Result
1:1
05/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- LaLiga - Round 8
- Referee: Soto Grado C. (Esp)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Africa | Azam Sports 4, CANAL+ Sport 3, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Life, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3, ZAP |
Albania | SuperSport 2 |
Angola | Z Sports La Liga |
Argentina | DirecTV Sports, DSports 1 |
Armenia | Fast Sports |
Asia | beIN Connect MENA |
Australia | Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
Austria | DAZN |
Azerbaijan | Idman TV |
Bangladesh | Begin |
Belarus | Belarus 5 |
Bolivia | Tigo Sports 1 |
Brazil | Disney+ |
Bulgaria | Max Sport 4 |
Canada | Amazon Prime Video, TSN+ |
Chile | DirecTV Sports |
China | iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
Croatia | Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go |
Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8 |
Czech-republic | Nova Sport 4, Oneplay |
Denmark | TV2 Play |
Ecuador | DirecTV Sports |
Europe | Go3 Sport 2 Baltic |
Finland | MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3 |
France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free |
Georgia | Silk Sport 1 |
Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch |
Greece | Nova Sports 1 |
Haiti | Canal+ Sport 1 |
Hong-kong | M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2 |
Hungary | Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium |
India | FanCode, FanCode |
Indonesia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio |
Italy | DAZN Italia |
Japan | DAZN Japan, U-NEXT |
Kazakhstan | Setanta Sports |
Kenya | Gotv |
Kosovo | Arena Premium 1, ART Sport 2 |
Laos | beIN Connect |
Macao | Macau Cable TV 35 Sports |
Madagascar | UpTV |
Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka |
Maldives | ICE Xtra, Medianet |
Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 4 |
Mexico | Sky Sport |
Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 2 |
New-zealand | beIN Connect |
Nigeria | SuperSport LaLiga |
North-central-america | DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte |
Norway | TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium, Viaplay |
Peru | DirecTV Sports |
Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 |
Poland | Eleven Sports 4 |
Portugal | DAZN 1, DAZN / App |
Romania | Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3 |
Russia | MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru |
Serbia | Arena Premium 1 |
Singapore | beIN Sport 1 |
Slovakia | Voyo |
Slovenia | Arena Sport 1 Premium |
South-africa | SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga |
South-america | DGO Latin America |
Spain | LaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga 2, M+ LaLiga |
Sweden | TV12, TV4 Play |
Thailand | AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 |
Turkey | S Sport, S Sport+ |
Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine |
United-kingdom | Amazon Prime Video, LaLiga TV, Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player |
Uruguay | DirecTV Sports, DSports 1 |
Usa | DAZN Espanol, ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+ |
Venezuela | DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Inter |
Vietnam | K+, SCTV 15 |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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2.04 | 0.30 |
Ball Possession |
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59% | 41% |
Total shots |
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18 | 6 |
Shots on target |
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4 | 1 |
Big Chances |
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3 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
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6 | 3 |
Passes |
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91% (659/725) | 87% (436/501) |
Yellow Cards |
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1 | 3 |
Red Cards |
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0 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
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2.04 | 0.30 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
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1.48 | 0.16 |
Total shots |
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18 | 6 |
Shots on target |
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4 | 1 |
Shots off target |
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11 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
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3 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
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9 | 4 |
Shots outside the Box |
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9 | 2 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
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3 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
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6 | 3 |
Touches in opposition box |
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29 | 17 |
Accurate through passes |
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1 | 3 |
Offsides |
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2 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
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10 | 7 |
Passes |
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91% (659/725) | 87% (436/501) |
Long passes |
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53% (17/32) | 62% (29/47) |
Passes in final third |
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86% (260/301) | 80% (99/123) |
Crosses |
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27% (6/22) | 13% (1/8) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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2.53 | 0.63 |
