Atlético Madrid vs Manchester United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Champions League Women
Football UEFA Champions League Women Atlético Madrid - Manchester United
Result
0:1
16/10/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Champions League Women - League phase - Round 2
  • Referee: Antoniou E. (Gre)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSupeSport ESPN 1
albaniaAlbaniaDisney+
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 2
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
austriaAustriaDisney+
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaDisney+
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaDisney+
colombiaColombiaESPN
croatiaCroatiaDisney+
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
czech-republicCzech-republicDisney+
denmarkDenmarkDisney+
estoniaEstoniaDisney+
finlandFinlandDisney+
franceFranceDisney+
greeceGreeceDisney+
hungaryHungaryDisney+
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
italyItalyDisney+
kazakhstanKazakhstanDisney+
kosovoKosovoDisney+
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect
mexicoMexicoTVC Deportes
netherlandsNetherlandsDisney+
nigeriaNigeriaSupeSport ESPN 1
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean, ESPN Norte
norwayNorwayDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandDisney+
portugalPortugalDisney+
romaniaRomaniaDisney+
slovakiaSlovakiaDisney+
south-africaSouth-africaSupeSport ESPN
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 2 South
spainSpainDisney+
swedenSwedenDisney+
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
ukraineUkraineDisney+
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaCBS Sports Golazo, ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, Paramount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.471.00
Ball Possession
66%34%
Total shots
1810
Shots on target
51
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
71
Passes
84% (440/521)73% (206/283)
Yellow Cards
31
Red Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
1.471.00
xG on target (xGOT)
1.580.65
Total shots
1810
Shots on target
51
Shots off target
57
Blocked Shots
82
Shots inside the Box
128
Shots outside the Box
62
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
71
Touches in opposition box
3418
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1111
Passes
84% (440/521)73% (206/283)
Long passes
56% (22/39)22% (11/50)
Passes in final third
78% (123/157)53% (44/83)
Crosses
27% (7/26)40% (2/5)
Expected assists (xA)
1.250.45
Throw-ins
2019
Fouls
1111
Tackles
62% (8/13)61% (11/18)
Duels won
3345
Clearances
1337
Interceptions
512
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
06
xGOT faced
0.651.58
Goals prevented
-0.351.58

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 19', Riviere J. 🟨,
  • 24', 0 - 1, Rolfo F. ⚽,
  • 41', Janssen D. 🟥,
  • 42', Gio Garbelini ↓, Portales Nieto M. ↑,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Toone E. ↓, George G. ↑,
  • 46', Terland E. ↓, Naalsund L. ↑,
  • 53', Alexia 🟨,
  • 64', Rolfo F. ↓, Galton L. ↑,
  • 66', Jensen S. ↓, Guijarro S. ↑,
  • 74', Alexia 🟨,
  • 86', Iannuzzi F. ↓, Vitoria A. ↑,
  • 86', Boe Risa V. ↓, Bartel J. ↑,
  • 86', Lauren Leal ↓, Perez X. ↑,
  • 87', Malard M. ↓, Williams R. ↑,
  • 90+2', Luany 🟨,

Chances of winning


Atlético Madrid
25.7%		Draw
26.3%		Manchester United
48%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.8% 26.1% 33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2% 27% 32%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlético Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético Madrid's form might have worsened.
  • Manchester United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Manchester United's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Madrid than the current prediction. (+16.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Madrid, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manchester United than the current prediction. (-16%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Manchester United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
    •

    Atlético Madrid - Manchester United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 4.08 ↑
    (2.29)    		 3.83 ↑
    (3.58)    		 2.03 ↓
    (2.82)    		 -0%
    (7.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Atlético Madrid - Manchester United?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Atlético Madrid will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). Man Utd will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Man Utd: 19.1% – 73.3%.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • In recent matches, Atlético Madrid has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Man Utd is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
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    Latest results of Manchester United
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    UEFA Champions League Women Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Barcelona W220011:1106
    2Real Madrid W22008:356
    3Wolfsburg W22006:156
    4Lyon W22005:146
    5Manchester Utd W22002:026
    6Chelsea W21105:144
    7Leuven W21104:314
    8Atl. Madrid W21016:153
    9Arsenal W21013:213
    10Juventus W21013:303
    11Bayern Munich W21013:8-53
    12Twente W20112:3-11
    13Paris FC W20112:6-41
    14Valerenga W20021:3-20
    15SL Benfica W20021:4-30
    16PSG W20021:6-50
    17AS Roma W20022:10-80
    18St. Polten W20020:9-90

          Promotion ~ Champions League Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Champions League Women (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

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