Result
2:0
14/05/2024 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 5
- Referee: Roldan W. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport |
 Brazil | ESPN |
 Bulgaria | Max Sport 4 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport |
 Portugal | Sport TV |
 Serbia | Arena Sport |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.17 | 0.19 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 22% | 78% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 21 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 15 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Attacks |
|---|
| 69 | 145 |
| Dangerous Attacks |
|---|
| 28 | 44 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 19', Otavio ↓, Igor Gomes ↑,
- 35', Franco A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Sequeira L. ↓, Lucas Hernandez ↑,
- 46', Franco A. ↓, Eduardo Vargas ↑,
- 57', Ramirez G. ↓, Sosa I. ↑,
- 58', Jemerson ↓, Alisson ↑,
- 58', Darias E. 🟨,
- 60', Sosa I. 🟨,
- 63', Milans P. 🟨,
- 66', Paulinho 🟨,
- 70', 1 - 0, Lucas Hernandez ⚽,
- 76', 2 - 0, Silvera M. ⚽,
- 88', Silvera M. ↓, Acosta N. ↑,
- 90+1', Eduardo Vargas 🟨,
- 90+2', Fernandez L. ↓, Gonzalez A. ↑,
- 90+3', Garcia D. ↓, Cristoforo S. ↑,
- 90+6', Bruno Fuchs 🟨,
Chances of winning
Peñarol de Montevideo
30.1% | Draw
30.1% | Atlético Mineiro
39.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Peñarol de Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)Atlético Mineiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peñarol de Montevideo than the current prediction. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Mineiro than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
Peñarol de Montevideo - Atlético Mineiro Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.12 ↑
(2.9) |
3.13 ↓
(3.2) |
2.36 ↑
(2.35) |
6.3%
(8.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Peñarol de Montevideo - Atlético Mineiro?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Peñarol will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Atlético MG will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4% – 84.6%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Atlético MG is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
- Peñarol is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Atlético MG in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Atlético MG could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
- Last 1 head-to-head matches Peñarol won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.
How many head-to-head matches has Peñarol de Montevideo won against Atlético Mineiro?
Peñarol de Montevideo has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Mineiro won against Peñarol de Montevideo?
Atlético Mineiro has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Peñarol de Montevideo - Atlético Mineiro were as follows:
23.04.2024
Atlético Mineiro
-
Peñarol de Montevideo
3:2
Latest results of Peñarol de Montevideo
Latest results of Atlético Mineiro
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Atl. Nacional | Sao Paulo | 1 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 2 | Botafogo RJ | LDU Quito | 0 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Libertad Asuncion | River Plate | 1 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 4 | U. de Deportes | Palmeiras | 0 : 0, 0 : 4 |
| 5 | Fortaleza | Velez Sarsfield | 0 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 6 | Penarol | Racing Club | 1 : 3, 1 : 0 |
| 7 | Cerro Porteno | Estudiantes L.P. | 0 : 0, 0 : 1 |
| 8 | Flamengo RJ | Internacional | 2 : 0, 1 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Sao Paulo | LDU Quito | |
| 2 | River Plate | Palmeiras | |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield | Racing Club | |
| 4 | Estudiantes L.P. | Flamengo RJ | |