Throw-ins |
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24 | 11 |
Fouls |
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7 | 10 |
Tackles |
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61% (11/18) | 71% (10/14) |
Duels won |
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34 | 38 |
Clearances |
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15 | 24 |
Interceptions |
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7 | 11 |
Errors leading to shot |
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0 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
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0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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1 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
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0.16 | 1.48 |
Goals prevented |
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0.16 | 0.48 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 6', 0 - 1, Starfelt C. (Own goal), Barrios P. (A),
- 25', Lenglet C. 🟨,
- 40', Lenglet C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Griezmann A. ↓, Galan J. ↑,
- 55', Beltran F. ↓, Alvarez H. ↑,
- 63', Jutgla F. ↓, Aspas I. ↑,
- 63', Swedberg W. ↓, Zaragoza B. ↑,
- 65', Iglesias B. 🟨,
- 68', 1 - 1, Aspas I. ⚽,
- 76', Galan J. ↓, Baena A. ↑,
- 77', Koke ↓, Gallagher C. ↑,
- 78', Baena A. 🟨,
- 81', Alvarez J. ↓, Sorloth A. ↑,
- 82', Simeone G. ↓, Molina N. ↑,
- 84', Carreira S. ↓, Moriba I. ↑,
- 84', Iglesias B. ↓, Duran P. ↑,
Chances of winning
Celta de Vigo 20.4% | Draw 25.1% | Atlético Madrid 54.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Celta de Vigo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)Atlético Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlético Madrid's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Celta de Vigo than the current prediction. (+4.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Madrid than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
Celta de Vigo - Atlético Madrid Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
4.71 ↑ (3.76) |
3.83 ↑ (3.71) |
1.77 ↓ (1.92) |
3.9% (5.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Celta de Vigo - Atlético Madrid?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).
- BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%).
- AH +0.5 - Atlético (votes: 3 - 75%).
Users Predictions:
Atlético Madrid will win
(98 of 112 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.38% – 93.63%. The data is statistically significant.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Atlético Madrid will win (36 of 37 users predict this - 97.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Celta won 0.
- Celta has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Atlético is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Atlético may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Atlético is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Celta: Aidoo J.
(Coach's decision)
Cervi F.
(Coach's decision)
Lago Y.
(Inactive)
Ristic M.
(Back Injury)
- There will not play in Atlético: Almada T.
(Muscle Injury)
Cardoso J.
(Ankle Injury)
Gimenez J. M.
(Thigh Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Celta won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 13:37. (average 0.7:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Celta won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 4:15. (average 0.4:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Celta de Vigo won against Atlético Madrid?
Celta de Vigo has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Madrid won against Celta de Vigo?
Atlético Madrid has won 5 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Celta de Vigo - Atlético Madrid were as follows:
15.02.2025
Atlético Madrid
-
Celta de Vigo
1:1
26.09.2024
Celta de Vigo
-
Atlético Madrid
0:1
12.05.2024
Atlético Madrid
-
Celta de Vigo
1:0
21.10.2023
Celta de Vigo
-
Atlético Madrid
0:3
12.02.2023
Celta de Vigo
-
Atlético Madrid
0:1
Latest results of Celta de Vigo
Latest results of Atlético Madrid
Spanish LaLiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Real Madrid | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 19:9 | 10 | 21 |
2 | Barcelona | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 22:9 | 13 | 19 |
3 | Villarreal | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 14:8 | 6 | 16 |
4 | Betis | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 13:8 | 5 | 15 |
5 | Espanyol | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 13:11 | 2 | 15 |
6 | Atl. Madrid | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 15:10 | 5 | 13 |
7 | Sevilla | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 15:11 | 4 | 13 |
8 | Elche | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 11:9 | 2 | 13 |
9 | Ath Bilbao | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 9:9 | 0 | 13 |
10 | Alaves | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:8 | 1 | 11 |
11 | Getafe | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 11 |
12 | Osasuna | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 7:8 | -1 | 10 |
13 | Levante | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 13:14 | -1 | 8 |
14 | Rayo Vallecano | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:10 | -2 | 8 |
15 | Valencia | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10:14 | -4 | 8 |
16 | Celta Vigo | 8 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 7:10 | -3 | 6 |
17 | Girona | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5:17 | -12 | 6 |
18 | R. Oviedo | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 4:16 | -12 | 6 |
19 | Real Sociedad | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7:12 | -5 | 5 |
20 | Mallorca | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7:13 | -6 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ LaLiga2