HFX Wanderers vs Atlético Ottawa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
18/10/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Canadian Premier League
  • Where to Watch on TV:
canadaCanadaOneSoccer
usaUsaFox Soccer Plus, Fox

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.570.73
Ball Possession
34%66%
Total shots
514
Shots on target
23
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
22
Passes
77% (250/325)88% (559/633)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
0.570.73
xG on target (xGOT)
0.271.35
Total shots
514
Shots on target
23
Shots off target
37
Blocked Shots
04
Shots inside the Box
44
Shots outside the Box
110
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
22
Touches in opposition box
913
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
710
Passes
77% (250/325)88% (559/633)
Long passes
49% (33/67)42% (22/52)
Passes in final third
65% (73/113)58% (54/93)
Crosses
20% (2/10)40% (2/5)
Expected assists (xA)
0.450.18
Throw-ins
1717
Fouls
107
Tackles
63% (17/27)73% (11/15)
Duels won
5241
Clearances
2315
Interceptions
710
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
1.350.27
Goals prevented
0.350.27

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 40', Bai Y. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 60', Johnston I. 🟨,
  • 61', Bai Y. , Telfer R. ,
  • 66', Mbomio R. , Walker T. ,
  • 74', Rodriguez D. , Ennin R. ,
  • 74', Castro J. , Sissoko A. ,
  • 80', Tabla B. , Ortega K. ,
  • 80', Salter S. , Zapater A. ,
  • 83', Coimbra T. , Timoteo W. ,
  • 83', Rea S. , Biello A. ,
  • 87', Sow K. , Gagnon-Lapare J. ,
  • 89', 0 - 1, Ennin R. , Aparicio M. (A),
  • 90+4', Aparicio M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


HFX Wanderers
37.6%
Draw
26.4%
Atlético Ottawa
36%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.6% 26.3% 35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7% 26.4% 35%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • HFX Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • Atlético Ottawa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for HFX Wanderers than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Ottawa than the current prediction. (-1%)
  • HFX Wanderers - Atlético Ottawa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.43
    (2.4)
    3.45
    (3.51)
    2.53
    (2.64)
    9.7%
    (8.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • Atlético Ottawa is Qualified for Canadian Premier League (Play Offs Semi~finals)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, HFX Wanderers won 1.
    • HFX Wanderers has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Atlético Ottawa is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Recently, Atlético Ottawa has had a series of home games.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, HFX Wanderers won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 25:32. (average 1.3:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, HFX Wanderers won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:15. (average 1.3:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between HFX Wanderers - Atlético Ottawa were as follows:
    18.07.2025 Atlético Ottawa - HFX Wanderers 2:0
    24.05.2025 HFX Wanderers - Atlético Ottawa 2:0
    05.04.2025 Atlético Ottawa - HFX Wanderers 2:2
    29.09.2024 Atlético Ottawa - HFX Wanderers 1:1
    24.08.2024 HFX Wanderers - Atlético Ottawa 1:1
    Latest results of HFX Wanderers
    11.10.2025 Valour - HFX Wanderers 0:3
    20.09.2025 HFX Wanderers - Pacific FC 3:0
    13.09.2025 Cavalry - HFX Wanderers 3:1
    Latest results of Atlético Ottawa
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1ForgeBye
    4ByeAtl. Ottawa
    7CavalryBye
    8HFX WanderersInter Toronto2 : 3

    Quarter-finals
    1ForgeBye
    2ByeAtl. Ottawa
    4CavalryInter Toronto4 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1ForgeAtl. Ottawa1 : 2
    2ForgeCavalry0 : 1

    Final
    1Atl. OttawaCavalry2 : 1