Atlético Porcuna vs Motril – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9 Atlético Porcuna - Motril
Result
0:1
04/05/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 9 - Round 33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 72', 0 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Atlético Porcuna
17%
Draw
23.8%
Motril
59.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
17.3% 24.1% 58.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.8% 23.4% 60.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlético Porcuna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • Motril has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Porcuna than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Motril than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • Atlético Porcuna - Motril Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.3
    (5.26)
    3.79
    (3.78)
    1.53
    (1.56)
    10.8%
    (9.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético Porcuna won 1.
    • Recent performances by Atlético Porcuna have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Motril is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • In this match, Motril is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Atlético Porcuna won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:14. (average 0.7:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Atlético Porcuna won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:9. (average 0.3:2.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Porcuna - Motril were as follows:
    04.01.2025 Motril - Atlético Porcuna 1:4
    19.02.2023 Motril - Atlético Porcuna 2:0
    23.10.2022 Atlético Porcuna - Motril 0:2
    Latest results of Atlético Porcuna
    Latest results of Motril
    01.05.2025 Motril - Martos 1:2
    27.04.2025 Motril - Torre Del Mar 2:1
    13.04.2025 El Ejido - Motril 0:3
    06.04.2025 Motril - Huétor Vega 3:1
    30.03.2025 Arenas Armilla - Motril 0:1
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    Final
    1SocuellamosCayon2 : 0, 1 : 1
    2CastellonenseBurgos CF B0 : 2, 1 : 0
    3CortesBeasain0 : 2, 1 : 2
    4Girona BSan Fernando2 : 0, 1 : 0
    5PulpilenoSarriana2 : 3, 0 : 0
    6LlerenenseLealtad1 : 3, 1 : 0
    7Atletico CentralJaen1 : 2, 0 : 1
    8PorreresAtletico Monzon2 : 0, 0 : 1
    9VareaRayo Vallecano B0 : 3, 1 : 2