Atlético Porcuna vs Motril – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
11/01/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 9 - Round 17
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainWebDirecto

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 69', 1 - 0, Cornejo R. ,

Chances of winning


Atlético Porcuna
15.1%
Draw
24.3%
Motril
60.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
15.9% 24.2% 59.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.8% 24.1% 60.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlético Porcuna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • Motril has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Porcuna than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Motril than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
  • Atlético Porcuna - Motril Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    6.02
    (5.73)
    3.74
    (3.75)
    1.5
    (1.52)
    10%
    (10.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 9 (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético Porcuna won 1.
    • Atlético Porcuna is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Motril has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Atlético Porcuna may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Motril is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Atlético Porcuna won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 5:15. (average 0.6:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Atlético Porcuna won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 1:10. (average 0.2:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Porcuna - Motril were as follows:
    04.05.2025 Atlético Porcuna - Motril 0:1
    04.01.2025 Motril - Atlético Porcuna 1:4
    19.02.2023 Motril - Atlético Porcuna 2:0
    23.10.2022 Atlético Porcuna - Motril 0:2
    Latest results of Atlético Porcuna
    Latest results of Motril
    04.01.2026 Motril - Melilla B 2:1
    14.12.2025 Martos - Motril 1:1
    07.12.2025 Motril - El Palo 5:0
    22.11.2025 Mijas-Las Lagunas - Motril 1:0
    16.11.2025 Motril - UD San Pedro 3:3
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Mijas Las Lagunas23155331:141750
    2Motril24138342:212147
    3Torre del Mar23118427:161141
    4Arenas Armilla23117526:141240
    5Torredonjimeno23109430:23739
    6Churriana de la Vega24116722:25-339
    7Marbelli23106727:20736
    8Granada CF B23710630:28231
    9Huetor Vega23941027:28-131
    10Atletico de Porcuna23921226:23329
    11Melilla B2277817:18-128
    12CD Alhaurino23761028:33-527
    13Martos2368923:28-526
    14UD San Pedro22741123:29-625
    15Mancha23661119:26-724
    16Huetor Tajar23581025:30-523
    17El Palo23371318:41-2316
    18CD Torreperogil23251611:35-2411

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 9 (Play Offs: )
          Relegation