Result
1:0
06/03/2026 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 6
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play, Movistar TV App |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.51 | 0.41 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (239/335) | 80% (381/478) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.51 | 0.41 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.03 | 0.02 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (239/335) | 80% (381/478) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 17% (8/46) | 46% (39/84) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (72/108) | 51% (71/139) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 42% (5/12) | 31% (5/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 0.85 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 8 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (14/20) | 59% (13/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 32 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.02 | 1.03 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.02 | 0.03 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 36', 1 - 0, Alvarez P. (Penalty Awarded),
- 37', Tapia R. 🟨,
- 42', Neira C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Pineau S. ↓, Orejuela J. G. ↑,
- 52', Rodriguez A. 🟨,
- 57', Rodriguez A. ↓, Barcos H. ↑,
- 57', Miguez P. ↓, Betancourt J. ↑,
- 60', Camargo I. 🟨,
- 69', Camargo I. ↓, Vásquez C. ↑,
- 69', Franco E. ↓, de la Cruz A. ↑,
- 73', Barreto D. ↓, Correa E. ↑,
- 73', Delgadillo N. ↓, Flores A. ↑,
- 75', Arrasco M. ↓, Palacios B. ↑,
- 84', Neira C. ↓, Espinoza H. ↑,
Chances of winning
Atlético Grau
50.4% | Draw
28.9% | Cajamarca
20.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Grau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)Cajamarca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Grau than the current prediction. (+5.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Grau, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cajamarca than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
Atlético Grau - Cajamarca Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.84 ↑
(1.72) |
3.2 ↓
(3.57) |
4.48 ↓
(4.78) |
8.1%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Atlético Grau - Cajamarca?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Grau (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Atlético Grau will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 and 12).
- Grau is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Cajamarca has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Grau is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Cajamarca: Lavandeira Hernandez P.
(Suspended)
Medina J.
(Broken Hand)
- In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Grau won against Cajamarca?
Atlético Grau has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cajamarca won against Atlético Grau?
Cajamarca has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Grau - Cajamarca were as follows:
Latest results of Atlético Grau
Latest results of Cajamarca
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 12:4 | 8 | 20 |
| 2 | Los Chankas | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 17:10 | 7 | 20 |
| 3 | Cienciano | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 19:10 | 9 | 16 |
| 4 | U. de Deportes | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 11:7 | 4 | 15 |
| 5 | Cajamarca | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 14 |
| 6 | Sporting Cristal | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 15:11 | 4 | 11 |
| 7 | FBC Melgar | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12:10 | 2 | 11 |
| 8 | Comerciantes Unidos | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12:12 | 0 | 11 |
| 9 | Alianza Atl | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 10 |
| 10 | Cusco | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:9 | 0 | 10 |
| 11 | Juan Pablo II | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13:20 | -7 | 10 |
| 12 | AD Tarma | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 9 |
| 13 | Sport Boys | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6:9 | -3 | 8 |
| 14 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 7 |
| 15 | Sport Huancayo | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8:12 | -4 | 7 |
| 16 | Moquegua | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6:14 | -8 | 7 |
| 17 | Grau | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3:8 | -5 | 6 |
| 18 | FC Cajamarca | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 10:16 | -6 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )
