Result
2:1
03/08/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 18
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 4 |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 4 |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.80 | 0.72 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 29 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (412/472) | 76% (261/343) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.80 | 0.72 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.08 | 1.67 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 29 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 12 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 20 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 44 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (412/472) | 76% (261/343) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 58% (36/62) | 48% (29/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 82% (125/152) | 48% (39/81) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (7/21) | 33% (2/6) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.77 | 0.34 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (8/12) | 53% (8/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 31 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.67 | 2.08 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.67 | 0.79 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 7', 1 - 0, Igor Gomes ⚽, Biel (A),
- 8', Sant'Anna A. ↓, Hurtado A. ↑,
- 18', Vinicinho ↓, Laquintana I. ↑,
- 36', Eduardo Sasha 🟥,
- 39', Eric Ramires 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Lyanco 🟨,
- 46', Eric Ramires ↓, Fabinho ↑,
- 62', Alexsander ↓, Gabriel Menino ↑,
- 62', Biel ↓, Hulk ↑,
- 67', Cuello ↓, Junior Santos ↑,
- 67', Rony ↓, Bernard ↑,
- 67', Hurtado A. ↓, Caue ↑,
- 67', Lucas Barbosa ↓, Praxedes ↑,
- 74', Gabriel 🟨,
- 77', 1 - 1, Laquintana I. ⚽, Caue (A),
- 80', Igor Gomes ↓, Joao Marcelo ↑,
- 81', 2 - 1, Natanael ⚽, Joao Marcelo (A),
- 89', Nathan Mendes 🟨,
Chances of winning
Atlético Mineiro
53% | Draw
26.9% | Red Bull Bragantino
20% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Mineiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlético Mineiro's performance.Red Bull Bragantino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Red Bull Bragantino might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Mineiro than the current prediction. (-8.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlético Mineiro that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Red Bull Bragantino than the current prediction. (+5.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Red Bull Bragantino could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Atlético Mineiro - Red Bull Bragantino Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.83 ↓
(2.07) |
3.64 ↑
(3.23) |
4.98 ↑
(3.76) |
2.2%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Atlético Mineiro - Red Bull Bragantino?
Users Predictions:
Atlético Mineiro will win
(81 of 92 users predict this - 88.04%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.41% – 94.67%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Atlético Mineiro will win (27 of 32 users predict this - 84.38%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 13 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético MG won 3.
- In recent matches, Atlético MG has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- RB Bragantino has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- RB Bragantino may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Atlético MG has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Atlético MG is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Atlético MG: Cadu
(Knee Injury)
Caio Maia
(Knee Injury)
Guilherme Arana
(Muscle Injury)
Patrick Silva
(Broken tailbone)
- There will not play in RB Bragantino: Eduardo Santos
(Ankle Injury)
Fabricio
(Thigh Injury)
Fernando
(Calf Injury)
Guilherme
(Injury)
Jhon Jhon
(Yellow Cards)
Juninho Capixaba
(Knee Injury)
Matheus Fernandes
(Calf Injury)
Mosquera H.
(Muscle Injury)
Rodriguez G.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Atlético MG: Renzo Saravia
(Injury)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Atlético MG won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 19:12. (average 1.9:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Atlético MG won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:6. (average 2.2:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Mineiro won against Red Bull Bragantino?
Atlético Mineiro has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Red Bull Bragantino won against Atlético Mineiro?
Red Bull Bragantino has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Mineiro - Red Bull Bragantino were as follows:
22.09.2024
Atlético Mineiro
-
Red Bull Bragantino
3:0
11.06.2024
Red Bull Bragantino
-
Atlético Mineiro
1:2
25.10.2023
Red Bull Bragantino
-
Atlético Mineiro
1:2
10.06.2023
Atlético Mineiro
-
Red Bull Bragantino
1:1
07.09.2022
Atlético Mineiro
-
Red Bull Bragantino
1:1
Latest results of Atlético Mineiro
Latest results of Red Bull Bragantino
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 28 | 19 | 4 | 5 | 53:26 | 27 | 61 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 28 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 56:15 | 41 | 61 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 29 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 42:21 | 21 | 56 |
| 4 | Mirassol | 30 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 52:31 | 21 | 55 |
| 5 | Bahia | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 40:34 | 6 | 49 |
| 6 | Botafogo RJ | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 39:26 | 13 | 46 |
| 7 | Fluminense | 29 | 13 | 5 | 11 | 36:35 | 1 | 44 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 33:33 | 0 | 41 |
| 9 | Vasco | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 46:41 | 5 | 39 |
| 10 | Corinthians | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 32:35 | -3 | 39 |
| 11 | Bragantino | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 34:44 | -10 | 36 |
| 12 | Atletico-MG | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 27:32 | -5 | 36 |
| 13 | Gremio | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 30:37 | -7 | 36 |
| 14 | Ceara | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 27:28 | -1 | 35 |
| 15 | Internacional | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 35:43 | -8 | 35 |
| 16 | Santos | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 28:40 | -12 | 31 |
| 17 | Vitoria | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 27:44 | -17 | 31 |
| 18 | Juventude | 29 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 23:53 | -30 | 26 |
| 19 | Fortaleza | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 26:44 | -18 | 24 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 29 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 22:46 | -24 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
