Atlético Ottawa vs Forge – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Canadian Premier League Atlético Ottawa - Forge
Result
1:1
12/07/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Canadian Premier League
  • Where to Watch on TV:
canadaCanadaOneSoccer
usaUsaFox Soccer Plus

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.191.14
Ball Possession
69%31%
Total shots
2314
Shots on target
76
Big Chances
53
Corner Kicks
54
Passes
92% (616/669)83% (249/301)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
2.191.14
xG on target (xGOT)
1.671.87
Total shots
2314
Shots on target
76
Shots off target
133
Blocked Shots
35
Shots inside the Box
137
Shots outside the Box
107
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
53
Corner Kicks
54
Touches in opposition box
3421
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
06
Free Kicks
67
Passes
92% (616/669)83% (249/301)
Long passes
69% (43/62)49% (19/39)
Passes in final third
78% (139/178)71% (53/75)
Crosses
47% (7/15)13% (1/8)
Expected assists (xA)
1.260.52
Throw-ins
1317
Fouls
76
Tackles
82% (14/17)64% (7/11)
Duels won
3928
Clearances
1819
Interceptions
612
Errors leading to shot
30
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
56
xGOT faced
1.871.67
Goals prevented
0.870.54

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 9', 0 - 1, Bekker K. ,
  • 31', Kane K. , Jevremovic M. ,
  • 39', Owolabi-Belewu M. , Bruno Z. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 59', Santos K. , Sissoko A. ,
  • 59', Castro J. , Zapater A. ,
  • 69', Ampomah N. , Choiniere D. ,
  • 69', Bekker K. , Borges T. ,
  • 69', Jensen N. , Massunda H. ,
  • 70', Koleilat J. 🟨,
  • 73', Antinoro G. , Coulanges J. ,
  • 73', Kozlovskiy S. , Khoury R. ,
  • 84', 🟨,
  • 86', Abatneh N. A. S. , Walker T. ,
  • 90+2', 🟨,
  • 90+3', 1 - 1, Tabla B. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Atlético Ottawa
39.8%
Draw
28.4%
Forge
31.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.8% 27.5% 31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5% 25.8% 29.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlético Ottawa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • Forge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Ottawa than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Forge than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
  • Atlético Ottawa - Forge Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.31
    (2.22)
    3.23
    (3.3)
    2.89
    (2.86)
    8.9%
    (10.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Atlético Ottawa - Forge?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Atlético Ottawa (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético Ottawa won 2.
    • Atlético Ottawa has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Forge is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Atlético Ottawa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atlético Ottawa won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 18:33. (average 0.9:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Atlético Ottawa won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:14. (average 0.8:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Ottawa - Forge were as follows:
    13.05.2025 Forge - Atlético Ottawa 2:2
    02.11.2024 Forge - Atlético Ottawa 1:0
    12.10.2024 Forge - Atlético Ottawa 0:2
    10.08.2024 Forge - Atlético Ottawa 3:0
    28.06.2024 Atlético Ottawa - Forge 4:3
    Latest results of Atlético Ottawa
    Latest results of Forge
    09.07.2025 CF Montréal - Forge 2:2
    05.07.2025 Forge - Vancouver FC 2:1
    29.06.2025 Forge - York United 2:2
    22.06.2025 Valour - Forge 0:5
    15.06.2025 Vancouver FC - Forge 0:2
    Canadian Premier League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Atl. Ottawa16105135:161935
    2Forge1697028:121634
    3Cavalry1574422:13925
    4York Utd1673627:20724
    5HFX Wanderers1673621:20124
    6Pacific FC16331015:30-1512
    7Valour15321016:35-1911
    8Vancouver FC16151015:33-188

          Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)