Atlético Nacional vs Alianza Panama – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:3
06/10/2025 at 21:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • LPF - Clausura - Round 11

Match Stats

Ball Possession
67%33%
Total shots
1115
Shots on target
68
Corner Kicks
53
Yellow Cards
13
Total shots
1115
Shots on target
68
Shots off target
57
Corner Kicks
53

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 8', 0 - 1, Verley R. ,
  • 31', 0 - 2, Verley R. ,
  • 33', Rivas J. 🟨,
  • 34', 1 - 2, Diaz S. ,
  • 41', Merrit Y. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Rivas J. , Valencia A. ,
  • 46', Merrit Y. , Diaz A. ,
  • 51', Rodriguez M. 🟨,
  • 65', de Jesus Menchaca Alarcon Y. , P. Perez ,
  • 65', Garces A. , Moreno S. ,
  • 66', Diaz M. , Galvez A. ,
  • 66', Berguido R. , Wright D. ,
  • 74', 2 - 2, Mitre R. (Own goal),
  • 88', 2 - 3, Verley R. ,
  • 90+5', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Atlético Nacional
26.3%
Draw
28.3%
Alianza Panama
45.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32% 32.6% 35.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.4% 33% 35%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlético Nacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético Nacional's form might have worsened.
  • Alianza Panama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alianza Panama's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Nacional than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Nacional, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Panama than the current prediction. (-10.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alianza Panama, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Atlético Nacional - Alianza Panama Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.6
    (2.84)
    3.35
    (2.79)
    2.08
    (2.57)
    5.7%
    (10.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Atlético Nacional - Alianza Panama?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Alianza Panama will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Recent form of Atlético Nacional has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Alianza is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Alianza might have a minor edge in this game.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Atlético Nacional
    Latest results of Alianza Panama
    Liga Panamena de Futbol Table
    2026

    East
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Alianza724114:12210
    2UMECIT731310:9110
    3Miguelito62317:529
    4Tauro72328:809
    5Plaza Amador722310:918
    6Arabe Unido72146:7-17


    West
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Independiente734012:4813
    2Union Cocle73408:4413
    3Veraguas722313:1128
    4Deportivo Universitario61417:9-27
    5San Francisco714211:14-37
    6Herrera71247:21-145

          Promotion ~ LPF (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ LPF (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)