Result
0:0
15/03/2026 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 7
- Referee: Huaman D. (Per)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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 Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play, Movistar TV App |
Match Stats
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|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.77 | 1.20 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 68% | 32% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (411/487) | 75% (173/230) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
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| 0.77 | 1.20 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
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| 0.15 | 1.38 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
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| 10 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
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| 4 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Hit the woodwork |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
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| 6 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
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| 25 | 7 |
| Accurate through passes |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
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| 3 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
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| 14 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (411/487) | 75% (173/230) |
| Long passes |
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| 41% (14/34) | 44% (27/61) |
| Passes in final third |
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| 74% (79/107) | 57% (43/75) |
| Crosses |
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| 37% (10/27) | 6% (1/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 0.21 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 22 | 22 |
| Fouls |
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| 9 | 14 |
| Tackles |
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| 78% (7/9) | 38% (3/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 36 | 32 |
| Clearances |
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| 20 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
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| 4 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.38 | 0.15 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.38 | 0.15 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 50', De Santis J. 🟨,
- 53', Ruidiaz R. (Penalty Awarded),
- 58', D'Arrigo J. ↓, Zanelatto F. ↑,
- 58', Erustes P. ↓, Vidales J. ↑,
- 58', De Santis J. ↓, Cuesta B. ↑,
- 71', de la Cruz P. ↓, Barreto D. ↑,
- 74', Guzman L. ↓, Caceres J. ↑,
- 82', Neira C. ↓, Franco E. ↑,
- 82', Guarderas R. ↓, de la Cruz A. ↑,
- 82', Torres S. ↓, Delgadillo N. ↑,
- 88', Quagliata N. ↓, Orzan H. ↑,
- 89', Ruidiaz R. ↓, Camargo I. ↑,
Chances of winning
FBC Melgar
65.6% | Draw
22.6% | Atlético Grau
11.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
FBC Melgar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)Atlético Grau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for FBC Melgar than the current prediction. (-11.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with FBC Melgar that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Grau than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
FBC Melgar - Atlético Grau Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.41 ↑
(1.35) |
4.14 ↓
(4.72) |
7.73 ↓
(8.42) |
7.8%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for FBC Melgar - Atlético Grau?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 8 and 18).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melgar won 2.
- The current form of both teams is below expectations.
- Grau may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Melgar is the clear favorite.
- There are questionable in Melgar: Orzan H.
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Melgar won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:4. (average 1.2:0.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Melgar won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:1. (average 1.6:0.2).
How many head-to-head matches has FBC Melgar won against Atlético Grau?
FBC Melgar has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Grau won against FBC Melgar?
Atlético Grau has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between FBC Melgar - Atlético Grau were as follows:
05.10.2025
Atlético Grau
-
FBC Melgar
0:0
18.05.2025
FBC Melgar
-
Atlético Grau
1:1
23.09.2024
FBC Melgar
-
Atlético Grau
0:0
21.04.2024
Atlético Grau
-
FBC Melgar
1:2
07.07.2023
FBC Melgar
-
Atlético Grau
3:0
Latest results of FBC Melgar
Latest results of Atlético Grau
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 22:5 | 17 | 29 |
| 2 | Los Chankas | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 21:14 | 7 | 29 |
| 3 | Cienciano | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 26:16 | 10 | 23 |
| 4 | U. de Deportes | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 18:12 | 6 | 21 |
| 5 | Comerciantes Unidos | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 17:15 | 2 | 19 |
| 6 | Cusco | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 15:19 | -4 | 19 |
| 7 | FBC Melgar | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 18:16 | 2 | 17 |
| 8 | Cajamarca | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 18:18 | 0 | 16 |
| 9 | Moquegua | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 14:18 | -4 | 16 |
| 10 | Juan Pablo II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 18:27 | -9 | 15 |
| 11 | Sporting Cristal | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 20:20 | 0 | 14 |
| 12 | Alianza Atl | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 11:11 | 0 | 14 |
| 13 | AD Tarma | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 15:15 | 0 | 13 |
| 14 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 12:16 | -4 | 13 |
| 15 | Sport Huancayo | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14:18 | -4 | 12 |
| 16 | Sport Boys | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 11:16 | -5 | 12 |
| 17 | Grau | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9:14 | -5 | 10 |
| 18 | FC Cajamarca | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 13:22 | -9 | 6 |
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