Result
1:1
21/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Canadian Premier League
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Canada | OneSoccer |
 Usa | Fox Soccer Plus |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.92 | 1.65 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 91% (514/567) | 85% (306/359) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.92 | 1.65 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 1.47 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 30 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 91% (514/567) | 85% (306/359) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 57% (34/60) | 59% (26/44) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (59/82) | 73% (82/113) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 75% (3/4) | 25% (4/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.41 | 1.00 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 77% (17/22) | 43% (6/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 32 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 8 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.47 | 0.86 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.47 | -0.14 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 25', 1 - 0, Antinoro G. ⚽, Tabla B. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 53', Rama R. 🟨,
- 61', Aparicio M. 🟨,
- 64', Wright B. ↓, Klonaridis V. ↑,
- 64', Borges T. ↓, Massunda H. ↑,
- 67', Coulanges J. ↓, Santos K. ↑,
- 71', Castro J. ↓, Zapater A. ↑,
- 74', Babouli M. ↓, Jensen N. ↑,
- 74', Bekker K. ↓, Paton B. ↑,
- 76', Ampomah N. ↓, Choiniere D. ↑,
- 80', Rodriguez D. ↓, Ortega K. ↑,
- 80', Antinoro G. ↓, Assi J. ↑,
- 82', Tabla B. ↓, Patterson M. ↑,
- 82', 1 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Atlético Ottawa
37.1% | Draw
27.8% | Forge
35.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Ottawa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)Forge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Ottawa than the current prediction. (+2.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Forge than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
Atlético Ottawa - Forge Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.47 ↑
(2.32) |
3.3 ↓
(3.33) |
2.61 ↓
(2.77) |
9.2%
(9.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético Ottawa won 1.
- Atlético Ottawa is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Forge has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Atlético Ottawa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Atlético Ottawa has had a series of home games.
- Recently, Forge has had a series of away games.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atlético Ottawa won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 19:31. (average 1:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Atlético Ottawa won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:14. (average 0.9:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Ottawa won against Forge?
Atlético Ottawa has won 4 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Forge won against Atlético Ottawa?
Forge has won 7 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Ottawa - Forge were as follows:
17.08.2025
Forge
-
Atlético Ottawa
2:0
12.07.2025
Atlético Ottawa
-
Forge
1:1
13.05.2025
Forge
-
Atlético Ottawa
2:2
02.11.2024
Forge
-
Atlético Ottawa
1:0
12.10.2024
Forge
-
Atlético Ottawa
0:2
Latest results of Atlético Ottawa
Canadian Premier League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Forge | 25 | 15 | 8 | 2 | 46:20 | 26 | 53 |
| 2 | Atl. Ottawa | 25 | 14 | 9 | 2 | 50:25 | 25 | 51 |
| 3 | Cavalry | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 41:30 | 11 | 39 |
| 4 | HFX Wanderers | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 36:29 | 7 | 35 |
| 5 | York Utd | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 39:32 | 7 | 33 |
| 6 | Valour | 24 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 28:54 | -26 | 22 |
| 7 | Pacific FC | 25 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 24:50 | -26 | 21 |
| 8 | Vancouver FC | 24 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 29:53 | -24 | 15 |
Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
