Rosario Central vs Atlético Mineiro – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Copa Libertadores Rosario Central - Atlético Mineiro
Result
0:1
07/05/2024 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 4
  • Referee: Maza P. (Chi)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport
germanyGermanySport 1+
netherlandsNetherlandsESPN
portugalPortugalSport TV
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.150.55
Ball Possession
24%76%
Goal Attempts
416
Shots on Goal
06
Shots off Goal
410
Free Kicks
911
Corner Kicks
26
Offsides
00
Throw-ins
1623
Goalkeeper Saves
50
Fouls
1611
Yellow Cards
14
Attacks
87163
Dangerous Attacks
3951

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 24', Martinez D. 🟨,
  • 27', Renzo Saravia 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 57', Paulinho 🟨,
  • 65', Gustavo Scarpa , Alisson ,
  • 65', Zaracho M. , Igor Gomes ,
  • 67', O'Connor T. , Ibarra F. ,
  • 68', Battaglia R. 🟨,
  • 72', Hulk , Eduardo Vargas ,
  • 73', Martinez D. , Coronel E. ,
  • 74', Jaminton Campaz , Lovera M. ,
  • 74', Gomez J. , Giaccone L. ,
  • 78', Eduardo Vargas 🟨,
  • 87', 0 - 1, Paulinho , Eduardo Vargas (A),
  • 88', Modica A. , Cervera T. ,
  • 89', Paulinho , Pedrinho ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Rosario Central
27.4%
Draw
31.5%
Atlético Mineiro
41.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.2% 29% 32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9% 29.5% 32.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Rosario Central has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rosario Central's form might have worsened.
  • Atlético Mineiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlético Mineiro's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rosario Central than the current prediction. (+11.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rosario Central, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Mineiro than the current prediction. (-8.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlético Mineiro, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Rosario Central - Atlético Mineiro Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.43
    (2.44)
    3
    (3.22)
    2.31
    (2.85)
    5.7%
    (7.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Rosario Central - Atlético Mineiro?
  • Users Predictions: Atlético Mineiro will win (49 of 56 users predict this - 87.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 78.84%96.16%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Recent matches Rosario is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Atlético MG in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Rosario could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Atlético MG will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Rosario won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Rosario Central - Atlético Mineiro were as follows:
    10.04.2024 Atlético Mineiro - Rosario Central 2:1
    Latest results of Rosario Central
    Latest results of Atlético Mineiro
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Atl. NacionalSao Paulo1 : 2, 0 : 0
    2Botafogo RJLDU Quito0 : 2, 1 : 0
    3Libertad AsuncionRiver Plate1 : 2, 0 : 0
    4U. de DeportesPalmeiras0 : 0, 0 : 4
    5FortalezaVelez Sarsfield0 : 2, 0 : 0
    6PenarolRacing Club1 : 3, 1 : 0
    7Cerro PortenoEstudiantes L.P.0 : 0, 0 : 1
    8Flamengo RJInternacional2 : 0, 1 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Sao PauloLDU Quito
    2River PlatePalmeiras
    3Velez SarsfieldRacing Club
    4Estudiantes L.P.Flamengo RJ