Borussia Dortmund vs Atlético Madrid – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Champions League Borussia Dortmund - Atlético Madrid
Result
4:2
16/04/2024 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Champions League - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
  • Referee: Vincic S. (Slo)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSuperSport
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Sport
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 4
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3
denmarkDenmarkTV3 Sport, Viaplay
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo
franceFrancebeIN Sports
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video
hungaryHungarySport 1
italyItalySky Sport Arena, Sky Sport
romaniaRomaniaDigi Sport 2, Orange Sport, Prima Sport 2
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomTNT Sports

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.181.78
Ball Possession
54%46%
Goal Attempts
199
Shots on Goal
93
Shots off Goal
43
Blocked Shots
63
Free Kicks
129
Corner Kicks
62
Offsides
23
Goalkeeper Saves
15
Fouls
710
Yellow Cards
12
Total Passes
555494
Completed Passes
464420
Tackles
1310
Attacks
9677
Dangerous Attacks
5031
Clearances Completed
1015
Crosses Completed
612
Distance Covered (km)
116114

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 30', Azpilicueta C. 🟨,
  • 34', 1 - 0, Brandt J. , Hummels M. (A),
  • 39', 2 - 0, Maatsen I. , Sabitzer M. (A),
  • 43', Ryerson J. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Hermoso M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 46', Molina N. , Barrios P. ,
  • 46', Morata A. , Correa A. ,
  • 46', Azpilicueta C. , Riquelme R. ,
  • 49', 2 - 1, Hummels M. (Own goal), Hermoso M. (A),
  • 64', 2 - 2, Correa A. ,
  • 66', Adeyemi K. , Bynoe-Gittens J. ,
  • 71', 3 - 2, Fullkrug N. , Sabitzer M. (A),
  • 74', 4 - 2, Sabitzer M. ,
  • 84', de Paul R. , Niguez S. ,
  • 86', Sancho J. , Ozcan S. ,
  • 90', Brandt J. , Reus M. ,

Chances of winning


Borussia Dortmund
43.9%
Draw
25.9%
Atlético Madrid
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.4% 26.4% 32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1% 26.6% 32.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Borussia Dortmund has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
  • Atlético Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Borussia Dortmund than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Madrid than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
  • Borussia Dortmund - Atlético Madrid Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.19
    (2.31)
    3.73
    (3.62)
    3.18
    (2.96)
    3.9%
    (4.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Borussia Dortmund - Atlético Madrid?
  • Users Predictions: 76 users predict this event. Borussia D will win (votes: 47 - 61.8%). Atlético will win (votes: 14 - 18.4%). It will Tie (votes: 15 - 19.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Borussia D: 50.9%72.7%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-2.
    • Recent matches Borussia D is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Atlético is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Atlético could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently Atlético have a series of home games.
    • Borussia D will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • There will not play in Borussia D: Bensebaini R. (Knee Injury) Haller S. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Atlético: Depay M. (Muscle Injury) Lemar T. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Lino S. (Yellow Cards) Vitolo (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Borussia D: Bynoe-Gittens J. (Back Injury)
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Borussia D won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-4.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Borussia D won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Borussia Dortmund - Atlético Madrid were as follows:
    10.04.2024 Atlético Madrid - Borussia Dortmund 2:1
    Latest results of Atlético Madrid
    UEFA Champions League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSG330013:3109
    2Bayern Munich330012:2109
    3Inter33009:099
    4Arsenal33008:089
    5Real Madrid33008:179
    6Dortmund321012:757
    7Manchester City32106:247
    8Newcastle32018:266
    9Barcelona32019:456
    10Liverpool32018:446
    11Chelsea32017:436
    12Sporting CP32017:436
    13Qarabag32016:516
    14Galatasaray32015:6-16
    15Tottenham31203:215
    16PSV31118:624
    17Atalanta31112:5-34
    18Marseille31026:423
    19Atl. Madrid31027:8-13
    20Club Brugge KV31025:7-23
    21Ath Bilbao31024:7-33
    22Eintracht Frankfurt31027:11-43
    23Napoli31024:9-53
    24Royale Union SG31023:9-63
    25Juventus30216:7-12
    26Bodo/Glimt30215:7-22
    27Monaco30213:6-32
    28Slavia Prague30212:5-32
    29Pafos30211:5-42
    30Bayer Leverkusen30215:10-52
    31Villarreal30122:5-31
    32FC Copenhagen30124:8-41
    33Olympiacos Piraeus30121:8-71
    34Kairat Almaty30121:9-81
    35Benfica30032:7-50
    36Ajax30031:11-100

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)