Result
1:0
20/09/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 24
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Austria | DAZN |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Disney+, Premiere |
 China | K-Ball |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go |
 Ecuador | El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol |
 Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Israel | Sport 2 |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 5 |
 Spain | M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 1, #Vamos |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 United-kingdom | Amazon Prime Video, Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 0.73 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 32% | 68% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (238/296) | 88% (569/644) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 0.73 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.41 | 0.43 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 11 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (238/296) | 88% (569/644) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 33% (14/42) | 53% (25/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (45/71) | 85% (198/233) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (4/13) | 30% (7/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.65 | 1.03 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (8/12) | 78% (7/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 34 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.43 | 0.41 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.43 | -0.59 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 7', Lyanco 🟨,
- 26', Marlon Freitas 🟨,
- 26', Hulk 🟨,
- 39', Rodriguez S. 🟨,
- 45+1', Ramos C. 🟥,
- 45+3', Marcal 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Lyanco ↓, Gustavo Scarpa ↑,
- 46', Caio Paulista ↓, Guilherme Arana ↑,
- 48', 1 - 0, Rodriguez S. ⚽, Montoro A. (A),
- 69', Igor Gomes ↓, Rony ↑,
- 73', Savarino J. ↓, Correa J. ↑,
- 76', Reinier ↓, Biel ↑,
- 76', Natanael ↓, Bernard ↑,
- 83', Montoro A. 🟨,
- 83', Montoro A. ↓, Cuiabano ↑,
- 88', Rodriguez S. ↓, Allan ↑,
- 90+4', Leo Linck 🟨,
Chances of winning
Botafogo RJ
54.5% | Draw
27.6% | Atlético Mineiro
18% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Botafogo RJ has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Botafogo RJ's form might have worsened.Atlético Mineiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo RJ than the current prediction. (+5.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Botafogo RJ, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Mineiro than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
Botafogo RJ - Atlético Mineiro Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.75 ↑
(1.58) |
3.46 ↓
(3.73) |
5.35 ↓
(6.2) |
4.9%
(6.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Botafogo RJ - Atlético Mineiro?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Botafogo will win (votes: 12 - 92.3%). Atlético MG will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Botafogo: 77.8% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Botafogo RJ will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: ) and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Botafogo won 2.
- Recent performances by Botafogo have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Atlético MG is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Botafogo is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Botafogo: Arthur Cabral
(Injury)
Artur
(Calf Injury)
Bastos
(Knee Injury)
Nathan Fernandes
(Arm Injury)
Neto
(Thigh Injury)
- There will not play in Atlético MG: Alexsander
(Yellow Cards)
Cadu
(Knee Injury)
Caio Maia
(Knee Injury)
Patrick Silva
(Broken tailbone)
Renzo Saravia
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Atlético MG: Cuello
(Injury)
Ruan Tressoldi
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Botafogo won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 19:19. (average 1:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Botafogo won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:8. (average 1.4:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Botafogo RJ won against Atlético Mineiro?
Botafogo RJ has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Mineiro won against Botafogo RJ?
Atlético Mineiro has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Botafogo RJ - Atlético Mineiro were as follows:
20.04.2025
Atlético Mineiro
-
Botafogo RJ
1:0
30.11.2024
Atlético Mineiro
-
Botafogo RJ
1:3
20.11.2024
Atlético Mineiro
-
Botafogo RJ
0:0
07.07.2024
Botafogo RJ
-
Atlético Mineiro
3:0
16.09.2023
Atlético Mineiro
-
Botafogo RJ
1:0
Latest results of Botafogo RJ
Latest results of Atlético Mineiro
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 23 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 48:11 | 37 | 51 |
| 2 | Cruzeiro | 24 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 39:17 | 22 | 50 |
| 3 | Palmeiras | 22 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 36:18 | 18 | 49 |
| 4 | Mirassol | 23 | 11 | 9 | 3 | 41:23 | 18 | 42 |
| 5 | Botafogo RJ | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 35:18 | 17 | 40 |
| 6 | Bahia | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 31:28 | 3 | 37 |
| 7 | Sao Paulo | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 27:24 | 3 | 35 |
| 8 | Fluminense | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 26:29 | -3 | 31 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 29:35 | -6 | 31 |
| 10 | Corinthians | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 24:29 | -5 | 29 |
| 11 | Gremio | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 24:30 | -6 | 29 |
| 12 | Ceara | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 22:23 | -1 | 28 |
| 13 | Vasco | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 36:35 | 1 | 27 |
| 14 | Internacional | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 28:36 | -8 | 27 |
| 15 | Santos | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 22:32 | -10 | 26 |
| 16 | Atletico-MG | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 21:26 | -5 | 25 |
| 17 | Vitoria | 24 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 19:35 | -16 | 22 |
| 18 | Juventude | 23 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 19:45 | -26 | 21 |
| 19 | Fortaleza | 23 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 23:38 | -15 | 18 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 22 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 16:34 | -18 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
