Atlético Porcuna vs Real Jaén – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9 Atlético Porcuna - Real Jaén
Result
0:1
23/03/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 9 - Round 27

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 51', 0 - 1, Camara J. ,

Chances of winning


Atlético Porcuna
13.6%
Draw
19.2%
Real Jaén
67.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
16% 22.9% 61.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.7% 22.5% 62.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlético Porcuna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • Real Jaén has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Real Jaén's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Porcuna than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Jaén than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
  • Atlético Porcuna - Real Jaén Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    6.79
    (5.71)
    4.79
    (3.98)
    1.37
    (1.49)
    8.6%
    (9.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 15 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).
    • Recent matches Atlético Porcuna is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Jaén is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Atlético Porcuna could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Jaén is a favorite.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Atlético Porcuna won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:9 (average 0.8:1.8).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Atlético Porcuna won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0 (average 0.7:0).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Porcuna - Real Jaén were as follows:
    10.11.2024 Real Jaén - Atlético Porcuna 2:1
    05.02.2023 Real Jaén - Atlético Porcuna 7:1
    09.10.2022 Atlético Porcuna - Real Jaén 2:0
    Latest results of Atlético Porcuna
    Latest results of Real Jaén
    09.03.2025 Torre Del Mar - Real Jaén 1:2
    02.03.2025 Real Jaén - El Ejido 5:1
    23.02.2025 Huétor Vega - Real Jaén 2:2
    09.02.2025 CP Almería - Real Jaén 0:1
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    Final
    1SocuellamosCayon2 : 0, 1 : 1
    2CastellonenseBurgos CF B0 : 2, 1 : 0
    3CortesBeasain0 : 2, 1 : 2
    4Girona BSan Fernando2 : 0, 1 : 0
    5PulpilenoSarriana2 : 3, 0 : 0
    6LlerenenseLealtad1 : 3, 1 : 0
    7Atletico CentralJaen1 : 2, 0 : 1
    8PorreresAtletico Monzon2 : 0, 0 : 1
    9VareaRayo Vallecano B0 : 3, 1 : 2