Result
1:1
10/05/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 12
- Referee: Ordonez E. (Per)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Peru | L1 Max, Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 1.20 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (238/341) | 79% (371/470) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 1.20 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.53 | 1.24 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 14 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 9 | 29 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (238/341) | 79% (371/470) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 37% (30/81) | 44% (31/70) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (43/76) | 53% (69/129) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (3/13) | 33% (6/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.72 | 1.06 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 88% (14/16) | 75% (6/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 61 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 48 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.24 | 0.53 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.24 | -0.47 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 18', 1 - 0, Bandiera N. ⚽, F. Rojas (A),
- 41', Soto D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 51', Garces R. 🟨,
- 58', Garces R. 🟨,
- 63', D'Arrigo J. ↓, Quevedo K. ↑,
- 63', Ceppelini P. ↓, Cari P. ↑,
- 72', Vilca R. 🟨,
- 75', Bandiera N. ↓, Olivares C. ↑,
- 75', Franco D. ↓, Reyes J. ↑,
- 75', Ruidiaz R. ↓, Sandoval T. ↑,
- 76', F. Rojas 🟨,
- 81', Enrique G. ↓, Huaman M. ↑,
- 81', Trauco M. ↓, Lagos R. ↑,
- 84', Vilca R. ↓, Rodas E. ↑,
- 85', 1 - 1, Barcos H. ⚽, Huaman M. (A),
Chances of winning
Atlético Grau
19.9% | Draw
27.1% | Alianza Lima
53.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Grau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético Grau's form might have worsened.Alianza Lima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alianza Lima's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Grau than the current prediction. (+10.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Grau, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Lima than the current prediction. (-11.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alianza Lima, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Atlético Grau - Alianza Lima Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.73 ↑
(3) |
3.44 ↑
(3.25) |
1.76 ↓
(2.35) |
6.9%
(6.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Atlético Grau - Alianza Lima?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Grau will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Alianza Lima will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Grau (votes: 1 - 50%). Alianza Lima (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 and 5).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grau won 1.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Grau may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Alianza Lima has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Alianza Lima is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Grau won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 4:10. (average 0.6:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Grau won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Grau won against Alianza Lima?
Atlético Grau has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alianza Lima won against Atlético Grau?
Alianza Lima has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Grau - Alianza Lima were as follows:
18.09.2024
Atlético Grau
-
Alianza Lima
1:0
14.04.2024
Alianza Lima
-
Atlético Grau
2:0
23.06.2023
Alianza Lima
-
Atlético Grau
2:0
26.03.2023
Atlético Grau
-
Alianza Lima
1:2
Latest results of Atlético Grau
Latest results of Alianza Lima
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sporting Cristal | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
| 2 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
| 3 | Juan Pablo II | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
| 4 | U. de Deportes | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Cusco | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | FBC Melgar | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Grau | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | AD Tarma | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Alianza Atl | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Sport Huancayo | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Binacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Ayacucho | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 13 | Cajamarca | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Cienciano | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 | Comerciantes Unidos | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 16 | Alianza Lima | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 17 | Sport Boys | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
| 18 | Alianza Huanuco | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
| 19 | Los Chankas | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )
