Rayo Vallecano vs Atlético Madrid – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

15/02/2026 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Campo de Futbol de Vallecas (Madrid).

LaLiga - Round 24
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 4, CANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport 4, DStv Now, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Argentina	DAZN, DirecTV Sports
Armenia	Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 2
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3
Australia	beIN Connect
Austria	DAZN
Azerbaijan	Setanta Sports 2
Bangladesh	Begin
Bolivia	DAZN, Tigo Sports 1, Tigo Sports App
Brazil	Disney+, ESPN 4
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	TSN+
Chile	DirecTV Sports
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport
Ecuador	DAZN, DirecTV Sports
Europe	Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, beIN Sports MAX 6
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2, Silk Sport 1
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports 1
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, SCTV, Vidio
Israel	ONE Sport
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports 2
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 1
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 2
Laos	beIN Connect
Madagascar	UpTV
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Maldives	ICE Xtra, Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
Moldova	Setanta Sports 2
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 3
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium, Viaplay
Paraguay	DAZN
Peru	DirecTV Sports
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Poland	CANAL+ Sport
Portugal	DAZN 1, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 1, Arena Premium 5
Singapore	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	Nova Sport 4, Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, DAZN LaLiga, LaLiga TV Bar
Suriname	QN Sports, SCCN
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1
Switzerland	Blue Sport 5, Blue Sport 5, DAZN Switzerland
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 2
Tanzania	ZBC 2 Tanzania
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	S Sport, S Sport+
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 2
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	LaLiga TV, Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	DAZN, DirecTV Sports
Usa	DAZN Espanol, ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+, Fubo Sports Network
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 2
Venezuela	DAZN, DirecTV Sports, Inter
Vietnam	SCTV 15
World	Daystar Pacific

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.56	1.10
Ball possession
41%	59%
Total shots
13	9
Shots on target
9	4
Big chances
6	1
Corner kicks
4	8
Passes
81% (286/355)	85% (413/487)
Yellow cards
1	3
Expected goals (xG)
1.56	1.10
xG on target (xGOT)
2.68	0.76
Total shots
13	9
Shots on target
9	4
Shots off target
1	2
Blocked shots
3	3
Shots inside the box
8	7
Shots outside the box
5	2
Hit the woodwork
0	1
Headed goals
1	0
Big chances
6	1
Corner kicks
4	8
Touches in opposition box
19	32
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
3	0
Free kicks
13	10
Passes
81% (286/355)	85% (413/487)
Long passes
33% (16/48)	70% (46/66)
Passes in final third
59% (51/86)	72% (85/118)
Crosses
27% (3/11)	14% (5/35)
Expected assists (xA)
1.14	0.65
Throw ins
15	27
Fouls
10	13
Tackles
42% (5/12)	55% (6/11)
Duels won
40	40
Clearances
38	23
Interceptions
10	6
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	1
Goalkeeper saves
3	6
xGOT faced
0.76	2.68
Goals prevented
0.76	-0.32

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 0)
29', Cardoso J. 🟨,
40', 1 - 0, Perez F. ⚽, Ratiu A. (A),
45', 2 - 0, Valentin O. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', Mendoza R. 🟨,
56', Mendoza R. ↓, Le Normand R. ↑,
56', Ruggeri M. ↓, Vargas O. ↑,
56', Baena A. ↓, Alvarez J. ↑,
63', Cardoso J. ↓, Llorente M. ↑,
63', Lenglet C. ↓, Lookman A. ↑,
64', Palazon I. ↓, Diaz P. ↑,
64', de Frutos J. ↓, Vertrouwd J. ↑,
64', Perez F. ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
70', Llorente M. 🟨,
74', Akhomach I. ↓, Nteka R. ↑,
76', 3 - 0, Mendy N. ⚽, Garcia A. (A),
83', Gumbau G. ↓, Lopez U. ↑,
90+2', Garcia A. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Rayo Vallecano
20.6%

Draw
26.6%

Atlético Madrid
52.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.1%

26.7%

53.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.5%

25.9%

54.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rayo Vallecano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Atlético Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rayo Vallecano than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Madrid than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Rayo Vallecano - Atlético Madrid Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.64 ↓ (4.67)	3.58 ↑ (3.5)	1.81 ↑ (1.76)	4.8% (6.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Rayo Vallecano - Atlético Madrid?

