Result
2:2
03/09/2025 at 20:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Colombia - Second stage - 1/8-finals
- Referee: Toro S. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 37% | 63% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 11', 1 - 0, Caicedo B. ⚽, Chala J. (A),
- 36', Rodrigo Moran L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Arce B. ↓, Moreno M. ↑,
- 46', Batista F. ↓, Morelos A. ↑,
- 48', Roa S. 🟨,
- 56', Landazuri H. 🟨,
- 62', Urresti J. ↓, Ramirez J. ↑,
- 63', Salazar A. 🟨,
- 65', Cardona E. ↓, Rengifo J. ↑,
- 65', Caicedo R. ↓, Tesillo W. ↑,
- 72', Arango W. ↓, Vallejo J. ↑,
- 73', 2 - 0, Caicedo B. ⚽,
- 76', Moreno M. 🟥,
- 76', Pabon S. 🟨,
- 79', Zapata J. 🟨,
- 80', 🟨,
- 82', 2 - 1, Sarmiento A. ⚽,
- 89', Angulo Satizabal R. ↓, Rovira U. ↑,
- 89', Rodrigo Moran L. ↓, Lloreda J. ↑,
- 89', Caicedo B. ↓, Ibarguen J. ↑,
- 90+1', 2 - 2, Sarmiento A. ⚽,
- 90+2', Castro J. ↓, Uribe C. ↑,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/2xcz6nz2
Chances of winning
Deportes Quindío
28.8% | Draw
28% | Atlético Nacional
43.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportes Quindío has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportes Quindío's performance.Atlético Nacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlético Nacional might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Quindío than the current prediction. (-10.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportes Quindío that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Nacional than the current prediction. (+13.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético Nacional could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Deportes Quindío - Atlético Nacional Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.24 ↓
(5) |
3.27 ↓
(3.47) |
2.1 ↑
(1.67) |
9%
(8.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Deportes Quindío - Atlético Nacional?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Deportes Quindío will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). Atlético Nacional will win (votes: 11 - 78.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Atlético Nacional: 57.1% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Atlético Nacional will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- 1st leg result: 0-4. 2nd leg.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportes Quindío won 0.
- Deportes Quindío is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Atlético Nacional has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Recently, Deportes Quindío has had a series of away games.
- Atlético Nacional is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Deportes Quindío won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:8. (average 0.3:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Deportes Quindío won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0. (average 0:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Deportes Quindío won against Atlético Nacional?
Deportes Quindío has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Nacional won against Deportes Quindío?
Atlético Nacional has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportes Quindío - Atlético Nacional were as follows:
27.08.2025
Atlético Nacional
-
Deportes Quindío
4:0
Latest results of Deportes Quindío
Latest results of Atlético Nacional
Draw
Second stage1/8-finals| 1 | Ind. Medellin | Fortaleza | 2 : 1, 0 : 0 |
| 2 | Santa Fe | Alianza | 4 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 3 | Real Cundinamarca | Pereira | 2 : 2, 3 : 4 |
| 4 | Millonarios | Envigado | 0 : 0, 0 : 1 |
| 5 | America De Cali | Bucaramanga | 2 : 0, 0 : 1 |
| 6 | Atletico F.C. | Junior | 2 : 1, 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Atl. Nacional | Quindio | 2 : 2, 4 : 0 |
| 8 | Once Caldas | Dep. Pasto | 2 : 1 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Ind. Medellin | Santa Fe | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Pereira | Envigado | |
| 3 | America De Cali | Junior | |
| 4 | Atl. Nacional | TBD #8 | |
Semi-finalsFinal
