Result
1:0
26/02/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- BRAZIL: Paulista A3 - Round 11
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 47', 1 - 0, Pedoca ⚽,
Chances of winning
Atlético Monte Azul
53.2% | Draw
27.1% | Comercial SP
19.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Monte Azul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético Monte Azul's form might have worsened.Comercial SP has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Comercial SP's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Monte Azul than the current prediction. (+7.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Monte Azul, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Comercial SP than the current prediction. (-6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Comercial SP, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Atlético Monte Azul - Comercial SP Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.71 ↑
(1.55) |
3.36 ↑
(3.3) |
4.62 ↓
(6.39) |
9.7%
(10.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A3 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Paulista A4).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Monte Azul won 2.
- Monte Azul is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Recent matches Comercial SP is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Comercial SP could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Monte Azul is a favorite.
- Last 6 head-to-head matches Monte Azul won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:5 (average 1:0.8).
- Including matches at home between the teams Monte Azul won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:2 (average 1.3:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Monte Azul won against Comercial SP?
Atlético Monte Azul has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Comercial SP won against Atlético Monte Azul?
Comercial SP has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Monte Azul - Comercial SP were as follows:
14.09.2024
Atlético Monte Azul
-
Comercial SP
1:0
07.09.2024
Comercial SP
-
Atlético Monte Azul
0:0
17.08.2024
Atlético Monte Azul
-
Comercial SP
2:1
13.07.2024
Comercial SP
-
Atlético Monte Azul
2:1
16.03.2024
Comercial SP
-
Atlético Monte Azul
1:1
Latest results of Atlético Monte Azul
Latest results of Comercial SP
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Desportivo | Rio Branco SP | 1 : 3, 0 : 0 |
| 2 | Monte Azul | Itapirense | 3 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 3 | Sertaozinho | Catanduva | 0 : 0, 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Marilia | Uniao Sao Joao | 3 : 0, 0 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Rio Branco SP | Monte Azul | 1 : 2, 0 : 1 |
| 2 | Sertaozinho | Marilia | 0 : 1, 2 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Monte Azul | Sertaozinho | 1 : 1, 1 : 3 |
