Atlético Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2
24/09/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga - Round 6
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaAzam Sports 4, CANAL+ Sport 3, DStv Now, New World Sport 4, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3, ZAP
andorraAndorrabeIN Sports 1
angolaAngolaZ Sports La Liga
argentinaArgentinaDirecTV Sports, DSports 1
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA French 1
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, beIN Connect
austriaAustriaDAZN, Sky Go Austria
azerbaijanAzerbaijanIdman TV
bangladeshBangladeshBegin
belarusBelarusBelarus 5
boliviaBoliviaTigo Sports 1
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 3
brazilBrazilDisney+
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 4
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, TSN+
chileChileDirecTV Sports
chinaChinaiQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 4, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
ecuadorEcuadorDirecTV Sports
europeEuropeGo3 Sport 1 Baltic
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free
georgiaGeorgiaSilk Sport 1, Silk Sport 3
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports Prime
haitiHaitiCanal+ Sport 1
hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live
hungaryHungarySpiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
iranIranIRIB Varzesh
italyItaly214 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia, SKY Go Italia
japanJapanDAZN Japan, U-NEXT
kazakhstanKazakhstanSetanta Sports
kenyaKenyaGotv
laosLaosbeIN Connect
macaoMacaoMacau Cable TV 34 Football
madagascarMadagascarUpTV
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
maltaMaltaTSN Malta 4
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport LaLiga
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1, Viaplay
peruPeruDirecTV Sports
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
polandPolandEleven Sports 1
portugalPortugalDAZN 4, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 3
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1 Premium
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America
spainSpainLaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga 2, M+ LaLiga
swedenSwedenTV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
turkeyTurkeyS Sport, S Sport+
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
uruguayUruguayDirecTV Sports, DSports 1
usaUsaDAZN Espanol, ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Inter
vietnamVietnamSCTV 15

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.980.91
Ball Possession
61%39%
Total shots
209
Shots on target
83
Big Chances
103
Corner Kicks
86
Passes
87% (503/575)81% (299/370)
Yellow Cards
34
Expected Goals (xG)
3.980.91
xG on target (xGOT)
2.810.76
Total shots
209
Shots on target
83
Shots off target
86
Blocked Shots
40
Shots inside the Box
175
Shots outside the Box
34
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
103
Corner Kicks
86
Touches in opposition box
4715
Accurate through passes
12
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
126
Passes
87% (503/575)81% (299/370)
Long passes
45% (19/42)48% (27/56)
Passes in final third
82% (145/176)55% (44/80)
Crosses
50% (12/24)6% (1/17)
Expected assists (xA)
2.370.53
Throw-ins
2221
Fouls
612
Tackles
67% (8/12)60% (12/20)
Duels won
4339
Clearances
1520
Interceptions
127
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
15
xGOT faced
0.762.81
Goals prevented
-1.24-0.19

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 15', 1 - 0, Alvarez J. , Llorente M. (A),
  • 45+1', 1 - 1, Chavarria P. , Lopez U. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 51', Koke 🟨,
  • 54', Balliu I. 🟨,
  • 56', Koke , Gonzalez N. ,
  • 56', Molina N. , Simeone G. ,
  • 65', Perez F. , Garcia A. ,
  • 65', Valentin O. , Ciss P. ,
  • 66', Alemao , Pacha ,
  • 73', Galan J. , Raspadori G. ,
  • 78', 1 - 2, Garcia A. , Palazon I. (A),
  • 79', Lopez U. , Diaz P. ,
  • 79', Gallagher C. , Pubill M. ,
  • 79', Griezmann A. , Ruggeri M. ,
  • 80', 2 - 2, Alvarez J. ,
  • 86', Palazon I. , Gumbau G. ,
  • 87', Llorente M. 🟨,
  • 87', Chavarria P. 🟨,
  • 88', 3 - 2, Alvarez J. , Simeone G. (A),
  • 90+3', Ciss P. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Le Normand R. 🟨,
  • 90+8', Ratiu A. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Atlético Madrid
64%
Draw
22.7%
Rayo Vallecano
13.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.4% 21.5% 16.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.8% 21% 15.8%

Atlético Madrid - Rayo Vallecano Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.52
(1.51)
4.3
(4.39)
7.17
(5.83)
3.2%
(6.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Atlético Madrid - Rayo Vallecano?
  • Users Predictions: 73 users predict this event. Atlético will win (votes: 65 - 89%). Rayo Vallecano will win (votes: 2 - 2.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 8.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Atlético: 81.8%96.2%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1 - Atlético (1.79) (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Atlético Madrid will win (15 of 15 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 12 and 14).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético won 4.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Atlético may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Atlético is the obvious favorite.
    • There will not play in Atlético: Almada T. (Muscle Injury) Gimenez J. M. (Thigh Injury) Sorloth A. (Red Card)
    • There will not play in Rayo Vallecano: Luiz Felipe (Muscle Injury) Mumin A. (Knee Injury) Nteka R. (Contusion)
    • There are questionable in Atlético: Cardoso J. (Ankle Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atlético won 15 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 45:13. (average 2.3:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Atlético won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 25:6. (average 2.5:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Madrid - Rayo Vallecano were as follows:
    24.04.2025 Atlético Madrid - Rayo Vallecano 3:0
    22.09.2024 Rayo Vallecano - Atlético Madrid 1:1
    31.01.2024 Atlético Madrid - Rayo Vallecano 2:1
    28.08.2023 Rayo Vallecano - Atlético Madrid 0:7
    09.04.2023 Rayo Vallecano - Atlético Madrid 1:2
    Latest results of Atlético Madrid
    Latest results of Rayo Vallecano
    Spanish LaLiga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Barcelona14111239:162334
    2Real Madrid13102128:121632
    3Villarreal1392226:111529
    4Atl. Madrid1384125:111428
    5Betis1356220:14621
    6Espanyol1363417:16121
    7Getafe1462613:15-220
    8Ath Bilbao1462614:17-320
    9Real Sociedad1344517:18-116
    10Sevilla1351719:21-216
    11Celta Vigo1337316:18-216
    12Elche1437415:17-216
    13Rayo Vallecano1344512:14-216
    14Alaves1443712:15-315
    15Mallorca1434715:22-713
    16Valencia1334612:21-913
    17Osasuna1433812:18-612
    18Girona1325612:25-1311
    19Levante1423916:26-109
    20Oviedo132387:20-139

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ LaLiga2