Alianza Lima vs Atlético Grau – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Peruvian Liga 1 Alianza Lima - Atlético Grau
Result
2:1
01/10/2025 at 21:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 12
  • Referee: Quiroz J. C. (Per)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
peruPeruLiga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play
usaUsaFanatiz, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.041.50
Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
1618
Shots on target
63
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
39
Passes
79% (347/442)75% (262/348)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
2.041.50
xG on target (xGOT)
2.300.81
Total shots
1618
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
87
Blocked Shots
28
Shots inside the Box
813
Shots outside the Box
85
Hit the Woodwork
30
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
39
Touches in opposition box
2516
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
814
Passes
79% (347/442)75% (262/348)
Long passes
53% (35/66)37% (25/67)
Passes in final third
64% (76/118)63% (66/105)
Crosses
31% (4/13)25% (4/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.440.77
Throw-ins
1914
Fouls
148
Tackles
82% (9/11)100% (9/9)
Duels won
4646
Clearances
1733
Interceptions
511
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
0.812.30
Goals prevented
-0.190.30

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 13', 0 - 1, Bandiera N. , de la Cruz P. (A),
  • 25', Bolivar J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 53', 1 - 1, Cantero A. , Paolo Guerrero (A),
  • 55', 2 - 1, Estrada J. ,
  • 57', Guarderas R. , Reyes J. ,
  • 69', Garro J. , Vilca R. ,
  • 69', Sandoval T. , Ruidiaz R. ,
  • 76', Ceppelini P. 🟨,
  • 76', Ceppelini P. , Castillo J. ,
  • 76', Paolo Guerrero , Barcos H. ,
  • 78', Bandiera N. , Herrera Joel ,
  • 78', de la Cruz P. , Vasquez A. ,
  • 83', Cantero A. , Gentile G. ,
  • 83', Quevedo K. , Archimbaud J. ,
  • 88', Ruidiaz R. 🟨,
  • 89', Gaibor F. , Pena S. ,

Chances of winning


Alianza Lima
63.6%
Draw
22.8%
Atlético Grau
13.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64% 21.7% 14.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.2% 21% 13.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alianza Lima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • Atlético Grau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Lima than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Grau than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • Alianza Lima - Atlético Grau Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.47
    (1.46)
    4.13
    (4.32)
    6.96
    (6.54)
    6.8%
    (7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Alianza Lima - Atlético Grau?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Alianza Lima will win (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Alianza Lima (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alianza Lima won 3.
    • Recent form of Alianza Lima has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Grau is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Grau may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Alianza Lima is the undisputed favorite.
    • There will not play in Alianza Lima: Castillo E. (Red Card) Zambrano C. (Red Card)
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Alianza Lima won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:5. (average 1.4:0.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Alianza Lima won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 1.5:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Alianza Lima - Atlético Grau were as follows:
    10.05.2025 Atlético Grau - Alianza Lima 1:1
    18.09.2024 Atlético Grau - Alianza Lima 1:0
    14.04.2024 Alianza Lima - Atlético Grau 2:0
    23.06.2023 Alianza Lima - Atlético Grau 2:0
    26.03.2023 Atlético Grau - Alianza Lima 1:2
    Latest results of Alianza Lima
    Latest results of Atlético Grau
    Peruvian Liga 1 Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1U. de Deportes1183020:81227
    2Cusco1171318:10822
    3AD Tarma1262415:15020
    4Sporting Cristal1154220:81219
    5Alianza Lima1153317:12518
    6Deportivo Garcilaso1146114:12218
    7FBC Melgar1245318:13517
    8Sport Huancayo1343623:22115
    9Cienciano1143416:15115
    10Comerciantes Unidos1143413:16-315
    11Los Chankas1050514:23-915
    12Grau1142516:15114
    13Sport Boys1233610:16-612
    14Juan Pablo II102539:11-211
    15Alianza Atl102446:6010
    16Ayacucho113178:17-910
    17Alianza Huanuco1131712:23-1110
    18Cajamarca111379:16-76
    19Binacional00000:000

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