Atlético Mineiro vs Botafogo RJ – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

20/04/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

MRV Arena (Belo Horizonte).

Serie A Betano - Round 5
Referee: Abatti R. (Bra)
Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globo Internacional TV, Premiere, Sky+, TV Globo, Vivo Play, Zapping
China	K-Ball

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.01	0.29
Ball Possession
55%	45%
Total shots
13	7
Shots on target
6	2
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
8	4
Passes
85% (341/402)	81% (273/336)
Yellow Cards
3	2
Red Cards
0	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.01	0.29
xG on target (xGOT)
1.73	0.95
Total shots
13	7
Shots on target
6	2
Shots off target
5	2
Blocked Shots
2	3
Shots inside the Box
9	4
Shots outside the Box
4	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
8	4
Touches in opposition box
20	14
Through passes
0% (0/1)	100% (1/1)
Offsides
1	1
Free Kicks
14	13
Passes
85% (341/402)	81% (273/336)
Long passes
69% (42/61)	45% (26/58)
Passes in final third
71% (67/95)	53% (40/76)
Crosses
23% (5/22)	36% (4/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.03	0.78
Fouls
13	14
Tackles
50% (6/12)	64% (9/14)
Duels won
44	36
Clearances Total
24	14
Interceptions
9	6
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	5
xGOT faced
0.95	1.73
Goals prevented
0.92	0.92

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Igor Gomes ↓, Gustavo Scarpa ↑,
46', Caio Paulista ↓, Gabriel Menino ↑,
48', 1 - 0, Cuello ⚽, Gabriel Menino (A),
56', Rony 🟨,
63', David Ricardo 🟥,
69', Vitinho ↓, Ponte M. ↑,
69', Cuiabano ↓, Alex Telles ↑,
69', Artur ↓, Danilo Barbosa ↑,
74', John Victor 🟨,
75', Cuello 🟨,
79', Danilo Barbosa 🟨,
79', Hulk 🟨,
82', Marlon Freitas ↓, Patrick de Paula ↑,
90', Rony ↓, Joao Marcelo ↑,
90', Cuello ↓, Bernard ↑,
90+6', Hulk ↓, Renzo Saravia ↑,

Chances of winning

Atlético Mineiro
43.1%

Draw
28.8%

Botafogo RJ
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.5%

30.8%

30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

30.5%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Mineiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Botafogo RJ has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Mineiro than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo RJ than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Atlético Mineiro - Botafogo RJ Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↓ (2.44)	3.31 ↑ (3.05)	3.39 ↑ (3.06)	4.9% (6.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Atlético Mineiro - Botafogo RJ?

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Atlético MG will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Botafogo will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Atlético MG (votes: 2 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Last 5 head-to-head matches Atlético MG won 1.
The game of competitors is shaky now.
Atlético MG could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Atlético MG will have a small advantage in this match.
There will not play in Atlético MG: Cadu (Knee Injury) Caio Maia (Inactive) Franco A. (Knee Injury) Guilherme Arana (Thigh Injury) Igor Rabello (Hamstring Injury) Junior Santos (Muscle Injury) Palacios Alzate B. (Hamstring Injury) Patrick Silva (Ankle Injury)
There will not play in Botafogo: Bastos (Knee Injury) Marcal (Lacking Match Fitness) Nathan Fernandes (Thigh Injury)
Last 20 head-to-head matches Atlético MG won 9 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 20:22 (average 1:1.1).
Including matches at home between the teams Atlético MG won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10:6 (average 1:0.6).

How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Mineiro won against Botafogo RJ?

Atlético Mineiro has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Botafogo RJ won against Atlético Mineiro?

Botafogo RJ has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Mineiro - Botafogo RJ were as follows:

30.11.2024 Atlético Mineiro - Botafogo RJ 1:3

20.11.2024 Atlético Mineiro - Botafogo RJ 0:0

07.07.2024 Botafogo RJ - Atlético Mineiro 3:0

16.09.2023 Atlético Mineiro - Botafogo RJ 1:0

07.05.2023 Botafogo RJ - Atlético Mineiro 2:0

Latest results of Atlético Mineiro

16.04.2025 Santos - Atlético Mineiro 2:0 ✺

13.04.2025 Atlético Mineiro - Vitória Salvador 2:2 ✺

10.04.2025 Atlético Mineiro - Deportes Iquique 4:0 ✺

06.04.2025 Atlético Mineiro - São Paulo 0:0 ✺

01.04.2025 Cienciano - Atlético Mineiro 0:0 ✺

Latest results of Botafogo RJ

16.04.2025 Botafogo RJ - São Paulo 2:2 ✺

12.04.2025 Red Bull Bragantino - Botafogo RJ 1:0 ✺

08.04.2025 Botafogo RJ - Carabobo 2:0 ✺

05.04.2025 Botafogo RJ - Juventude 2:0 ✺

02.04.2025 Universidad de Chile - Botafogo RJ 1:0 ✺

Brazilian Serie A Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Cruzeiro	16	10	4	2	27:9	18	34
2	Flamengo RJ	15	10	3	2	29:6	23	33
3	Palmeiras	14	9	2	3	18:12	6	29
4	Bragantino	16	8	3	5	19:17	2	27
5	Botafogo RJ	14	7	4	3	17:7	10	25
6	Bahia	14	7	4	3	17:13	4	25
7	Mirassol	14	6	6	2	23:13	10	24
8	Fluminense	14	6	2	6	16:17	-1	20
9	Atletico-MG	14	5	5	4	16:15	1	20
10	Internacional	15	5	5	5	16:19	-3	20
11	Corinthians	16	5	5	6	15:19	-4	20
12	Ceara	15	5	3	7	14:15	-1	18
13	Gremio	14	4	5	5	14:20	-6	17
14	Sao Paulo	15	3	7	5	14:18	-4	16
15	Vitoria	16	3	7	6	13:17	-4	16
16	Vasco	14	4	2	8	15:19	-4	14
17	Santos	15	4	2	9	13:19	-6	14
18	Juventude	13	3	2	8	10:28	-18	11
19	Fortaleza	14	2	5	7	13:20	-7	11
20	Sport Recife	14	0	4	10	7:23	-16	4

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