Result
3:2
24/09/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- LaLiga - Round 6
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Africa | Azam Sports 4, CANAL+ Sport 3, DStv Now, New World Sport 4, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3, ZAP |
Andorra | beIN Sports 1 |
Angola | Z Sports La Liga |
Argentina | DirecTV Sports, DSports 1 |
Armenia | Fast Sports |
Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA French 1 |
Australia | Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect |
Austria | DAZN, Sky Go Austria |
Azerbaijan | Idman TV |
Bangladesh | Begin |
Belarus | Belarus 5 |
Bolivia | Tigo Sports 1 |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 3 |
Brazil | Disney+ |
Bulgaria | Max Sport 4 |
Canada | Amazon Prime Video, TSN+ |
Chile | DirecTV Sports |
China | iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
Croatia | Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go |
Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8 |
Czech-republic | Nova Sport 4, Oneplay |
Denmark | TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X |
Ecuador | DirecTV Sports |
Europe | Go3 Sport 1 Baltic |
Finland | MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1 |
France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free |
Georgia | Silk Sport 1, Silk Sport 3 |
Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, WOW |
Greece | Nova Sports Prime |
Haiti | Canal+ Sport 1 |
Hong-kong | M Plus Live |
Hungary | Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium |
India | FanCode, FanCode |
Indonesia | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
Iran | IRIB Varzesh |
Italy | 214 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia, SKY Go Italia |
Japan | DAZN Japan, U-NEXT |
Kazakhstan | Setanta Sports |
Kenya | Gotv |
Laos | beIN Connect |
Macao | Macau Cable TV 34 Football |
Madagascar | UpTV |
Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
Malta | TSN Malta 4 |
Mexico | Sky Sport |
New-zealand | beIN Connect |
Nigeria | SuperSport LaLiga |
North-central-america | DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte |
North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
Norway | TV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1, Viaplay |
Peru | DirecTV Sports |
Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
Poland | Eleven Sports 1 |
Portugal | DAZN 4, DAZN / App |
Romania | Digi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3 |
Russia | MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru |
Serbia | Arena Sport 3 |
Singapore | beIN SPORTS MAX |
Slovakia | Voyo |
Slovenia | Arena Sport 1 Premium |
South-africa | SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga |
South-america | DGO Latin America |
Spain | LaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga 2, M+ LaLiga |
Sweden | TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play |
Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
Turkey | S Sport, S Sport+ |
Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine |
United-kingdom | Amazon Prime Video, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player |
Uruguay | DirecTV Sports, DSports 1 |
Usa | DAZN Espanol, ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+ |
Venezuela | DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Inter |
Vietnam | SCTV 15 |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
3.98 | 0.91 |
Ball Possession |
---|
61% | 39% |
Total shots |
---|
20 | 9 |
Shots on target |
---|
8 | 3 |
Big Chances |
---|
10 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
8 | 6 |
Passes |
---|
87% (503/575) | 81% (299/370) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
3 | 4 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
3.98 | 0.91 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
2.81 | 0.76 |
Total shots |
---|
20 | 9 |
Shots on target |
---|
8 | 3 |
Shots off target |
---|
8 | 6 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
4 | 0 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
17 | 5 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
3 | 4 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
10 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
8 | 6 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
47 | 15 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
1 | 2 |
Offsides |
---|
3 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
12 | 6 |
Passes |
---|
87% (503/575) | 81% (299/370) |
Long passes |
---|
45% (19/42) | 48% (27/56) |
Passes in final third |
---|
82% (145/176) | 55% (44/80) |
Crosses |
---|
50% (12/24) | 6% (1/17) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
2.37 | 0.53 |
Throw-ins |
---|
22 | 21 |
Fouls |
---|
6 | 12 |
Tackles |
---|
67% (8/12) | 60% (12/20) |
Duels won |
---|
43 | 39 |
Clearances |
---|
15 | 20 |
Interceptions |
---|
12 | 7 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
1 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
1 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
