York United vs Atlético Ottawa: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Canadian Championship York United - Atlético Ottawa
Result
3:4
08/07/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Championship - Quarter-finals
York United - Atlético Ottawa - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.621.71
Ball Possession
32%68%
Total shots
1114
Shots on target
78
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
17
Passes
81% (255/313)94% (653/693)
Yellow Cards
43
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
2.621.71
xG on target (xGOT)
2.462.75
Total shots
1114
Shots on target
78
Shots off target
26
Blocked Shots
20
Shots inside the Box
107
Shots outside the Box
17
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
17
Touches in opposition box
1722
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1110
Passes
81% (255/313)94% (653/693)
Long passes
46% (19/41)71% (25/35)
Passes in final third
57% (35/61)87% (139/159)
Crosses
38% (3/8)21% (3/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.300.45
Throw-ins
171
Fouls
1011
Tackles
63% (10/16)50% (3/6)
Duels won
3832
Clearances
1518
Interceptions
210
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
44
xGOT faced
2.752.46
Goals prevented
-1.25-0.54

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 2)
  • 13', 1 - 0, Altobelli J. , Kibato K. (A),
  • 20', 1 - 1, Rodriguez D. , Salter S. (A),
  • 22', 1 - 2, Salter S. ,
  • 26', Adekugbe E. 🟥,
  • 31', Tabla B. 🟨,
  • 37', 2 - 2, Altobelli J. , Ferrin M. (A),
  • 45+1', Ferrazzo R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 53', 3 - 2, Ferrin M. , Yeates S. (A),
  • 54', Tabla B. , Zapater A. ,
  • 65', Pavela I. 🟨,
  • 66', Yeates S. 🟨,
  • 70', Antinoro G. 🟨,
  • 72', Santos K. , Levis B. ,
  • 82', Ferrazzo R. , Ferrari M. ,
  • 83', Altobelli J. , Bitar G. ,
  • 84', 3 - 3, Salter S. ,
  • 87', Botello O. , Jimoh S. ,
  • 88', Castro J. , Sissoko A. ,
  • 88', Salter S. , Patterson M. ,
  • 90', Reid A. , Higgins N. ,
  • 90', Sturing F. , Singh L. ,
  • 90+2', 3 - 4, Sissoko A. , Rodriguez D. (A),
  • 90+3', Sissoko A. 🟨,
  • 90+7', 🟨,

Chances of winning


York United
29.6%
Draw
28.1%
Atlético Ottawa
42.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.1% 27.5% 39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4% 27.8% 39%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • York United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
  • Atlético Ottawa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for York United than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Ottawa than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
  • York United - Atlético Ottawa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.05
    (2.73)
    3.21
    (3.29)
    2.13
    (2.29)
    10.8%
    (10.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for York United - Atlético Ottawa?
  • Users Predictions: Atlético Ottawa will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 53.51%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Atlético Ottawa will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 1-2. 2nd leg.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, York United won 1.
    • York United has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Atlético Ottawa is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Recently, York United has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, York United won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 30:26. (average 1.5:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, York United won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:8. (average 1.4:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between York United - Atlético Ottawa were as follows:
    22.06.2025 York United - Atlético Ottawa 0:0
    11.06.2025 Atlético Ottawa - York United 2:1
    19.04.2025 Atlético Ottawa - York United 3:2
    27.10.2024 Atlético Ottawa - York United 3:2
    06.10.2024 York United - Atlético Ottawa 1:0
    Latest results of York United
    29.06.2025 Forge - York United 2:2
    14.06.2025 Pacific FC - York United 1:3
    08.06.2025 Cavalry - York United 2:1
    Latest results of Atlético Ottawa
    Draw
    2025

    1/8-finals
    1Toronto FCCF Montreal2 : 3
    2ForgeHFX Wanderers3 : 1
    3Vancouver WhitecapsBye
    4ValourTSS Rovers1 : 0
    5CavalryEdmonton Scottish6 : 0
    6Pacific FCVancouver FC1 : 2
    7York UtdFC Laval5 : 0
    8Atl. OttawaScrosoppi2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1CF MontrealForge2 : 2, 0 : 1
    2Vancouver WhitecapsValour2 : 1, 2 : 2
    3CavalryVancouver FC1 : 2, 1 : 1
    4York UtdAtl. Ottawa3 : 4, 1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1ForgeVancouver Whitecaps
    2Vancouver FCAtl. Ottawa

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    Which TV channels are streaming of York United - Atlético Ottawa?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    canadaCanadaOneSoccer
    usaUsaFox Sports 2, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com
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