Atlético La Paz vs Tlaxcala – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
07/03/2026 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga de Expansion MX - Clausura - Round 9
  • Where to Watch on TV:
mexicoMexicoAYM Sports
usaUsaAym Sports

Match Stats

Ball possession
54%46%
Total shots
123
Shots on target
61
Corner kicks
71
Yellow cards
24
Total shots
123
Shots on target
61
Shots off target
62
Corner kicks
71

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 9', 1 - 0, Zurita Jimenez U. , Illescas F. (A),
  • 16', Christian 🟨,
  • 19', Alvarez D. 🟨,
  • 23', Hernandez E. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 47', 2 - 0, Barragan M. ,
  • 50', Gonzalez P. 🟨,
  • 60', Alvarez D. , Renteria R. ,
  • 62', Millan O. 🟨,
  • 63', Govea I. 🟨,
  • 69', Castillo E. , Martinez D. ,
  • 79', Hernandez E. , Robles E. ,
  • 79', Figueroa F. , Salomon O. ,
  • 82', Illescas F. , Robles A. ,
  • 82', Alaffita Garcia E. J. , Soto A. ,
  • 82', Millan O. , Galindo A. ,
  • 84', Santos E. , Buganza F. ,
  • 84', Iniestra A. , Blanco J. ,
  • 88', Barragan M. , Jaimes U. ,

Chances of winning


Atlético La Paz
46.6%
Draw
26.2%
Tlaxcala
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46% 24% 29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.9% 25% 28.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlético La Paz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • Tlaxcala has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético La Paz than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tlaxcala than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
  • Atlético La Paz - Tlaxcala Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.96
    (2.03)
    3.49
    (3.89)
    3.37
    (3.12)
    9.3%
    (7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Atlético La Paz - Tlaxcala?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Atlético La Paz (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals))
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético La Paz won 3.
    • Atlético La Paz has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Tlaxcala is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Atlético La Paz may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Atlético La Paz might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Atlético La Paz won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:12. (average 2.1:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Atlético La Paz won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 2.3:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético La Paz - Tlaxcala were as follows:
    28.09.2025 Tlaxcala - Atlético La Paz 3:3
    10.01.2025 Atlético La Paz - Tlaxcala 4:4
    27.07.2024 Tlaxcala - Atlético La Paz 0:2
    16.02.2024 Tlaxcala - Atlético La Paz 2:3
    26.09.2023 Atlético La Paz - Tlaxcala 1:0
    Latest results of Atlético La Paz
    Latest results of Tlaxcala
    Draw
    Clausura - Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Tepatitlan de Morelos (1)Atlante (8)2 : 0, 0 : 2
    2Atl. Morelia (3)Zacatecas Mineros (6)2 : 0, 0 : 3
    3Cancun (2)Tapatio (7)1 : 0, 1 : 1
    4Atletico La Paz (4)Jaiba Brava (5)1 : 2, 0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Tepatitlan de Morelos (1)Zacatecas Mineros (6)1 : 1
    2Cancun (2)Jaiba Brava (5)1 : 2

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2