1 | 5 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.76 | 2.81 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-1.24 | -0.19 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 15', 1 - 0, Alvarez J. ⚽, Llorente M. (A),
- 45+1', 1 - 1, Chavarria P. ⚽, Lopez U. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 51', Koke 🟨,
- 54', Balliu I. 🟨,
- 56', Koke ↓, Gonzalez N. ↑,
- 56', Molina N. ↓, Simeone G. ↑,
- 65', Perez F. ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
- 65', Valentin O. ↓, Ciss P. ↑,
- 66', Alemao ↓, Pacha ↑,
- 73', Galan J. ↓, Raspadori G. ↑,
- 78', 1 - 2, Garcia A. ⚽, Palazon I. (A),
- 79', Lopez U. ↓, Diaz P. ↑,
- 79', Gallagher C. ↓, Pubill M. ↑,
- 79', Griezmann A. ↓, Ruggeri M. ↑,
- 80', 2 - 2, Alvarez J. ⚽,
- 86', Palazon I. ↓, Gumbau G. ↑,
- 87', Llorente M. 🟨,
- 87', Chavarria P. 🟨,
- 88', 3 - 2, Alvarez J. ⚽, Simeone G. (A),
- 90+3', Ciss P. 🟨,
- 90+6', Le Normand R. 🟨,
- 90+8', Ratiu A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Atlético Madrid 64% | Draw 22.7% | Rayo Vallecano 13.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)Rayo Vallecano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Madrid than the current prediction. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rayo Vallecano than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
Atlético Madrid - Rayo Vallecano Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.52 ↑ (1.51) |
4.3 ↓ (4.39) |
7.17 ↑ (5.83) |
3.2% (6.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Atlético Madrid - Rayo Vallecano?
Users Predictions:
73 users predict this event. Atlético will win (votes: 65 - 89%). Rayo Vallecano will win (votes: 2 - 2.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 8.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Atlético: 81.8% – 96.2%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1 - Atlético (votes: 4 - 100%).
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Atlético Madrid will win (15 of 15 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 12 and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético won 4.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Atlético may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Atlético is the obvious favorite.
- There will not play in Atlético: Almada T.
(Muscle Injury)
Gimenez J. M.
(Thigh Injury)
Sorloth A.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Rayo Vallecano: Luiz Felipe
(Muscle Injury)
Mumin A.
(Knee Injury)
Nteka R.
(Contusion)
- There are questionable in Atlético: Cardoso J.
(Ankle Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atlético won 15 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 45:13. (average 2.3:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Atlético won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 25:6. (average 2.5:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Madrid won against Rayo Vallecano?
Atlético Madrid has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rayo Vallecano won against Atlético Madrid?
Rayo Vallecano has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Madrid - Rayo Vallecano were as follows:
24.04.2025
Atlético Madrid
-
Rayo Vallecano
3:0
22.09.2024
Rayo Vallecano
-
Atlético Madrid
1:1
31.01.2024
Atlético Madrid
-
Rayo Vallecano
2:1
28.08.2023
Rayo Vallecano
-
Atlético Madrid
0:7
09.04.2023
Rayo Vallecano
-
Atlético Madrid
1:2
Latest results of Atlético Madrid
Latest results of Rayo Vallecano
Spanish LaLiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Real Madrid | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 14:3 | 11 | 18 |
2 | Barcelona | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 19:4 | 15 | 16 |
3 | Villarreal | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12:5 | 7 | 13 |
4 | Espanyol | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10:9 | 1 | 12 |
5 | Elche | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 8:5 | 3 | 10 |
6 | Ath Bilbao | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 10 |
7 | Getafe | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 10 |
8 | Atl. Madrid | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9:7 | 2 | 9 |
9 | Betis | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9:7 | 2 | 9 |
10 | Alaves | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 8 |
11 | Valencia | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:10 | -2 | 8 |
12 | Sevilla | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10:10 | 0 | 7 |
13 | Osasuna | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:5 | 0 | 7 |
14 | Rayo Vallecano | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 5 |
15 | Celta Vigo | 6 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 5:7 | -2 | 5 |
16 | Real Sociedad | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 5 |
17 | Levante | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | 4 |
18 | R. Oviedo | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2:11 | -9 | 3 |
19 | Girona | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3:16 | -13 | 3 |
20 | Mallorca | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5:11 | -6 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ LaLiga2