Atlético Madrid vs Eintracht Frankfurt – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
5:1
30/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Champions League - League phase - Round 2
  • Referee: Vincic S. (Slo)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, Q Arena Asia, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 2
belgiumBelgiumPickx+ Sports 5, Pickx+ Sports 5, Play Sports 7, Play Sports 7
brazilBrazilHBO Max
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
chinaChinaiQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaESPN 3
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 5, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkTV3 MAX, Viaplay
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+
franceFranceCanal+ Live 4
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, WOW
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 5
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
hungaryHungaryRTL+
icelandIcelandViaplay
indiaIndiaJioTV app, Sony LIV
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, Vidio
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 256
kenyaKenyaGotv
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, Caliente TV
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport LaLiga
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaESPN Norte
norwayNorwayTV2 Play
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN SPORTS MAX
polandPolandCanal+ Extra 3
portugalPortugalDAZN 2, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaOrange TV Go, Prima Sport 5
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Football, SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones
swedenSwedenViaplay
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
turkeyTurkeyTabii, TRT Spor
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 4
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 5, TNT Sports Extra
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
vietnamVietnamON Plus

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
4.530.59
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
186
Shots on target
122
Big Chances
81
Corner Kicks
52
Passes
92% (531/580)87% (482/555)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
4.530.59
xG on target (xGOT)
6.361.11
Total shots
186
Shots on target
122
Shots off target
41
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
143
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
81
Corner Kicks
52
Touches in opposition box
3621
Accurate through passes
50
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
611
Passes
92% (531/580)87% (482/555)
Long passes
75% (42/56)49% (24/49)
Passes in final third
84% (114/135)75% (84/112)
Crosses
38% (8/21)7% (1/14)
Expected assists (xA)
2.780.64
Throw-ins
1513
Fouls
116
Tackles
59% (10/17)81% (13/16)
Duels won
4340
Clearances
3318
Interceptions
96
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
17
xGOT faced
1.116.36
Goals prevented
0.111.36

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 4', 1 - 0, Raspadori G. ,
  • 13', Lenglet C. 🟨,
  • 33', 2 - 0, Le Normand R. ,
  • 41', Brown N. 🟨,
  • 45+1', 3 - 0, Griezmann A. , Alvarez J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 55', Raspadori G. , Koke ,
  • 57', 3 - 1, Burkardt J. , Knauff A. (A),
  • 58', Skhiri E. , Hojlund O. ,
  • 58', Uzun C. Y. , Larsson H. ,
  • 58', Collins N. , Amenda A. ,
  • 70', 4 - 1, Simeone G. , Alvarez J. (A),
  • 71', Brown N. , Bahoya J. ,
  • 74', Doan R. , Wahi E. ,
  • 75', Barrios P. , Gonzalez N. ,
  • 75', Simeone G. , Molina N. ,
  • 82', 5 - 1, Alvarez J. (Pen),
  • 90', Alvarez J. , Baena A. ,
  • 90', Griezmann A. , Martin C. ,

Chances of winning


Atlético Madrid
66.8%
Draw
18.7%
Eintracht Frankfurt
14.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.7% 23.1% 19.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.6% 25% 17.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlético Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlético Madrid's performance.
  • Eintracht Frankfurt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Madrid than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eintracht Frankfurt than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
  • Atlético Madrid - Eintracht Frankfurt Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.45
    (1.65)
    5.21
    (4.13)
    6.84
    (4.93)
    2.9%
    (5.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    What is the prediction for Atlético Madrid - Eintracht Frankfurt?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 26 high ROI users predict this event. Atlético (votes: 17 - 65.4%). Eintracht (votes: 4 - 15.4%). Tie (votes: 5 - 19.2%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
    • AH -1.25 - Atlético (1.90) (votes: 4 - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • 1X2, 1st Half - Atlético (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - Eintracht (2.21) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • EH -2 - draw (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • EH -1 - Atlético (2.03) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • DC - Eintracht (2.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -2 - Eintracht (1.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.75 - Eintracht (1.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.5 - Eintracht (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.75 - Eintracht (2.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Eintracht (2.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.25 - Eintracht (3.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Eintracht (4.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Eintracht (5.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Atlético Madrid will win (61 of 76 users predict this - 80.26%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 71.31%89.21%.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 46 high ROI users predict this event. Atlético (votes: 23 - 50%). Eintracht (votes: 18 - 39.1%). Tie (votes: 5 - 10.9%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Atlético is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Eintracht has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Atlético may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Atlético is the clear favorite.
    • There will not play in Atlético: Almada T. (Muscle Injury) Cardoso J. (Ankle Injury) Gimenez J. M. (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in Eintracht: Kristensen R. (Muscle Injury) Ngankam J. (Leg Injury)
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Atlético Madrid
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Monaco (21)PSG (11)2 : 2, 2 : 3
    2Chelsea (6)Bye
    3Galatasaray (20)Juventus (13)2 : 3, 5 : 2
    4Liverpool (3)Bye
    5Benfica (24)Real Madrid (9)1 : 2, 0 : 1
    6Manchester City (8)Bye
    7Dortmund (17)Atalanta (15)1 : 4, 2 : 0
    8Bayern Munich (2)Bye
    9Qarabag (22)Newcastle (12)2 : 3, 1 : 6
    10Barcelona (5)Bye
    11Club Brugge KV (19)Atl. Madrid (14)1 : 4, 3 : 3
    12Tottenham (4)Bye
    13Bodo/Glimt (23)Inter (10)2 : 1, 3 : 1
    14Sporting CP (7)Bye
    15Olympiacos Piraeus (18)Bayer Leverkusen (16)0 : 0, 0 : 2
    16Arsenal (1)Bye

    1/8-finals
    1PSG (11)Chelsea (6)
    2Galatasaray (20)Liverpool (3)
    3Real Madrid (9)Manchester City (8)
    4Atalanta (15)Bayern Munich (2)
    5Newcastle (12)Barcelona (5)
    6Atl. Madrid (14)Tottenham (4)
    7Bodo/Glimt (23)Sporting CP (7)
    8Bayer Leverkusen (16)Arsenal (1)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2