Atlético Madrid vs Bayern Munich – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Champions League Women
Result
2:2
10/12/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Champions League Women - League phase - Round 5
  • Referee: Caputi M. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
albaniaAlbaniaDisney+
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, TOD
austriaAustriaDisney+
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaDisney+
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaDisney+
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 3, Cablenet Sports 3
czech-republicCzech-republicDisney+
denmarkDenmarkDisney+
estoniaEstoniaDisney+
finlandFinlandDisney+
franceFranceDisney+
greeceGreeceDisney+
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
hungaryHungaryDisney+
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN SPORTS MAX
italyItalyDisney+
kazakhstanKazakhstanDisney+
kosovoKosovoDisney+
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
mexicoMexicoTVC Deportes 2
netherlandsNetherlandsDisney+
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
norwayNorwayDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN SPORTS MAX
polandPolandDisney+
portugalPortugalDisney+
romaniaRomaniaDisney+
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
slovakiaSlovakiaDisney+
spainSpainDisney+
swedenSwedenDisney+
thailandThailandbeIN Connect
ukraineUkraineDisney+
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN Deportes, Paramount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.522.03
Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
1217
Shots on target
73
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
52
Passes
81% (299/370)86% (429/499)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
1.522.03
xG on target (xGOT)
1.360.94
Total shots
1217
Shots on target
73
Shots off target
38
Blocked Shots
26
Shots inside the Box
711
Shots outside the Box
56
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
52
Touches in opposition box
1539
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
108
Passes
81% (299/370)86% (429/499)
Long passes
50% (20/40)39% (11/28)
Passes in final third
63% (52/83)78% (111/142)
Crosses
31% (5/16)37% (7/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.612.53
Throw-ins
2316
Fouls
810
Tackles
60% (9/15)81% (13/16)
Duels won
3541
Clearances
1917
Interceptions
711
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
15
xGOT faced
0.941.36
Goals prevented
-1.06-0.64

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 13', 1 - 0, Boe Risa V. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 52', Gwinn G. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 63', 1 - 1, Harder P. ⚽, Buhl K. (A),
  • 64', Boe Risa V. ↓, Bartel J. ↑,
  • 64', Sarriegi A. ↓, Jensen S. ↑,
  • 66', Garcia G. 🟨,
  • 66', Damnjanovic J. ↓, Schuller L. ↑,
  • 66', Kett F. ↓, Simon C. ↑,
  • 75', Tanikawa M. 🟨,
  • 78', Tanikawa M. ↓, Ballisager S. ↑,
  • 78', Dallmann L. ↓, Sehitler A. ↑,
  • 78', 1 - 2, Harder P. ⚽,
  • 88', Lloris S. ↓, Gomez C. ↑,
  • 89', 2 - 2, Iannuzzi F. ⚽, Luany (A),

Chances of winning


Atlético Madrid
23.2%		Draw
22.6%		Bayern Munich
54.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
25.6% 21.8% 52.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.8% 22% 52.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlético Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • Bayern Munich has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Madrid than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bayern Munich than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
    •

    Atlético Madrid - Bayern Munich Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 4.01 ↑
    (3.5)    		 4.06 ↓
    (4.1)    		 1.71 ↑
    (1.7)    		 8.2%
    (11.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Atlético Madrid - Bayern Munich?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Bayern (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 3.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Bayern Munich will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Recent performances by Atlético Madrid have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Bayern is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Atlético Madrid may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Bayern will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Atlético Madrid
    06.12.2025 Atlético Madrid - Sevilla 2:2
    23.11.2025 Tenerife - Atlético Madrid 2:1
    20.11.2025 Twente - Atlético Madrid 0:4 ✺
    16.11.2025 Atlético Madrid - Badalona 2:0 ✺
    12.11.2025 Atlético Madrid - Juventus 1:2 ✺
    Latest results of Bayern Munich
    07.12.2025 Eintracht Frankfurt - Bayern Munich 0:5
    23.11.2025 TSG Hoffenheim - Bayern Munich 1:5
    20.11.2025 Paris Saint-Germain - Bayern Munich 1:3 ✺
    12.11.2025 Bayern Munich - Arsenal LFC 3:2 ✺
    07.11.2025 Bayern Munich - Union Berlin 4:0
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Atl. Madrid W (11)Manchester Utd W (6)0 : 2, 0 : 3
    2ByeBayern Munich W (4)
    3Paris FC W (10)Real Madrid W (7)0 : 2, 2 : 3
    4ByeBarcelona W (1)
    5Leuven W (12)Arsenal W (5)1 : 3, 0 : 4
    6ByeChelsea W (3)
    7Wolfsburg W (9)Juventus W (8)2 : 0, 2 : 2
    8ByeLyon W (2)

    Quarter-finals
    1Manchester Utd W (6)Bayern Munich W (4)
    2Real Madrid W (7)Barcelona W (1)
    3Arsenal W (5)Chelsea W (3)
    4Wolfsburg W (9)Lyon W (2)

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    © Copyright 2026 | Powered by WordPress

    Impressum - Cookies Policy - Terms and Conditions - Privacy Policy