Result
0:0
05/10/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 13
- Referee: Lopez P. (Per)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.15 | 0.22 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (399/487) | 73% (237/325) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.15 | 0.22 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.04 | 0.24 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 8 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (399/487) | 73% (237/325) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (29/61) | 30% (20/66) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (75/121) | 63% (52/83) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (4/13) | 11% (1/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.66 | 0.12 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 10 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 82% (9/11) | 80% (8/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 30 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 47 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.24 | 0.04 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.24 | 0.04 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Garro J. ↓, de la Cruz P. ↑,
- 58', Martinez T. ↓, Quagliata N. ↑,
- 58', Rodriguez G. ↓, Cuesta B. ↑,
- 66', Ruidiaz R. 🟨,
- 68', Vidales J. ↓, D'Arrigo J. ↑,
- 69', Garcia B. ↓, Reyes J. ↑,
- 73', Orzan H. 🟨,
- 77', Bordacahar C. ↓, Guzman L. ↑,
- 77', Llontop M. ↓, Lazo M. ↑,
- 78', Bandiera N. ↓, Sandoval T. ↑,
- 86', Ruidiaz R. 🟨,
- 90+1', Cuesta B. 🟥,
- 90+3', Vilca R. ↓, Herrera Joel ↑,
- 90+4', Gonzalez L. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Atlético Grau
37.9% | Draw
30.4% | FBC Melgar
31.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Grau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético Grau's form might have worsened.FBC Melgar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting FBC Melgar's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Grau than the current prediction. (+10.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Grau, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for FBC Melgar than the current prediction. (-7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for FBC Melgar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Atlético Grau - FBC Melgar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.45 ↑
(1.96) |
3.05 ↓
(3.48) |
2.95 ↓
(3.78) |
7.4%
(6.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Atlético Grau - FBC Melgar?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Melgar (2.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Melgar (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grau won 1.
- Grau is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Melgar's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Grau may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Grau won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:11. (average 0.5:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Grau won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Grau won against FBC Melgar?
Atlético Grau has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has FBC Melgar won against Atlético Grau?
FBC Melgar has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Grau - FBC Melgar were as follows:
18.05.2025
FBC Melgar
-
Atlético Grau
1:1
23.09.2024
FBC Melgar
-
Atlético Grau
0:0
21.04.2024
Atlético Grau
-
FBC Melgar
1:2
07.07.2023
FBC Melgar
-
Atlético Grau
3:0
24.10.2022
Atlético Grau
-
FBC Melgar
2:1
Latest results of Atlético Grau
Latest results of FBC Melgar
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cajamarca | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8:4 | 4 | 10 |
| 2 | Alianza Lima | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 10 |
| 3 | FBC Melgar | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9:4 | 5 | 9 |
| 4 | U. de Deportes | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:4 | 3 | 8 |
| 5 | Los Chankas | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6:4 | 2 | 8 |
| 6 | Sporting Cristal | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 5 |
| 7 | FC Cajamarca | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 5 |
| 8 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 5 |
| 9 | Alianza Atl | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 5 |
| 10 | Cienciano | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 4 |
| 11 | Sport Huancayo | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 4 |
| 12 | Cusco | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 13 | Sport Boys | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:3 | -1 | 4 |
| 14 | Comerciantes Unidos | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 4 |
| 15 | AD Tarma | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 4 |
| 16 | Juan Pablo II | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:12 | -6 | 4 |
| 17 | Moquegua | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:8 | -5 | 3 |
| 18 | Grau | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:5 | -4 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )
