Botafogo RJ vs Atlético Mineiro – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie A
Result
1:0
20/09/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A Betano - Round 24
  • Where to Watch on TV:
austriaAustriaDAZN
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Disney+, Premiere
chinaChinaK-Ball
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
ecuadorEcuadorEl Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
israelIsraelSport 2
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
portugalPortugalCanal 11
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 5
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 1, #Vamos
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.740.73
Ball Possession
32%68%
Total shots
813
Shots on target
22
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
74
Passes
80% (238/296)88% (569/644)
Yellow Cards
52
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.740.73
xG on target (xGOT)
0.410.43
Total shots
813
Shots on target
22
Shots off target
37
Blocked Shots
34
Shots inside the Box
57
Shots outside the Box
36
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
74
Touches in opposition box
1120
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
914
Passes
80% (238/296)88% (569/644)
Long passes
33% (14/42)53% (25/47)
Passes in final third
63% (45/71)85% (198/233)
Crosses
31% (4/13)30% (7/23)
Expected assists (xA)
0.651.03
Throw-ins
1319
Fouls
149
Tackles
67% (8/12)78% (7/9)
Duels won
3942
Clearances
3420
Interceptions
107
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
0.430.41
Goals prevented
0.43-0.59

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 7', Lyanco 🟨,
  • 26', Marlon Freitas 🟨,
  • 26', Hulk 🟨,
  • 39', Rodriguez S. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Ramos C. 🟥,
  • 45+3', Marcal 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Lyanco ↓, Gustavo Scarpa ↑,
  • 46', Caio Paulista ↓, Guilherme Arana ↑,
  • 48', 1 - 0, Rodriguez S. ⚽, Montoro A. (A),
  • 69', Igor Gomes ↓, Rony ↑,
  • 73', Savarino J. ↓, Correa J. ↑,
  • 76', Reinier ↓, Biel ↑,
  • 76', Natanael ↓, Bernard ↑,
  • 83', Montoro A. 🟨,
  • 83', Montoro A. ↓, Cuiabano ↑,
  • 88', Rodriguez S. ↓, Allan ↑,
  • 90+4', Leo Linck 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Botafogo RJ
54.5%		Draw
27.6%		Atlético Mineiro
18%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.6% 25.2% 15.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.4% 24.9% 14.9%

Botafogo RJ - Atlético Mineiro Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 1.75 ↑
(1.58)		 3.46 ↓
(3.73)		 5.35 ↓
(6.2)		 4.9%
(6.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Botafogo RJ - Atlético Mineiro?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Botafogo will win (votes: 12 - 92.3%). Atlético MG will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Botafogo: 77.8% – 100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Botafogo RJ will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: ) and 13).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Botafogo won 2.
    • Recent performances by Botafogo have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Atlético MG is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, Botafogo is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Botafogo: Arthur Cabral (Injury) Artur (Calf Injury) Bastos (Knee Injury) Nathan Fernandes (Arm Injury) Neto (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in Atlético MG: Alexsander (Yellow Cards) Cadu (Knee Injury) Caio Maia (Knee Injury) Patrick Silva (Broken tailbone) Renzo Saravia (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Atlético MG: Cuello (Injury) Ruan Tressoldi (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Botafogo won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 19:19. (average 1:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Botafogo won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:8. (average 1.4:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Botafogo RJ - Atlético Mineiro were as follows:
    20.04.2025 Atlético Mineiro - Botafogo RJ 1:0
    30.11.2024 Atlético Mineiro - Botafogo RJ 1:3
    20.11.2024 Atlético Mineiro - Botafogo RJ 0:0
    07.07.2024 Botafogo RJ - Atlético Mineiro 3:0
    16.09.2023 Atlético Mineiro - Botafogo RJ 1:0
    Latest results of Botafogo RJ
    17.09.2025 Botafogo RJ - Mirassol 3:3 ✺
    14.09.2025 São Paulo - Botafogo RJ 1:0 ✺
    11.09.2025 Botafogo RJ - Vasco da Gama 1:2 ✺
    30.08.2025 Botafogo RJ - Red Bull Bragantino 4:1 ✺
    27.08.2025 Vasco da Gama - Botafogo RJ 1:1 ✺
    Latest results of Atlético Mineiro
    17.09.2025 Bolívar - Atlético Mineiro 2:2 ✺
    14.09.2025 Atlético Mineiro - Santos 1:1 ✺
    11.09.2025 Cruzeiro - Atlético Mineiro 2:0 ✺
    31.08.2025 Vitória Salvador - Atlético Mineiro 1:0 ✺
    27.08.2025 Atlético Mineiro - Cruzeiro 0:2 ✺
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bragantino00000:000
    2Internacional00000:000
    3Vasco00000:000
    4Gremio00000:000
    5Botafogo RJ00000:000
    6Santos00000:000
    7Sao Paulo00000:000
    8Coritiba00000:000
    9Cruzeiro00000:000
    10Vitoria00000:000
    11Atletico-MG00000:000
    12Fluminense00000:000
    13Flamengo RJ00000:000
    14Palmeiras00000:000
    15Athletico-PR00000:000
    16Bahia00000:000
    17Corinthians00000:000
    18Mirassol00000:000
    19Remo00000:000
    20Chapecoense-SC00000:000

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet

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