Result
2:0
07/03/2026 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Expansion MX - Clausura - Round 9
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | AYM Sports |
 Usa | Aym Sports |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 9', 1 - 0, Zurita Jimenez U. ⚽, Illescas F. (A),
- 16', Christian 🟨,
- 19', Alvarez D. 🟨,
- 23', Hernandez E. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 47', 2 - 0, Barragan M. ⚽,
- 50', Gonzalez P. 🟨,
- 60', Alvarez D. ↓, Renteria R. ↑,
- 62', Millan O. 🟨,
- 63', Govea I. 🟨,
- 69', Castillo E. ↓, Martinez D. ↑,
- 79', Hernandez E. ↓, Robles E. ↑,
- 79', Figueroa F. ↓, Salomon O. ↑,
- 82', Illescas F. ↓, Robles A. ↑,
- 82', Alaffita Garcia E. J. ↓, Soto A. ↑,
- 82', Millan O. ↓, Galindo A. ↑,
- 84', Santos E. ↓, Buganza F. ↑,
- 84', Iniestra A. ↓, Blanco J. ↑,
- 88', Barragan M. ↓, Jaimes U. ↑,
Chances of winning
Atlético La Paz
46.6% | Draw
26.2% | Tlaxcala
27.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético La Paz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)Tlaxcala has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético La Paz than the current prediction. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tlaxcala than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
Atlético La Paz - Tlaxcala Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.96 ↓
(2.03) |
3.49 ↓
(3.89) |
3.37 ↑
(3.12) |
9.3%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Atlético La Paz - Tlaxcala?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Atlético La Paz (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals))
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético La Paz won 3.
- Atlético La Paz has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Tlaxcala is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Atlético La Paz may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Atlético La Paz might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Atlético La Paz won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:12. (average 2.1:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Atlético La Paz won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 2.3:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético La Paz won against Tlaxcala?
Atlético La Paz has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tlaxcala won against Atlético La Paz?
Tlaxcala has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético La Paz - Tlaxcala were as follows:
28.09.2025
Tlaxcala
-
Atlético La Paz
3:3
10.01.2025
Atlético La Paz
-
Tlaxcala
4:4
27.07.2024
Tlaxcala
-
Atlético La Paz
0:2
16.02.2024
Tlaxcala
-
Atlético La Paz
2:3
26.09.2023
Atlético La Paz
-
Tlaxcala
1:0
Latest results of Atlético La Paz
Latest results of Tlaxcala
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 16:7 | 9 | 21 |
| 2 | Atletico La Paz | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 18:6 | 12 | 19 |
| 3 | Atl. Morelia | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 16:9 | 7 | 19 |
| 4 | Tapatio | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 22:17 | 5 | 17 |
| 5 | Atlante | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 15:9 | 6 | 16 |
| 6 | Cancun | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 15 |
| 7 | Tlaxcala | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12:12 | 0 | 15 |
| 8 | Zacatecas Mineros | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 13:15 | -2 | 14 |
| 9 | Irapuato | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 22:20 | 2 | 13 |
| 10 | Jaiba Brava | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 10:12 | -2 | 13 |
| 11 | Correcaminos | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10:16 | -6 | 12 |
| 12 | Alebrijes Oaxaca | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15:23 | -8 | 12 |
| 13 | Venados | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 16:20 | -4 | 8 |
| 14 | Leones Negros | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 10:20 | -10 | 7 |
| 15 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 12:24 | -12 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
