Celta de Vigo vs Atlético Madrid – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish LaLiga Celta de Vigo - Atlético Madrid
Result
1:1
05/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga - Round 8
  • Referee: Soto Grado C. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaAzam Sports 4, CANAL+ Sport 3, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Life, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3, ZAP
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austriaAustriaDAZN
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canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, TSN+
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chinaChinaiQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
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denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
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europeEuropeGo3 Sport 2 Baltic
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franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free
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germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
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maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 4
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
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philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
polandPolandEleven Sports 4
portugalPortugalDAZN 1, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 1
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sport 1
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1 Premium
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America
spainSpainLaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga 2, M+ LaLiga
swedenSwedenTV12, TV4 Play
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usaUsaDAZN Espanol, ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Inter
vietnamVietnamK+, SCTV 15

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.040.30
Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
186
Shots on target
41
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
63
Passes
91% (659/725)87% (436/501)
Yellow Cards
13
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
2.040.30
xG on target (xGOT)
1.480.16
Total shots
186
Shots on target
41
Shots off target
114
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
94
Shots outside the Box
92
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
63
Touches in opposition box
2917
Accurate through passes
13
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
107
Passes
91% (659/725)87% (436/501)
Long passes
53% (17/32)62% (29/47)
Passes in final third
86% (260/301)80% (99/123)
Crosses
27% (6/22)13% (1/8)
Expected assists (xA)
2.530.63
Throw-ins
2411
Fouls
710
Tackles
61% (11/18)71% (10/14)
Duels won
3438
Clearances
1524
Interceptions
711
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
0.161.48
Goals prevented
0.160.48

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 6', 0 - 1, Starfelt C. (Own goal), Barrios P. (A),
  • 25', Lenglet C. 🟨,
  • 40', Lenglet C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Griezmann A. , Galan J. ,
  • 55', Beltran F. , Alvarez H. ,
  • 63', Jutgla F. , Aspas I. ,
  • 63', Swedberg W. , Zaragoza B. ,
  • 65', Iglesias B. 🟨,
  • 68', 1 - 1, Aspas I. ,
  • 76', Galan J. , Baena A. ,
  • 77', Koke , Gallagher C. ,
  • 78', Baena A. 🟨,
  • 81', Alvarez J. , Sorloth A. ,
  • 82', Simeone G. , Molina N. ,
  • 84', Carreira S. , Moriba I. ,
  • 84', Iglesias B. , Duran P. ,

Chances of winning


Celta de Vigo
20.4%
Draw
25.1%
Atlético Madrid
54.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
25.2% 25.5% 49.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25% 25.3% 49.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Celta de Vigo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
  • Atlético Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlético Madrid's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Celta de Vigo than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Madrid than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
  • Celta de Vigo - Atlético Madrid Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.71
    (3.76)
    3.83
    (3.71)
    1.77
    (1.92)
    3.9%
    (5.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Celta de Vigo - Atlético Madrid?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%).
    • AH +0.5 - Atlético (votes: 3 - 75%).
  • Users Predictions: Atlético Madrid will win (98 of 112 users predict this - 87.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 81.38%93.63%. The data is statistically significant.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Atlético Madrid will win (36 of 37 users predict this - 97.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Celta won 0.
    • Celta has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Atlético is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Atlético may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Atlético is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Celta: Aidoo J. (Coach's decision) Cervi F. (Coach's decision) Lago Y. (Inactive) Ristic M. (Back Injury)
    • There will not play in Atlético: Almada T. (Muscle Injury) Cardoso J. (Ankle Injury) Gimenez J. M. (Thigh Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Celta won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 13:37. (average 0.7:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Celta won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 4:15. (average 0.4:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Celta de Vigo - Atlético Madrid were as follows:
    15.02.2025 Atlético Madrid - Celta de Vigo 1:1
    26.09.2024 Celta de Vigo - Atlético Madrid 0:1
    12.05.2024 Atlético Madrid - Celta de Vigo 1:0
    21.10.2023 Celta de Vigo - Atlético Madrid 0:3
    12.02.2023 Celta de Vigo - Atlético Madrid 0:1
    Latest results of Celta de Vigo
    02.10.2025 Celta de Vigo - PAOK 3:1
    28.09.2025 Elche - Celta de Vigo 2:1
    25.09.2025 Stuttgart - Celta de Vigo 2:1
    14.09.2025 Celta de Vigo - Girona 1:1
    Latest results of Atlético Madrid
    Spanish LaLiga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Real Madrid870119:91021
    2Barcelona861122:91319
    3Villarreal851214:8616
    4Betis843113:8515
    5Espanyol943213:11215
    6Atl. Madrid834115:10513
    7Sevilla841315:11413
    8Elche834111:9213
    9Ath Bilbao84139:9013
    10Alaves83239:8111
    11Getafe83239:11-211
    12Osasuna83147:8-110
    13Levante822413:14-18
    14Rayo Vallecano82248:10-28
    15Valencia822410:14-48
    16Celta Vigo80627:10-36
    17Girona81345:17-126
    18R. Oviedo92074:16-126
    19Real Sociedad81257:12-55
    20Mallorca81257:13-65

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ LaLiga2