Result
4:3
26/07/2025 at 19:07 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Apertura - Round 3
- Referee: Ramos C. A. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Amazon Prime Video |
 Usa | NBC Universo, Peacock TV, Telemundo, Univision |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.66 | 1.51 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (376/428) | 83% (292/350) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.66 | 1.51 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.95 | 1.63 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (376/428) | 83% (292/350) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (19/38) | 55% (23/42) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 82% (109/133) | 72% (54/75) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (8/28) | 29% (6/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.92 | 0.84 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 47% (7/15) | 44% (4/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 30 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.63 | 3.95 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.37 | 0.90 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 11', 1 - 0, Sanabria J. (Own goal),
- 35', Aguirre D. 🟨,
- 45+1', 2 - 0, Cowell C. ⚽, Aguirre D. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 3)
- 46', Aguirre D. ↓, Campillo Del Campo D. ↑,
- 50', 2 - 1, Aguila E. ⚽, Salles-Lamonge S. (A),
- 54', Ledezma R. ↓, Mozo A. ↑,
- 54', Cowell C. ↓, Alvarez E. ↑,
- 62', Yan Phillipe ↓, Garcia M. ↑,
- 62', Govea O. 🟨,
- 68', Gutierrez E. 🟨,
- 69', 2 - 2, Joao Pedro Galvao (Pen),
- 70', Klimowicz M. ↓, Galdames B. ↑,
- 75', 2 - 3, Galdames B. ⚽,
- 77', Joao Pedro Galvao 🟨,
- 81', Gonzalez B. ↓, Camberos H. ↑,
- 81', Pulido A. ↓, Gonzalez A. ↑,
- 84', 3 - 3, Gonzalez A. ⚽, Mozo A. (A),
- 87', Sanabria J. 🟨,
- 90', 4 - 3, Gonzalez A. ⚽, Alvarez E. (A),
- 90+3', Macias O. ↓, Marchand J. ↑,
- 90+4', Galdames B. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Chivas Guadalajara
60.7% | Draw
23.6% | Atlético San Luis
15.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chivas Guadalajara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)Atlético San Luis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
Chivas Guadalajara - Atlético San Luis Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.55 ↓
(1.67) |
3.98 ↑
(3.76) |
5.88 ↑
(4.73) |
6.5%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Chivas Guadalajara - Atlético San Luis?
Users Predictions:
Chivas Guadalajara will win
(60 of 63 users predict this - 95.24%).
Confidence interval (95%): 89.98% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Chivas Guadalajara will win (15 of 15 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guadalajara won 2.
- Guadalajara may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Guadalajara is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Guadalajara: Sepulveda L.
(Ankle Injury)
Tapias M.
(Thigh Injury)
- There will not play in Atlético San Luis: Boli F.
(Thigh Injury)
- There are questionable in Guadalajara: Olivas Salcedo L. A.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Guadalajara won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 19:17. (average 1.5:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Guadalajara won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:7. (average 1.6:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Chivas Guadalajara won against Atlético San Luis?
Chivas Guadalajara has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético San Luis won against Chivas Guadalajara?
Atlético San Luis has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Chivas Guadalajara - Atlético San Luis were as follows:
26.02.2025
Atlético San Luis
-
Chivas Guadalajara
3:1
09.11.2024
Chivas Guadalajara
-
Atlético San Luis
0:1
04.02.2024
Atlético San Luis
-
Chivas Guadalajara
0:2
08.07.2023
Chivas Guadalajara
-
Atlético San Luis
3:1
13.01.2023
Atlético San Luis
-
Chivas Guadalajara
0:0
Latest results of Chivas Guadalajara
Latest results of Atlético San Luis
Mexican Liga MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Toluca | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 39:16 | 23 | 31 |
| 2 | Cruz Azul | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 24:16 | 8 | 28 |
| 3 | Club America | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 27:13 | 14 | 27 |
| 4 | Monterrey | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 26:20 | 6 | 27 |
| 5 | Tigres UANL | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 27:13 | 14 | 26 |
| 6 | Pachuca | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 18:15 | 3 | 21 |
| 7 | Club Tijuana | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 26:17 | 9 | 20 |
| 8 | Guadalajara Chivas | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 20:18 | 2 | 20 |
| 9 | Juarez | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 18:17 | 1 | 19 |
| 10 | UNAM Pumas | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 16:20 | -4 | 14 |
| 11 | Atl. San Luis | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 19:20 | -1 | 13 |
| 12 | Santos Laguna | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 15:21 | -6 | 13 |
| 13 | Atlas | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 21:29 | -8 | 13 |
| 14 | Club Leon | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12:24 | -12 | 12 |
| 15 | Mazatlan FC | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 15:23 | -8 | 11 |
| 16 | Queretaro | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 14:25 | -11 | 11 |
| 17 | Necaxa | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 14:26 | -12 | 9 |
| 18 | Puebla | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 14:32 | -18 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )