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH 0 - Rayo Vallecano (3.42) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

DC - Atlético (1.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH -0.5 - Rayo Vallecano (4.31) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Atlético (1.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Atlético Madrid will win (71 of 79 users predict this - 89.87%).
Confidence interval (95%): 83.22% – 96.52%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Atlético Madrid will win (27 of 28 users predict this - 96.43%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 33 high ROI users predict this event. Rayo Vallecano (votes: 3 - 9.1%). Atlético (votes: 30 - 90.9%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.

Preview Facts

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rayo Vallecano won 0.
Rayo Vallecano has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
In recent matches, Atlético has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Atlético may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Atlético is a strong favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rayo Vallecano won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 12:44. (average 0.6:2.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Rayo Vallecano won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 7:20. (average 0.7:2).

How many head-to-head matches has Rayo Vallecano won against Atlético Madrid?

Rayo Vallecano has won 0 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Madrid won against Rayo Vallecano?

Atlético Madrid has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Rayo Vallecano - Atlético Madrid were as follows:

24.09.2025 Atlético Madrid - Rayo Vallecano 3:2

24.04.2025 Atlético Madrid - Rayo Vallecano 3:0

22.09.2024 Rayo Vallecano - Atlético Madrid 1:1

31.01.2024 Atlético Madrid - Rayo Vallecano 2:1

28.08.2023 Rayo Vallecano - Atlético Madrid 0:7

Latest results of Rayo Vallecano

01.02.2026 Real Madrid - Rayo Vallecano 2:1 ✺

24.01.2026 Rayo Vallecano - Osasuna 1:3 ✺

18.01.2026 Celta de Vigo - Rayo Vallecano 3:0 ✺

14.01.2026 Deportivo Alavés - Rayo Vallecano 2:0 ✺

11.01.2026 Rayo Vallecano - Mallorca 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Atlético Madrid

12.02.2026 Atlético Madrid - Barcelona 4:0 ✺

08.02.2026 Atlético Madrid - Betis 0:1 ✺

05.02.2026 Betis - Atlético Madrid 0:5 ✺

31.01.2026 Levante - Atlético Madrid 0:0 ✺

28.01.2026 Atlético Madrid - Bodø Glimt 1:2 ✺

Spanish LaLiga Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Barcelona	25	20	1	4	67:25	42	61
2	Real Madrid	25	19	3	3	54:21	33	60
3	Villarreal	25	16	3	6	47:27	20	51
4	Atl. Madrid	25	14	6	5	42:23	19	48
5	Betis	25	11	9	5	40:30	10	42
6	Celta Vigo	25	9	10	6	34:27	7	37
7	Espanyol	25	10	5	10	31:37	-6	35
8	Ath Bilbao	25	10	4	11	29:35	-6	34
9	Osasuna	25	9	6	10	30:29	1	33
10	Real Sociedad	25	8	8	9	37:38	-1	32
11	Girona	25	7	9	9	26:40	-14	30
12	Sevilla	25	8	5	12	32:39	-7	29
13	Getafe	25	8	5	12	20:29	-9	29
14	Alaves	25	7	6	12	23:32	-9	27
15	Rayo Vallecano	24	6	8	10	22:31	-9	26
16	Valencia	25	6	8	11	26:39	-13	26
17	Elche	25	5	10	10	32:37	-5	25
18	Mallorca	25	6	6	13	29:41	-12	24
19	Levante	25	4	6	15	26:44	-18	18
20	Oviedo	24	3	8	13	16:39	-23	17

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ LaLiga2