Result
3:1
26/02/2025 at 22:05 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- MEXICO: Liga MX - Clausura - Round 9
- Referee: Rosario I. (Mex)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.78 | 1.68 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 8 | 19 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 19 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 18 | 31 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (344/417) | 86% (498/576) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 63% (44/70) | 67% (97/144) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 67% (6/9) | 27% (6/22) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (6/10) | 76% (13/17) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 27 | 8 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 37', Najera R. ↓, Macias O. ↑,
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 50', 1 - 0, Salles-Lamonge S. ⚽, Sanabria J. (A),
- 51', Aguila E. 🟨,
- 56', 2 - 0, Vitinho ⚽, Torres R. (A),
- 57', Vitinho 🟨,
- 60', Camberos H. ↓, Cowell C. ↑,
- 60', Rey L. ↓, Padilla Y. ↑,
- 66', Klimowicz M. ↓, Leo Bonatini ↑,
- 68', Gutierrez E. 🟨,
- 68', Pulido A. ↓, Chicharito ↑,
- 72', Gonzalez F. 🟨,
- 74', 3 - 0, Leo Bonatini ⚽, Vitinho (A),
- 75', 3 - 1, Chicharito ⚽, Alvarado R. (A),
- 76', Mozo A. ↓, Gonzalez A. ↑,
- 76', Gonzalez F. ↓, Beltran F. ↑,
- 84', Salles-Lamonge S. ↓, Yan Phillipe ↑,
- 84', Vitinho ↓, Murillo J. ↑,
- 84', Dominguez J. ↓, Garcia M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Atlético San Luis
25.8% | Draw
26.7% | Chivas Guadalajara
47.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético San Luis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético San Luis's form might have worsened.Chivas Guadalajara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chivas Guadalajara's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético San Luis than the current prediction. (+7.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético San Luis, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chivas Guadalajara than the current prediction. (-8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chivas Guadalajara, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Atlético San Luis - Chivas Guadalajara Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.66 ↑
(2.79) |
3.51 ↑
(3.5) |
1.99 ↓
(2.39) |
6.2%
(6.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Atlético San Luis - Chivas Guadalajara?
Users Predictions:
Chivas Guadalajara will win
(12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.38% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Atlético San Luis won 2.
- Atlético San Luis has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Guadalajara is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Guadalajara could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Guadalajara will have a mini benefit in this match.
- There will not play in Atlético San Luis: Boli F.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Guadalajara: Guzman V.
(Leg Injury)
Olivas Salcedo L. A.
(Knee Injury)
Sepulveda L.
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in Guadalajara: Aguirre D.
(Injury)
Gomez M.
(Hamstring Injury)
Whalley O.
(Knee Injury)
- Our prediction for today's Guadalajara to win the game is with odds 2.08.
- Last 12 head-to-head matches Atlético San Luis won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 14:18 (average 1.2:1.5).
- Including matches at home between the teams Atlético San Luis won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:7 (average 1.4:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético San Luis won against Chivas Guadalajara?
Atlético San Luis has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Chivas Guadalajara won against Atlético San Luis?
Chivas Guadalajara has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético San Luis - Chivas Guadalajara were as follows:
09.11.2024
Chivas Guadalajara
-
Atlético San Luis
0:1
04.02.2024
Atlético San Luis
-
Chivas Guadalajara
0:2
08.07.2023
Chivas Guadalajara
-
Atlético San Luis
3:1
13.01.2023
Atlético San Luis
-
Chivas Guadalajara
0:0
Latest results of Atlético San Luis
Latest results of Chivas Guadalajara
Mexican Liga MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Santos Laguna | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Monterrey | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Cruz Azul | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Atlas | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Atl. San Luis | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Guadalajara Chivas | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Necaxa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Pachuca | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Toluca | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Club America | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Puebla | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Tigres UANL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | UNAM Pumas | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Queretaro | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Club Tijuana | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Club Leon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | Juarez | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | Mazatlan FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )
Which TV channels are streaming of Atlético San Luis - Chivas Guadalajara?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+, ESPN 2, ESPN |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | TUDN |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | Disney+ |
