Result
1:0
04/02/2026 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 2
- Referee: Torezin L. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2 |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 2 |
 Mexico | Azteca 7, Azteca Deportes, Fanatiz |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 2 |
 Turkey | Spor Smart 1 |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.52 | 0.36 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (307/373) | 82% (332/403) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.52 | 0.36 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.11 | 0.15 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (307/373) | 82% (332/403) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (34/64) | 44% (27/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (87/128) | 66% (79/120) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 39% (7/18) | 21% (4/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.21 | 0.37 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 38% (6/16) | 62% (8/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 35 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.15 | 1.11 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.15 | 0.11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 30', Gabriel 🟨,
- 38', 1 - 0, Gustavo Neves ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Dudu ↓, Cuello ↑,
- 46', Bernard ↓, Igor Gomes ↑,
- 63', Hulk ↓, Reinier ↑,
- 66', Eduardo Sasha ↓, Pitta I. ↑,
- 66', Matheus Fernandes ↓, Sosa I. ↑,
- 66', Gabriel ↓, Fabinho ↑,
- 71', Alix Vinicius ↓, Pedro Henrique ↑,
- 71', Preciado A. ↓, Gustavo Scarpa ↑,
- 76', Igor Gomes 🟨,
- 76', Sosa I. 🟨,
- 82', Gustavo Neves ↓, Eric Ramires ↑,
- 88', Maycon ↓, Cisse M. ↑,
- 88', Hurtado A. 🟨,
- 90+1', Lodi R. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Red Bull Bragantino
44% | Draw
30% | Atlético Mineiro
26% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Red Bull Bragantino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)Atlético Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)The ML Model estimate for Red Bull Bragantino aligns with the current prediction.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Mineiro than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
Red Bull Bragantino - Atlético Mineiro Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.17 ↓
(2.22) |
3.14 ↓
(3.2) |
3.63 ↑
(3.2) |
5.6%
(7.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Red Bull Bragantino - Atlético Mineiro?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. RB Bragantino will win (votes: 10 - 62.5%). Atlético MG will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for RB Bragantino: 38.8% – 86.2%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -1.5 - Atlético MG (1.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- DNB - RB Bragantino (1.49) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Red Bull Bragantino will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. RB Bragantino (votes: 4 - 80%). Atlético MG (votes: 1 - 20%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, RB Bragantino won 1.
- Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
- Atlético MG may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- RB Bragantino could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in RB Bragantino: Rodriguez G.
(Knee Injury)
Vanderlan
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Atlético MG: Lyanco
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There are questionable in Atlético MG: Alexsander
(Injury)
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, RB Bragantino won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 15:21. (average 1.3:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, RB Bragantino won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 1.3:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Red Bull Bragantino won against Atlético Mineiro?
Red Bull Bragantino has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Mineiro won against Red Bull Bragantino?
Atlético Mineiro has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Red Bull Bragantino - Atlético Mineiro were as follows:
16.11.2025
Red Bull Bragantino
-
Atlético Mineiro
2:0
03.08.2025
Atlético Mineiro
-
Red Bull Bragantino
2:1
22.09.2024
Atlético Mineiro
-
Red Bull Bragantino
3:0
11.06.2024
Red Bull Bragantino
-
Atlético Mineiro
1:2
25.10.2023
Red Bull Bragantino
-
Atlético Mineiro
1:2
Latest results of Red Bull Bragantino
Latest results of Atlético Mineiro
Brazilian Serie A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 21:10 | 11 | 26 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 18:10 | 8 | 20 |
| 3 | Sao Paulo | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 15:9 | 6 | 20 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 18:13 | 5 | 20 |
| 5 | Bahia | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15:10 | 5 | 20 |
| 6 | Athletico-PR | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 17:13 | 4 | 19 |
| 7 | Coritiba | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 16 |
| 8 | Atletico-MG | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 14:13 | 1 | 14 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 11:12 | -1 | 14 |
| 10 | Vitoria | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11:14 | -3 | 14 |
| 11 | Botafogo RJ | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 18:21 | -3 | 13 |
| 12 | Gremio | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 13 |
| 13 | Vasco | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 16:17 | -1 | 13 |
| 14 | Internacional | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 9:10 | -1 | 13 |
| 15 | Santos | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 14:16 | -2 | 13 |
| 16 | Corinthians | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 11 |
| 17 | Cruzeiro | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14:21 | -7 | 10 |
| 18 | Remo | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 11:18 | -7 | 8 |
| 19 | Chapecoense-SC | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 10:18 | -8 | 8 |
| 20 | Mirassol | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11:16 | -5 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B
