Atlético Mineiro vs Athletico Paranaense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie A Atlético Mineiro - Athletico Paranaense
Result
1:0
08/12/2024 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: Serie A Betano - Round 38
  • Referee: Klein R. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
peruPeruL1 Max
worldWorldFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.370.39
Ball Possession
62%38%
Goal Attempts
147
Shots on Goal
74
Shots off Goal
42
Blocked Shots
31
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
54
Shots inside the Box
63
Shots outside the Box
84
Hit the Woodwork
11
Goalkeeper Saves
46
Free Kicks
1612
Offsides
02
Fouls
1216
Yellow Cards
33
Throw-ins
2016
Touches in the Opposition Box
1712
Passes
86% (383/444)73% (191/262)
Passes in the final third
67% (82/122)46% (31/68)
Crosses
21% (4/19)17% (3/18)
Tackles
67% (4/6)57% (8/14)
Clearances Total
3527
Interceptions
56

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 24', Canobbio A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 55', Fernandinho 🟨,
  • 63', Felipinho , Emersonn ,
  • 63', Godoy L. , Nikao ,
  • 66', Thiago Heleno 🟨,
  • 73', Hulk (Pen),
  • 73', 1 - 0, Rubens ,
  • 75', Deyverson , Alisson ,
  • 75', Fausto Vera , Lyanco ,
  • 78', Erick , Christian ,
  • 78', Esquivel L. , Fernando ,
  • 78', Palacios Alzate B. 🟨,
  • 82', Rubens , Igor Gomes ,
  • 87', Renzo Saravia , Igor Rabello ,
  • 87', Hulk , Eduardo Vargas ,
  • 87', Fernandinho , Joao Cruz ,
  • 90', Everson 🟨,
  • 90+7', Igor Gomes 🟨,

Chances of winning


Atlético Mineiro
45.2%
Draw
30.1%
Athletico Paranaense
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.7% 28.9% 26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47% 30.4% 25.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlético Mineiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • Athletico Paranaense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Mineiro than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletico Paranaense than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • Atlético Mineiro - Athletico Paranaense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.1
    (2.12)
    3.16
    (3.28)
    3.84
    (3.57)
    5.4%
    (5.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Atlético Mineiro - Athletico Paranaense?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Atlético MG will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Athletico PR will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 14 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 16).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Atlético MG won 2.
    • Atlético MG is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Athletico PR is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Atlético MG could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently Athletico PR have a series of home games.
    • Atlético MG will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • There will not play in Atlético MG: Bernard (Injury) Cadu (Knee Injury) Paulinho (Injury) Zaracho M. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Athletico PR: Gonzalo Mastriani (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Athletico PR: Madson (Ankle Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Atlético MG won 12 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 27:17 (average 1.4:0.9).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Atlético MG won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 16:10 (average 1.6:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Mineiro - Athletico Paranaense were as follows:
    16.11.2024 Athletico Paranaense - Atlético Mineiro 1:0
    02.09.2023 Athletico Paranaense - Atlético Mineiro 1:1
    23.05.2023 Atlético Mineiro - Athletico Paranaense 2:1
    18.04.2023 Athletico Paranaense - Atlético Mineiro 2:1
    Latest results of Atlético Mineiro
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cruzeiro16104227:91834
    2Flamengo RJ15103229:62333
    3Palmeiras15102319:12732
    4Bragantino1783620:20027
    5Botafogo RJ1575318:81026
    6Bahia1474317:13425
    7Mirassol1567224:141025
    8Corinthians1756616:20-421
    9Fluminense1462616:17-120
    10Atletico-MG1455416:15120
    11Internacional1555516:19-320
    12Sao Paulo1647515:18-319
    13Ceara1553714:15-118
    14Gremio1545614:21-717
    15Vitoria1738614:18-417
    16Santos1643915:21-615
    17Vasco1442815:19-414
    18Fortaleza1535716:21-514
    19Juventude1432910:29-1911
    20Sport Recife1505109:25-165

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet