Result
03/05/2026 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 9
- Referee: Perez Y. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | ESPN Premium |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Israel | Sport 2 |
 Italy | Como TV, Sportitalia |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 1 |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Portugal | Sport TV2 |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 1, Arena Premium 2 |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | Onefootball, TyC Sports Internacional |
Chances of winning
River Plate
60.2% | Draw
24.7% | Atlético Tucumán
15.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
River Plate has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that River Plate's form might have worsened.Atlético Tucumán has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for River Plate than the current prediction. (+8.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for River Plate, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Tucumán than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
River Plate - Atlético Tucumán Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.57 ↑
(1.44) |
3.81 ↓
(4.32) |
6.2 ↓
(7.49) |
6.2%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for River Plate - Atlético Tucumán?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. River Plate will win (votes: 8 - 88.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for River Plate: 68.4% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Federation decision.
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 13).
- River Plate is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, River Plate won 3.
- River Plate is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Atlético Tucumán's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Atlético Tucumán may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, River Plate is the undeniable favorite.
- We predict that River Plate will win today's game, with odds of 1.45.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, River Plate won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:7. (average 1.1:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, River Plate won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 1.4:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has River Plate won against Atlético Tucumán?
River Plate has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Tucumán won against River Plate?
Atlético Tucumán has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between River Plate - Atlético Tucumán were as follows:
20.09.2025
Atlético Tucumán
-
River Plate
2:0
09.03.2025
River Plate
-
Atlético Tucumán
1:0
13.09.2024
River Plate
-
Atlético Tucumán
4:1
14.02.2024
Atlético Tucumán
-
River Plate
0:0
21.09.2023
River Plate
-
Atlético Tucumán
1:0
Latest results of River Plate
Latest results of Atlético Tucumán
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
AperturaGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Estudiantes L.P. ✔ | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 19:7 | 12 | 31 |
| 2 | Boca Juniors ✔ | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 22:9 | 13 | 30 |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield ✔ | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 17:11 | 6 | 27 |
| 4 | Talleres Cordoba ✔ | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17:13 | 4 | 26 |
| 5 | Independiente ✔ | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 24:20 | 4 | 24 |
| 6 | Lanus ✔ | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 18:15 | 3 | 24 |
| 7 | San Lorenzo ✔ | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 22 |
| 8 | Union de Santa Fe | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 24:20 | 4 | 21 |
| 9 | Defensa y Justicia | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 17:19 | -2 | 19 |
| 10 | Instituto | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 15:17 | -2 | 18 |
| 11 | Platense | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 10:15 | -5 | 16 |
| 12 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 12:21 | -9 | 16 |
| 13 | Central Cordoba | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 11:21 | -10 | 16 |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 14:26 | -12 | 14 |
| 15 | Dep. Riestra | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 5:12 | -7 | 11 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. Rivadavia ✔ | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 29:15 | 14 | 34 |
| 2 | River Plate ✔ | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 22:11 | 11 | 29 |
| 3 | Argentinos Jrs ✔ | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 17:13 | 4 | 29 |
| 4 | Rosario Central ✔ | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 20:16 | 4 | 28 |
| 5 | Belgrano ✔ | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17:13 | 4 | 26 |
| 6 | Gimnasia L.P. ✔ | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 19:19 | 0 | 26 |
| 7 | Huracan | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 17:13 | 4 | 22 |
| 8 | Racing Club | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 17:15 | 2 | 21 |
| 9 | Barracas Central | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15:15 | 0 | 21 |
| 10 | Tigre | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 18:15 | 3 | 20 |
| 11 | Sarmiento Junin | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 13:20 | -7 | 19 |
| 12 | Banfield | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 17:19 | -2 | 18 |
| 13 | Atl. Tucuman | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 14:20 | -6 | 11 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 16 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 6:19 | -13 | 8 |
| 15 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 15 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 5:22 | -17 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Estudiantes L.P. is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Boca Juniors is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Velez Sarsfield is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Talleres Cordoba is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Independiente is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Lanus is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
San Lorenzo is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Ind. Rivadavia is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
River Plate is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Argentinos Jrs is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Rosario Central is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Belgrano is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Gimnasia L.P. is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
