Result
2:0
17/08/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Canadian Premier League
- Referee: Venne M. (Can)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Canada | OneSoccer, TSN 2 |
 Usa | Fox Sports 2, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.95 | 1.06 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (283/332) | 85% (242/284) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.95 | 1.06 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.68 | 0.84 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (283/332) | 85% (242/284) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 56% (20/36) | 47% (16/34) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 80% (93/116) | 68% (41/60) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (4/19) | 13% (1/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.60 | 0.44 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 82% (9/11) | 43% (3/7) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 32 | 21 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.84 | 2.68 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.84 | 0.68 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 24', 1 - 0, Bekker K. ⚽,
- 36', Aparicio M. 🟨,
- 45', Nimick D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Abatneh N. A. S. ↓, Levis B. ↑,
- 49', Castro J. 🟨,
- 55', 2 - 0, Wright B. ⚽,
- 60', Santos K. ↓, Alvarez Villar A. ↑,
- 72', Wright B. ↓, Cisse E. ↑,
- 72', Borges T. ↓, Jensen N. ↑,
- 74', Castro J. ↓, Sissoko A. ↑,
- 74', Antinoro G. ↓, Coulanges J. ↑,
- 79', Tabla B. (Pen),
- 82', Hojabrpour A. 🟨,
- 84', Salter S. 🟨,
- 85', Jevremovic M. ↓, Paton B. ↑,
- 85', Babouli M. ↓, Kone A. ↑,
- 87', Aparicio M. ↓, Ortega K. ↑,
- 90+2', Bekker K. ↓, Bruno Z. ↑,
- 90+4', Kozlovskiy S. 🟨,
- 90+6', 🟨,
- 90+6', Kone A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Forge
40.7% | Draw
27.8% | Atlético Ottawa
31.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Forge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)Atlético Ottawa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Forge than the current prediction. (+4.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Ottawa than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
Forge - Atlético Ottawa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.25 ↑
(2.1) |
3.28 ↓
(3.4) |
2.9 ↓
(3) |
9.4%
(10.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Forge - Atlético Ottawa?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Atlético Ottawa will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 80%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Forge won 2.
- Forge is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Atlético Ottawa is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Atlético Ottawa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Forge won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 30:19. (average 1.5:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Forge won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:11. (average 1.5:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Forge won against Atlético Ottawa?
Forge has won 6 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Ottawa won against Forge?
Atlético Ottawa has won 4 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Forge - Atlético Ottawa were as follows:
12.07.2025
Atlético Ottawa
-
Forge
1:1
13.05.2025
Forge
-
Atlético Ottawa
2:2
02.11.2024
Forge
-
Atlético Ottawa
1:0
12.10.2024
Forge
-
Atlético Ottawa
0:2
10.08.2024
Forge
-
Atlético Ottawa
3:0
Latest results of Atlético Ottawa
Canadian Premier League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Forge | 21 | 13 | 7 | 1 | 39:17 | 22 | 46 |
| 2 | Atl. Ottawa | 21 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 42:22 | 20 | 43 |
| 3 | Cavalry | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 35:26 | 9 | 33 |
| 4 | HFX Wanderers | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 32:25 | 7 | 32 |
| 5 | York Utd | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 36:28 | 8 | 32 |
| 6 | Pacific FC | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 23:40 | -17 | 20 |
| 7 | Valour | 22 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 26:50 | -24 | 19 |
| 8 | Vancouver FC | 22 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 26:51 | -25 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
