Atlético Madrid vs Botafogo RJ: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer FIFA Club World Cup
Soccer FIFA Club World Cup Atlético Madrid - Botafogo RJ
Result
1:0
23/06/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : FIFA Club World Cup - Round 3
  • Referee: Ramos C. A. (Mex)
Atlético Madrid - Botafogo RJ - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.050.66
Ball Possession
61%39%
Total shots
237
Shots on target
53
Big Chances
51
Corner Kicks
93
Passes
88% (508/576)81% (302/371)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
3.050.66
xG on target (xGOT)
1.571.29
Total shots
237
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
121
Blocked Shots
63
Shots inside the Box
175
Shots outside the Box
62
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
51
Corner Kicks
93
Touches in opposition box
639
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
1611
Passes
88% (508/576)81% (302/371)
Long passes
74% (28/38)35% (17/48)
Passes in final third
81% (197/244)73% (55/75)
Crosses
18% (7/39)27% (3/11)
Expected assists (xA)
3.370.37
Throw-ins
1914
Fouls
1116
Tackles
79% (11/14)35% (6/17)
Duels won
5641
Clearances
1457
Interceptions
59
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
1.291.57
Goals prevented
1.290.57

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Gallagher C. ↓, Griezmann A. ↑,
  • 59', Allan ↓, Newton ↑,
  • 60', Simeone G. ↓, Correa A. ↑,
  • 65', Alex Telles ↓, Cuiabano ↑,
  • 65', Savarino J. ↓, Montoro A. ↑,
  • 65', de Paul R. ↓, Koke ↑,
  • 74', Vitinho ↓, Ponte M. ↑,
  • 74', Artur ↓, Rodriguez S. ↑,
  • 84', Barrios P. ↓, Molina N. ↑,
  • 84', Sorloth A. ↓, Lino S. ↑,
  • 87', 1 - 0, Griezmann A. ⚽, Alvarez J. (A),
  • 90+6', Gregore 🟨,

Chances of winning


Atlético Madrid
60.2%		Draw
24.3%		Botafogo RJ
15.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
68.7% 19.9% 11.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.9% 19.4% 11.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlético Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético Madrid's form might have worsened.
  • Botafogo RJ has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Madrid than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Madrid, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botafogo RJ than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
    •

    Atlético Madrid - Botafogo RJ Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.6 ↑
    (1.42)    		 4.03 ↓
    (4.9)    		 6.34 ↓
    (8.55)    		 3.1%
    (2.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    •
    What is the prediction for Atlético Madrid - Botafogo RJ?
  • Users Predictions: 78 users predict this event. Atlético will win (votes: 66 - 84.6%). Botafogo will win (votes: 6 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 7.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Atlético: 76.6% – 92.6%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1 - Botafogo (votes: 7 - 87.5%).
    • AH -0.5 - Botafogo (votes: 6 - 100%).
    • DC - Botafogo (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Atlético Madrid will win (20 of 24 users predict this - 83.33%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Recent performances by Atlético have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Botafogo is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Recently, Atlético has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Atlético is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Botafogo: Bastos (Knee Injury) Jeffinho (Inactive) Matheus Martins (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Atlético: Gimenez J. M. (Injury)
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Atlético Madrid
    19.06.2025 Seattle Sounders - Atlético Madrid 1:3 ✺
    15.06.2025 Paris Saint-Germain - Atlético Madrid 4:0 ✺
    25.05.2025 Girona - Atlético Madrid 0:4 ✺
    18.05.2025 Atlético Madrid - Betis 4:1 ✺
    15.05.2025 Osasuna - Atlético Madrid 2:0 ✺
    Latest results of Botafogo RJ
    19.06.2025 Paris Saint-Germain - Botafogo RJ 0:1 ✺
    15.06.2025 Botafogo RJ - Seattle Sounders 2:1 ✺
    04.06.2025 Botafogo RJ - Ceará 3:2 ✺
    01.06.2025 Santos - Botafogo RJ 0:1 ✺
    27.05.2025 Botafogo RJ - Universidad de Chile 1:0 ✺
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Inter (E1)Fluminense (F2)0 : 2
    2Manchester City (G1)Al Hilal (H2)3 : 4
    3Palmeiras (A1)Botafogo RJ (B2)1 : 0
    4Benfica (C1)Chelsea (D2)1 : 4
    5PSG (B1)Inter Miami (A2)4 : 0
    6Flamengo RJ (D1)Bayern Munich (C2)2 : 4
    7Real Madrid (H1)Juventus (G2)1 : 0
    8Dortmund (F1)Monterrey (E2)2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Fluminense (F2)Al Hilal (H2)
    2Palmeiras (A1)Chelsea (D2)
    3PSG (B1)Bayern Munich (C2)
    4Real Madrid (H1)Dortmund (F1)

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
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