Result
1:1
18/05/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 13
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Peru | L1 Max, Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 1.31 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (283/381) | 78% (282/361) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 1.31 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.83 | 1.15 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (283/381) | 78% (282/361) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (53/100) | 53% (31/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (70/121) | 57% (36/63) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 36% (8/22) | 22% (2/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 0.36 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 28 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 91% (10/11) | 64% (7/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 11 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.15 | 0.83 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | -0.04 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 3', 1 - 0, Liza P. ⚽, Cabrera Nakamura K. G. (A),
- 8', Guarderas R. 🟨,
- 19', Liza P. 🟨,
- 45', Cabrera Nakamura K. G. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 60', Vasquez A. ↓, Sandoval T. ↑,
- 65', Arias A. ↓, Martinez T. ↑,
- 65', Guzman L. ↓, Rodriguez G. ↑,
- 77', Liza P. ↓, Castro F. ↑,
- 79', Vilca R. ↓, Herrera Joel ↑,
- 88', 1 - 1, Ruidiaz R. (Pen),
- 90+3', Alvarez P. 🟨,
Chances of winning
FBC Melgar
66.3% | Draw
20.8% | Atlético Grau
12.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
FBC Melgar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that FBC Melgar's form might have worsened.Atlético Grau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for FBC Melgar than the current prediction. (+9.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for FBC Melgar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Grau than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
FBC Melgar - Atlético Grau Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.4 ↑
(1.3) |
4.51 ↓
(5.1) |
7.18 ↓
(9.5) |
7.5%
(7.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for FBC Melgar - Atlético Grau?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Melgar will win (votes: 8 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Melgar: 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Melgar (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melgar won 2.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- In this match, Melgar is the undeniable favorite.
- There will not play in Melgar: Bordacahar C.
(Knee Injury)
Cuesta B.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Grau: Cavagna F.
(Injury)
Garro J.
(Injury)
de la Cruz P.
(Injury)
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Melgar won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:3. (average 1.4:0.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Melgar won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:0. (average 1.8:0).
How many head-to-head matches has FBC Melgar won against Atlético Grau?
FBC Melgar has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Grau won against FBC Melgar?
Atlético Grau has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between FBC Melgar - Atlético Grau were as follows:
23.09.2024
FBC Melgar
-
Atlético Grau
0:0
21.04.2024
Atlético Grau
-
FBC Melgar
1:2
07.07.2023
FBC Melgar
-
Atlético Grau
3:0
24.10.2022
Atlético Grau
-
FBC Melgar
2:1
Latest results of FBC Melgar
Latest results of Atlético Grau
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sporting Cristal | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11:0 | 11 | 13 |
| 2 | U. de Deportes | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10:3 | 7 | 13 |
| 3 | Cusco | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8:1 | 7 | 12 |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 8 |
| 5 | Alianza Lima | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 8 |
| 6 | Sport Huancayo | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 7 |
| 7 | AD Tarma | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 6 |
| 8 | Los Chankas | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:10 | -4 | 6 |
| 9 | Cienciano | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6:5 | 1 | 5 |
| 10 | Binacional | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 5 |
| 11 | Juan Pablo II | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 5 |
| 12 | FBC Melgar | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 5 |
| 13 | Grau | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 4 |
| 14 | Ayacucho | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 4 |
| 15 | Sport Boys | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1:6 | -5 | 4 |
| 16 | Alianza Atl | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 3 |
| 17 | Alianza Huanuco | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 3 |
| 18 | Comerciantes Unidos | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 2 |
| 19 | Cajamarca | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )
