Peñarol de Montevideo vs Atlético Mineiro – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Copa Libertadores Peñarol de Montevideo - Atlético Mineiro
Result
2:0
14/05/2024 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 5
  • Referee: Roldan W. (Col)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport
brazilBrazilESPN
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 4
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport
portugalPortugalSport TV
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.170.19
Ball Possession
22%78%
Goal Attempts
105
Shots on Goal
51
Shots off Goal
54
Free Kicks
1821
Corner Kicks
22
Offsides
25
Throw-ins
1915
Goalkeeper Saves
13
Fouls
1612
Yellow Cards
34
Attacks
69145
Dangerous Attacks
2844

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 19', Otavio , Igor Gomes ,
  • 35', Franco A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Sequeira L. , Lucas Hernandez ,
  • 46', Franco A. , Eduardo Vargas ,
  • 57', Ramirez G. , Sosa I. ,
  • 58', Jemerson , Alisson ,
  • 58', Darias E. 🟨,
  • 60', Sosa I. 🟨,
  • 63', Milans P. 🟨,
  • 66', Paulinho 🟨,
  • 70', 1 - 0, Lucas Hernandez ,
  • 76', 2 - 0, Silvera M. ,
  • 88', Silvera M. , Acosta N. ,
  • 90+1', Eduardo Vargas 🟨,
  • 90+2', Fernandez L. , Gonzalez A. ,
  • 90+3', Garcia D. , Cristoforo S. ,
  • 90+6', Bruno Fuchs 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Peñarol de Montevideo
30.1%
Draw
30.1%
Atlético Mineiro
39.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.8% 28.9% 39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31% 28.2% 40.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Peñarol de Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • Atlético Mineiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peñarol de Montevideo than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Mineiro than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • Peñarol de Montevideo - Atlético Mineiro Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.12
    (2.9)
    3.13
    (3.2)
    2.36
    (2.35)
    6.3%
    (8.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Peñarol de Montevideo - Atlético Mineiro?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Peñarol will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Atlético MG will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4%84.6%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Atlético MG is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    • Peñarol is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Atlético MG in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Atlético MG could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Peñarol won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Peñarol de Montevideo - Atlético Mineiro were as follows:
    23.04.2024 Atlético Mineiro - Peñarol de Montevideo 3:2
    Latest results of Atlético Mineiro
    Copa Libertadores Table
    Group Stage

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estudiantes L.P640211:5612
    2Botafogo RJ64028:5312
    3U. De Chile63128:6210
    4Carabobo60152:13-111


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1River Plate633013:7612
    2U. de Deportes62224:408
    3Ind. del Valle62228:11-38
    4Barcelona SC61144:7-34


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1LDU Quito63218:4411
    2Flamengo RJ63216:3311
    3Central Cordoba63217:7011
    4Dep. Tachira60064:11-70


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sao Paulo642010:4614
    2Libertad Asuncion62316:519
    3Alianza Lima61237:11-45
    4Talleres Cordoba61145:8-34


    Group E
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Club641114:31113
    2Fortaleza62228:538
    3Bucaramanga61326:10-46
    4Colo Colo61235:15-105


    Group F
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Internacional632112:8411
    2Atl. Nacional63037:619
    3Bahia62135:7-27
    4Nacional62137:10-37


    Group G
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Palmeiras660017:41318
    2Cerro Porteno62137:11-47
    3Bolivar620412:1116
    4Sporting Cristal61146:16-104


    Group H
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Velez Sarsfield632111:4711
    2Penarol63219:4511
    3SA Bulo Bulo62045:15-106
    4Olimpia Asuncion61239:11-25

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)