Atlético Mineiro vs Botafogo RJ – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie A Atlético Mineiro - Botafogo RJ
Result
1:0
20/04/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A Betano - Round 5
  • Referee: Abatti R. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globo Internacional TV, Premiere, Sky+, TV Globo, Vivo Play, Zapping
chinaChinaK-Ball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.010.29
Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
137
Shots on target
62
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
84
Passes
85% (341/402)81% (273/336)
Yellow Cards
32
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.010.29
xG on target (xGOT)
1.730.95
Total shots
137
Shots on target
62
Shots off target
52
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
94
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
84
Touches in opposition box
2014
Through passes
0% (0/1)100% (1/1)
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1413
Passes
85% (341/402)81% (273/336)
Long passes
69% (42/61)45% (26/58)
Passes in final third
71% (67/95)53% (40/76)
Crosses
23% (5/22)36% (4/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.030.78
Fouls
1314
Tackles
50% (6/12)64% (9/14)
Duels won
4436
Clearances Total
2414
Interceptions
96
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
25
xGOT faced
0.951.73
Goals prevented
0.920.92

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Igor Gomes , Gustavo Scarpa ,
  • 46', Caio Paulista , Gabriel Menino ,
  • 48', 1 - 0, Cuello , Gabriel Menino (A),
  • 56', Rony 🟨,
  • 63', David Ricardo 🟥,
  • 69', Vitinho , Ponte M. ,
  • 69', Cuiabano , Alex Telles ,
  • 69', Artur , Danilo Barbosa ,
  • 74', John Victor 🟨,
  • 75', Cuello 🟨,
  • 79', Danilo Barbosa 🟨,
  • 79', Hulk 🟨,
  • 82', Marlon Freitas , Patrick de Paula ,
  • 90', Rony , Joao Marcelo ,
  • 90', Cuello , Bernard ,
  • 90+6', Hulk , Renzo Saravia ,

Chances of winning


Atlético Mineiro
43.1%
Draw
28.8%
Botafogo RJ
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.5% 30.8% 30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1% 30.5% 31%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlético Mineiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
  • Botafogo RJ has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Mineiro than the current prediction. (-5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo RJ than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
  • Atlético Mineiro - Botafogo RJ Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.21
    (2.44)
    3.31
    (3.05)
    3.39
    (3.06)
    4.9%
    (6.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Atlético Mineiro - Botafogo RJ?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Atlético MG will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Botafogo will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Atlético MG (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Atlético MG won 1.
    • The game of competitors is shaky now.
    • Atlético MG could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Atlético MG will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Atlético MG: Cadu (Knee Injury) Caio Maia (Inactive) Franco A. (Knee Injury) Guilherme Arana (Thigh Injury) Igor Rabello (Hamstring Injury) Junior Santos (Muscle Injury) Palacios Alzate B. (Hamstring Injury) Patrick Silva (Ankle Injury)
    • There will not play in Botafogo: Bastos (Knee Injury) Marcal (Lacking Match Fitness) Nathan Fernandes (Thigh Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Atlético MG won 9 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 20:22 (average 1:1.1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Atlético MG won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10:6 (average 1:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Mineiro - Botafogo RJ were as follows:
    30.11.2024 Atlético Mineiro - Botafogo RJ 1:3
    20.11.2024 Atlético Mineiro - Botafogo RJ 0:0
    07.07.2024 Botafogo RJ - Atlético Mineiro 3:0
    16.09.2023 Atlético Mineiro - Botafogo RJ 1:0
    07.05.2023 Botafogo RJ - Atlético Mineiro 2:0
    Latest results of Atlético Mineiro
    Latest results of Botafogo RJ
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cruzeiro16104227:91834
    2Flamengo RJ15103229:62333
    3Palmeiras1492318:12629
    4Bragantino1683519:17227
    5Botafogo RJ1474317:71025
    6Bahia1474317:13425
    7Mirassol1466223:131024
    8Fluminense1462616:17-120
    9Atletico-MG1455416:15120
    10Internacional1555516:19-320
    11Corinthians1655615:19-420
    12Ceara1553714:15-118
    13Gremio1445514:20-617
    14Sao Paulo1537514:18-416
    15Vitoria1637613:17-416
    16Vasco1442815:19-414
    17Santos1542913:19-614
    18Juventude1332810:28-1811
    19Fortaleza1425713:20-711
    20Sport Recife1404107:23-164

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