Cancún vs Atlético Morelia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
16/11/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga de Expansion MX - Apertura - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
  • Referee: Ramirez Gutierrez E. A. (Mex)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
mexicoMexicoAYM Sports, Disney+, ESPN
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Ball Possession
61%39%
Total shots
1812
Shots on target
64
Corner Kicks
152
Yellow Cards
33
Red Cards
11
Total shots
1812
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
128
Corner Kicks
152

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 25', Unjanque J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Hernandez J. , Alonzo J. ,
  • 51', 1 - 0, Galindo B. , Diaz J. (A),
  • 53', Martinez J. 🟨,
  • 57', Martinez J. , Sandoval L. ,
  • 61', Dominguez M. 🟨,
  • 64', Dominguez M. , Nambo M. ,
  • 75', Montiel S. , Chavez A. ,
  • 77', del Campo R. , Parra D. ,
  • 77', Figueroa B. , Ochoa Brandon ,
  • 80', Parra D. 🟨,
  • 84', Ochoa I. 🟨,
  • 85', Palma A. , Vivas J. F. ,
  • 90', Uscanga P. , Campos K. ,
  • 90+1', Ochoa I. 🟨,
  • 90+2', 1 - 1, Vazquez B. (Pen),
  • 90+7', Sandoval L. 🟥,

Chances of winning


Cancún
50.1%
Draw
25.7%
Atlético Morelia
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.8% 26.3% 23.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.4% 26.6% 23.6%

Cancún - Atlético Morelia Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.87
(1.86)
3.64
(3.52)
3.86
(3.88)
6.9%
(8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Cancún - Atlético Morelia?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Cancún will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Atlético Morelia will win (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Cancún (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 1-3. 2nd leg.
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cancún won 3.
    • Recent performances by Cancún have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Atlético Morelia is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Atlético Morelia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Cancún is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Cancún won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 19:15. (average 1.6:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cancún won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:4. (average 2:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cancún - Atlético Morelia were as follows:
    13.11.2025 Atlético Morelia - Cancún 3:1
    23.08.2025 Cancún - Atlético Morelia 5:0
    12.04.2025 Atlético Morelia - Cancún 2:1
    25.10.2024 Cancún - Atlético Morelia 3:1
    14.03.2024 Atlético Morelia - Cancún 0:1
    Latest results of Cancún
    Latest results of Atlético Morelia
    Draw
    Apertura - Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Tampico Madero (3)Leones Negros (6)4 : 1, 0 : 1
    2Atlante (1)Tepatitlan de Morelos (8)1 : 1, 0 : 1
    3Irapuato (4)Zacatecas Mineros (5)2 : 2, 1 : 1
    4Cancun (2)Atl. Morelia (7)1 : 1, 1 : 3

    Semi-finals
    1Tampico Madero (3)Tepatitlan de Morelos (8)
    2Irapuato (4)Atl. Morelia (7)0 : 0