Result
3:3
28/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Expansion MX - Apertura - Round 9
- Referee: Delgadillo Franco O. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | AYM Sports |
 Usa | Aym Sports |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 19', Estrada J. 🟨,
- 20', 1 - 0, Gonzalez Martinez J. D. (Pen),
- 41', Gonzalez P. 🟨,
- 43', Alaffita Garcia E. J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 3)
- 54', 1 - 1, Barragan M. ⚽, Millan O. (A),
- 56', Salomon O. ↓, Zaragoza A. ↑,
- 56', Castaneda S. 🟨,
- 60', Zaragoza A. 🟨,
- 60', 🟨,
- 66', Illescas F. ↓, Hernandez D. ↑,
- 66', Castaneda S. ↓, Fabio Erins ↑,
- 66', Tejeda D. ↓, Castillo E. ↑,
- 68', Rojas H. ↓, Partida F. ↑,
- 70', Del Aguila Y. 🟨,
- 76', Alvarez D. ↓, Chiu L. ↑,
- 77', 2 - 1, Silva J. ⚽, Gonzalez P. (A),
- 85', 3 - 1, Partida F. ⚽,
- 87', Bass A. ↓, Jaimes U. ↑,
- 87', Alaffita Garcia E. J. ↓, Gutierrez L. ↑,
- 87', Millan O. ↓, Renteria R. ↑,
- 87', Christian ↓, Robles E. ↑,
- 90+1', 3 - 2, Torres H. ⚽, Jaimes U. (A),
- 90+6', 3 - 3, Jaimes U. ⚽,
- 90+6', Plascencia F. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Tlaxcala
52.1% | Draw
25.3% | Atlético La Paz
22.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tlaxcala has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tlaxcala's performance.Atlético La Paz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlético La Paz might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tlaxcala than the current prediction. (-8.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tlaxcala that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético La Paz than the current prediction. (+8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético La Paz could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Tlaxcala - Atlético La Paz Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.88 ↓
(2.16) |
3.87 ↑
(3.64) |
4.33 ↑
(2.99) |
2.2%
(7.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tlaxcala won 1.
- Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
- Atlético La Paz may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Tlaxcala might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Tlaxcala won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 1.5:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tlaxcala won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Tlaxcala won against Atlético La Paz?
Tlaxcala has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético La Paz won against Tlaxcala?
Atlético La Paz has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tlaxcala - Atlético La Paz were as follows:
10.01.2025
Atlético La Paz
-
Tlaxcala
4:4
27.07.2024
Tlaxcala
-
Atlético La Paz
0:2
16.02.2024
Tlaxcala
-
Atlético La Paz
2:3
26.09.2023
Atlético La Paz
-
Tlaxcala
1:0
04.04.2023
Tlaxcala
-
Atlético La Paz
1:0
Latest results of Tlaxcala
Latest results of Atlético La Paz
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cancun | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 17:4 | 13 | 22 |
| 2 | Tampico Madero | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 14:8 | 6 | 20 |
| 3 | Atlante | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 21:8 | 13 | 19 |
| 4 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 19:11 | 8 | 17 |
| 5 | Irapuato | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17:11 | 6 | 17 |
| 6 | Leones Negros | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14:12 | 2 | 12 |
| 7 | Atletico La Paz | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 19:18 | 1 | 12 |
| 8 | Tlaxcala | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11:19 | -8 | 12 |
| 9 | Tapatio | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13:12 | 1 | 11 |
| 10 | Venados | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 22:24 | -2 | 11 |
| 11 | Atl. Morelia | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13:18 | -5 | 11 |
| 12 | Zacatecas Mineros | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 14:14 | 0 | 10 |
| 13 | Alebrijes Oaxaca | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 11:19 | -8 | 7 |
| 14 | Correcaminos | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 14:27 | -13 | 6 |
| 15 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 6:20 | -14 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
