Taubaté vs Atlético Monte Azul – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:3
14/02/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Paulista A2 - First stage - Round 10

Match Stats

Red cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 1)
  • 4', 1 - 0, Macario ,
  • 21', 1 - 1, Vitinho ,
  • 39', 2 - 1, Macario ,
  • 45+5', 3 - 1, Romarinho ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 48', 3 - 2, Bahia A. ,
  • 83', 🟥,
  • 90+6', 3 - 3, Bahia A. ,

Chances of winning


Taubaté
46.4%
Draw
29.4%
Atlético Monte Azul
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.4% 30% 30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.6% 29.8% 30.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Taubaté has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Taubaté's performance.
  • Atlético Monte Azul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlético Monte Azul might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Taubaté than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Taubaté that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Monte Azul than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético Monte Azul could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Taubaté - Atlético Monte Azul Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.96
    (2.3)
    3.1
    (3.01)
    3.77
    (2.96)
    9.7%
    (10.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 14 and 12)
    • Taubaté is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Monte Azul has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Taubaté may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Monte Azul has had a series of away games.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Taubaté won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Taubaté won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Taubaté - Atlético Monte Azul were as follows:
    28.01.2024 Taubaté - Atlético Monte Azul 2:1
    22.01.2023 Atlético Monte Azul - Taubaté 1:1
    Latest results of Taubaté
    11.02.2026 Votuporanguense - Taubaté 1:2
    06.02.2026 Taubaté - São José-SP 1:2
    01.02.2026 Taubaté - Ituano 0:1
    28.01.2026 Linense - Taubaté 1:1
    24.01.2026 Taubaté - Ferroviária 1:2
    Latest results of Atlético Monte Azul
    Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2 Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Agua Santa ✔ 1491422:13928
    2Ferroviaria ✔ 1483321:111027
    3Sao Jose EC ✔ 1483320:11927
    4Ituano ✔ 1483319:11827
    5Votuporanguense ✔ 1473415:12324
    6Osasco Sporting1457221:16522
    7Juventus-SP1455420:19120
    8Sertaozinho1354415:18-319
    9Piracicaba1454511:14-319
    10Inter de Limeira1444614:16-216
    11Taubate1437421:22-116
    12Santo Andre1443712:20-815
    13Linense1426611:17-612
    14Monte Azul1325614:17-311
    15Gremio Prudente1418511:15-411
    16Sao Bento ✔ 1412116:21-155

          Promotion ~ Paulista A2 (Second stage: )
          Relegation ~ Paulista A3

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Agua Santa is Qualified for Paulista A2 (Second stage )
    Ferroviaria is Qualified for Paulista A2 (Second stage )
    Sao Jose EC is Qualified for Paulista A2 (Second stage )
    Ituano is Qualified for Paulista A2 (Second stage )
    Votuporanguense is Qualified for Paulista A2 (Second stage )
    Sao Bento is Relegated to Paulista A3