Result
1:1
12/07/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Canadian Premier League
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Canada | OneSoccer |
 Usa | Fox Soccer Plus |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.19 | 1.14 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 69% | 31% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 92% (616/669) | 83% (249/301) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.19 | 1.14 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.67 | 1.87 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 13 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 34 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 92% (616/669) | 83% (249/301) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 69% (43/62) | 49% (19/39) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 78% (139/178) | 71% (53/75) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 47% (7/15) | 13% (1/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 0.52 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 82% (14/17) | 64% (7/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 28 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.87 | 1.67 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.87 | 0.54 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 9', 0 - 1, Bekker K. ⚽,
- 31', Kane K. ↓, Jevremovic M. ↑,
- 39', Owolabi-Belewu M. ↓, Bruno Z. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 59', Santos K. ↓, Sissoko A. ↑,
- 59', Castro J. ↓, Zapater A. ↑,
- 69', Ampomah N. ↓, Choiniere D. ↑,
- 69', Bekker K. ↓, Borges T. ↑,
- 69', Jensen N. ↓, Massunda H. ↑,
- 70', Koleilat J. 🟨,
- 73', Antinoro G. ↓, Coulanges J. ↑,
- 73', Kozlovskiy S. ↓, Khoury R. ↑,
- 84', 🟨,
- 86', Abatneh N. A. S. ↓, Walker T. ↑,
- 90+2', 🟨,
- 90+3', 1 - 1, Tabla B. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Atlético Ottawa
39.8% | Draw
28.4% | Forge
31.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Ottawa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)Forge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Ottawa than the current prediction. (+3.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Forge than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
Atlético Ottawa - Forge Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.31 ↑
(2.22) |
3.23 ↓
(3.3) |
2.89 ↑
(2.86) |
8.9%
(10.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Atlético Ottawa - Forge?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Atlético Ottawa (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético Ottawa won 2.
- Atlético Ottawa has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Forge is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Atlético Ottawa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atlético Ottawa won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 18:33. (average 0.9:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Atlético Ottawa won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:14. (average 0.8:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Ottawa won against Forge?
Atlético Ottawa has won 4 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Forge won against Atlético Ottawa?
Forge has won 6 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Ottawa - Forge were as follows:
13.05.2025
Forge
-
Atlético Ottawa
2:2
02.11.2024
Forge
-
Atlético Ottawa
1:0
12.10.2024
Forge
-
Atlético Ottawa
0:2
10.08.2024
Forge
-
Atlético Ottawa
3:0
28.06.2024
Atlético Ottawa
-
Forge
4:3
Latest results of Atlético Ottawa
Canadian Premier League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atl. Ottawa | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 35:16 | 19 | 35 |
| 2 | Forge | 16 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 28:12 | 16 | 34 |
| 3 | Cavalry | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 22:13 | 9 | 25 |
| 4 | York Utd | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 27:20 | 7 | 24 |
| 5 | HFX Wanderers | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 21:20 | 1 | 24 |
| 6 | Pacific FC | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 15:30 | -15 | 12 |
| 7 | Valour | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 16:35 | -19 | 11 |
| 8 | Vancouver FC | 16 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 15:33 | -18 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
