético Goianiense - São Paulo 3:1
    Latest results of São Paulo
    08.08.2024 Goiás - São Paulo 0:0
    03.08.2024 São Paulo - Flamengo 1:0
    30.07.2024 São Paulo - Goiás 2:0
    27.07.2024 Fortaleza - São Paulo 1:0
    24.07.2024 São Paulo - Botafogo RJ 2:2
    Latest results of Atlético Goianiense
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo RJ19134236:92743
    2Palmeiras18123324:15939
    3Cruzeiro20115432:141838
    4Bahia1896325:17833
    5Botafogo RJ1885523:111229
    6Mirassol1878329:191029
    7Sao Paulo2078524:22229
    8Fluminense1883723:24-127
    9Bragantino2083922:26-427
    10Ceara1974819:19025
    11Atletico-MG1866620:21-124
    12Internacional1966722:26-424
    13Gremio1965819:25-623
    14Corinthians2057819:25-622
    15Santos19631020:29-921
    16Vasco19541025:26-119
    17Vitoria20310718:24-619
    18Juventude19531117:38-2118
    19Fortaleza19361019:31-1215
    20Sport Recife18171012:27-1510

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet