Result
0:1
07/05/2024 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 4
- Referee: Maza P. (Chi)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport |
 Croatia | Arena Sport |
 Germany | Sport 1+ |
 Netherlands | ESPN |
 Portugal | Sport TV |
 Serbia | Arena Sport |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.15 | 0.55 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 24% | 76% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 4 | 16 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 23 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Attacks |
|---|
| 87 | 163 |
| Dangerous Attacks |
|---|
| 39 | 51 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 24', Martinez D. 🟨,
- 27', Renzo Saravia 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 57', Paulinho 🟨,
- 65', Gustavo Scarpa ↓, Alisson ↑,
- 65', Zaracho M. ↓, Igor Gomes ↑,
- 67', O'Connor T. ↓, Ibarra F. ↑,
- 68', Battaglia R. 🟨,
- 72', Hulk ↓, Eduardo Vargas ↑,
- 73', Martinez D. ↓, Coronel E. ↑,
- 74', Jaminton Campaz ↓, Lovera M. ↑,
- 74', Gomez J. ↓, Giaccone L. ↑,
- 78', Eduardo Vargas 🟨,
- 87', 0 - 1, Paulinho ⚽, Eduardo Vargas (A),
- 88', Modica A. ↓, Cervera T. ↑,
- 89', Paulinho ↓, Pedrinho ↑,
Chances of winning
Rosario Central
27.4% | Draw
31.5% | Atlético Mineiro
41.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rosario Central has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rosario Central's form might have worsened.Atlético Mineiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlético Mineiro's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rosario Central than the current prediction. (+11.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rosario Central, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Mineiro than the current prediction. (-8.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlético Mineiro, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Rosario Central - Atlético Mineiro Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.43 ↑
(2.44) |
3 ↓
(3.22) |
2.31 ↓
(2.85) |
5.7%
(7.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Rosario Central - Atlético Mineiro?
Users Predictions:
Atlético Mineiro will win
(49 of 56 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.84% – 96.16%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Recent matches Rosario is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Atlético MG in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Rosario could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Atlético MG will have a poor advantage in this game.
- Last 1 head-to-head matches Rosario won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.
How many head-to-head matches has Rosario Central won against Atlético Mineiro?
Rosario Central has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Mineiro won against Rosario Central?
Atlético Mineiro has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Rosario Central - Atlético Mineiro were as follows:
10.04.2024
Atlético Mineiro
-
Rosario Central
2:1
Latest results of Rosario Central
Latest results of Atlético Mineiro
Copa Libertadores Table
Group StageGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Estudiantes L.P | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11:5 | 6 | 12 |
| 2 | Botafogo RJ | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 8:5 | 3 | 12 |
| 3 | U. De Chile | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 10 |
| 4 | Carabobo | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2:13 | -11 | 1 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | River Plate | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 13:7 | 6 | 12 |
| 2 | U. de Deportes | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 8 |
| 3 | Ind. del Valle | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:11 | -3 | 8 |
| 4 | Barcelona SC | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:7 | -3 | 4 |
Group C | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | LDU Quito | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 11 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 11 |
| 3 | Central Cordoba | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 11 |
| 4 | Dep. Tachira | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4:11 | -7 | 0 |
Group D | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sao Paulo | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 10:4 | 6 | 14 |
| 2 | Libertad Asuncion | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 9 |
| 3 | Alianza Lima | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 5 |
| 4 | Talleres Cordoba | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:8 | -3 | 4 |
Group E | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Club | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14:3 | 11 | 13 |
| 2 | Fortaleza | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:5 | 3 | 8 |
| 3 | Bucaramanga | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6:10 | -4 | 6 |
| 4 | Colo Colo | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:15 | -10 | 5 |
Group F | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Internacional | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12:8 | 4 | 11 |
| 2 | Atl. Nacional | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7:6 | 1 | 9 |
| 3 | Bahia | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 7 |
| 4 | Nacional | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 7 |
Group G | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 17:4 | 13 | 18 |
| 2 | Cerro Porteno | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 7 |
| 3 | Bolivar | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 12:11 | 1 | 6 |
| 4 | Sporting Cristal | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6:16 | -10 | 4 |
Group H | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Velez Sarsfield | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11:4 | 7 | 11 |
| 2 | Penarol | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:4 | 5 | 11 |
| 3 | SA Bulo Bulo | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5:15 | -10 | 6 |
| 4 | Olimpia Asuncion | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
