Atlético Ottawa vs York United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Canadian Premier League Atlético Ottawa - York United
Result
0:0
03/08/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Canadian Premier League
  • Where to Watch on TV:
canadaCanadaOneSoccer, TSN 2
usaUsaFox Sports 2, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.550.24
Ball Possession
74%26%
Total shots
106
Shots on target
21
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
54
Passes
92% (673/734)77% (189/246)
Yellow Cards
33
Expected Goals (xG)
0.550.24
xG on target (xGOT)
0.340.05
Total shots
106
Shots on target
21
Shots off target
32
Blocked Shots
53
Shots inside the Box
52
Shots outside the Box
54
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
54
Touches in opposition box
227
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
811
Passes
92% (673/734)77% (189/246)
Long passes
51% (19/37)50% (21/42)
Passes in final third
77% (135/176)62% (38/61)
Crosses
18% (3/17)38% (5/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.930.32
Throw-ins
1912
Fouls
118
Tackles
100% (9/9)83% (15/18)
Duels won
3246
Clearances
1625
Interceptions
46
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
0.050.34
Goals prevented
0.050.34

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 16', Aparicio M. 🟨,
  • 26', Castro J. 🟨,
  • 41', Reid A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 57', Adekugbe E. , Lopez J. ,
  • 62', Ferrin M. 🟨,
  • 72', Ingham N. 🟨,
  • 73', Leon O. 🟨,
  • 73', Ferrin M. , Bitar G. ,
  • 73', Reid A. , Jimoh S. ,
  • 78', Santos K. , Coulanges J. ,
  • 79', Castro J. , Zapater A. ,
  • 84', Altobelli J. , Hundal S. ,
  • 86', Aparicio M. , Sissoko A. ,
  • 90+1', Antinoro G. , Khoury R. ,

Chances of winning


Atlético Ottawa
47.5%
Draw
25.8%
York United
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.9% 23.3% 18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.2% 21.7% 17.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlético Ottawa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético Ottawa's form might have worsened.
  • York United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting York United's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Ottawa than the current prediction. (+14.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Ottawa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for York United than the current prediction. (-9.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for York United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Atlético Ottawa - York United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.93
    (1.57)
    3.55
    (3.9)
    3.43
    (4.82)
    9.2%
    (10.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Atlético Ottawa - York United?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Atlético Ottawa will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Atlético Ottawa: 45%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Atlético Ottawa (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético Ottawa won 4.
    • Atlético Ottawa has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • York United is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, Atlético Ottawa is the team to beat.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atlético Ottawa won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 30:31. (average 1.5:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Atlético Ottawa won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:17. (average 1.6:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Ottawa - York United were as follows:
    08.07.2025 York United - Atlético Ottawa 3:4
    22.06.2025 York United - Atlético Ottawa 0:0
    11.06.2025 Atlético Ottawa - York United 2:1
    19.04.2025 Atlético Ottawa - York United 3:2
    27.10.2024 Atlético Ottawa - York United 3:2
    Latest results of Atlético Ottawa
    Latest results of York United
    26.07.2025 Cavalry - York United 0:1
    19.07.2025 York United - Vancouver FC 4:0
    13.07.2025 York United - Valour 3:2
    29.06.2025 Forge - York United 2:2
    Canadian Premier League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Forge17107033:122137
    2Atl. Ottawa17106135:161936
    3Cavalry1674523:15825
    4York Utd1774627:20725
    5HFX Wanderers1673621:20124
    6Valour17421118:41-2314
    7Pacific FC16331015:30-1512
    8Vancouver FC16151015:33-188

          Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)