Itabirito vs Atlético Monte Azul – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie D Itabirito - Atlético Monte Azul
Result
1:2
26/07/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Round 14

Match Stats

Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
1713
Shots on target
46
Corner Kicks
57
Total shots
1713
Shots on target
46
Shots off target
137
Corner Kicks
57
Goalkeeper Saves
43

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 58', 1 - 0, Victor Sallinas ,
  • 68', 1 - 1, ,
  • 81', 1 - 2, ,

Chances of winning


Itabirito
48.5%
Draw
29.1%
Atlético Monte Azul
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.5% 29.1% 22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.4% 29.6% 22.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • The chances for Itabirito have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • Atlético Monte Azul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Itabirito than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Monte Azul than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
  • Itabirito - Atlético Monte Azul Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.87
    (1.87)
    3.12
    (3.12)
    4.06
    (4.04)
    10%
    (10.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 8 and 7).
    • Itabirito has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Monte Azul has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Monte Azul may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Monte Azul has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Itabirito is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Itabirito won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Itabirito - Atlético Monte Azul were as follows:
    19.04.2025 Atlético Monte Azul - Itabirito 0:1
    Latest results of Itabirito
    19.07.2025 Cianorte - Itabirito 3:1
    12.07.2025 Itabirito - Goiatuba 0:1
    06.07.2025 Itabirito - Operário MS 1:1
    07.06.2025 FC Cascavel - Itabirito 1:1
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1LagartoCentral SC2 : 2, 0 : 1
    2Tuna LusoMaranhao2 : 0, 1 : 4
    3America RNJuazeirense2 : 0, 1 : 1
    4ImperatrizManaus1 : 2, 2 : 0
    5AE AltosIndependencia3 : 1, 5 : 1
    6Santa CruzSergipe3 : 1, 1 : 2
    7ASAFerroviario2 : 0, 1 : 0
    8ManauaraSampaio Correa1 : 0, 1 : 1
    9AparecidenseMarica2 : 2, 2 : 1
    10EC Sao JoseGoiatuba1 : 2, 1 : 1
    11Inter de LimeiraMarcilio Dias2 : 1, 0 : 0
    12Rio Branco ESLuverdense3 : 0, 0 : 0
    13PortuguesaMixto1 : 1, 0 : 1
    14CianorteJoinville4 : 0, 1 : 1
    15Barra FCCascavel3 : 0, 1 : 0
    16CeilandiaAgua Santa1 : 0, 1 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Central SCMaranhao1 : 2
    2America RNImperatriz
    3AE AltosSanta Cruz
    4ASAManauara1 : 0
    5AparecidenseGoiatuba3 : 2
    6Inter de LimeiraRio Branco ES1 : 0
    7MixtoCianorte
    8Barra FCCeilandia1 : 1