Illescas vs Atlético Paso – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5 Illescas - Atlético Paso
Result
2:1
16/03/2025 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 27

Match Stats

Red Cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 10', 1 - 0, Gutierrez E. ,
  • 25', 1 - 1, Corral S. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 82', 2 - 1, Pesca R. ,
  • 90+4', Garcia Zamora J. 🟥,

Chances of winning


Illescas
53%
Draw
28.3%
Atlético Paso
18.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42% 29.1% 28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9% 29.7% 28.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Illescas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Illescas's performance.
  • Atlético Paso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlético Paso might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Illescas than the current prediction. (-10.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Illescas that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Paso than the current prediction. (+9.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético Paso could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Illescas - Atlético Paso Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.72
    (2.17)
    3.24
    (3.13)
    4.9
    (3.14)
    9.6%
    (10%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 18 in the zone Relegation).
    • Illescas has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Atlético Paso is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Illescas could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Illescas is a favorite.
    • Our prediction for today's Atlético Paso to win the game is with odds 4.94.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Illescas won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3 (average 0.7:1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Illescas won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Illescas - Atlético Paso were as follows:
    03.11.2024 Atlético Paso - Illescas 2:1
    28.01.2024 Illescas - Atlético Paso 0:0
    17.09.2023 Atlético Paso - Illescas 1:1
    Latest results of Illescas
    02.03.2025 Illescas - Móstoles URJC 0:3
    23.02.2025 Getafe B - Illescas 2:1
    16.02.2025 Illescas - Navalcarnero 0:1
    09.02.2025 Coria - Illescas 4:3
    Latest results of Atlético Paso
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1SD LogronesCD Estepona1 : 2, 1 : 1
    2CacerenoReal Avila2 : 0, 0 : 2
    3BalearesTeruel2 : 5, 1 : 1
    4NumanciaGetafe B0 : 1, 2 : 0
    5Union MalacitanoTorrent0 : 2, 1 : 2
    6CF TalaveraUtebo FC5 : 2, 0 : 1
    7Eibar BSabadell0 : 1, 1 : 1
    8UCAM MurciaDep. Fabril3 : 1, 0 : 0
    9Sant AndreuRayo Majadahonda1 : 2, 0 : 0
    10Real AvilesAntoniano2 : 2, 0 : 0

    Final
    1CD EsteponaCacereno2 : 5, 1 : 0
    2TeruelNumancia1 : 0, 0 : 0
    3TorrentCF Talavera0 : 2, 1 : 1
    4SabadellUCAM Murcia0 : 0, 2 : 1
    5Rayo MajadahondaReal Aviles0 : 4, 0 : 2