Result
2:2
18/09/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Relegation Group - Round 4
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 7', 1 - 0, Valencia K. ⚽,
- 11', 1 - 1, Bolano J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 70', 1 - 2, Avila F. ⚽,
- 77', 2 - 2, Corozo R. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Chacaritas
26.6% | Draw
26.1% | Atlético Vinotinto
47.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chacaritas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chacaritas's performance.Atlético Vinotinto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chacaritas than the current prediction. (-5.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chacaritas that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Vinotinto than the current prediction. (+6.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético Vinotinto could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Chacaritas - Atlético Vinotinto Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.45 ↓
(4.39) |
3.52 ↑
(3.5) |
1.94 ↑
(1.78) |
9%
(7.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- Recent performances by Chacaritas have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Atlético Vinotinto is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Chacaritas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Atlético Vinotinto could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Chacaritas won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:6. (average 0.5:3).
- Including home match between the teams, Chacaritas won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Chacaritas won against Atlético Vinotinto?
Chacaritas has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Vinotinto won against Chacaritas?
Atlético Vinotinto has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Chacaritas - Atlético Vinotinto were as follows:
10.07.2025
Chacaritas
-
Atlético Vinotinto
1:2
30.04.2025
Atlético Vinotinto
-
Chacaritas
4:0
Latest results of Chacaritas
Latest results of Atlético Vinotinto
Ecuadorian Serie B Table
Promotion Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Guayaquil City | 27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 38:19 | 19 | 49 |
| 2 | Gualaceo | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 35:33 | 2 | 45 |
| 3 | Leones del Norte | 27 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 30:20 | 10 | 43 |
| 4 | Ind. Juniors | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 29:27 | 2 | 40 |
| 5 | Nueve de Octubre | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 26:21 | 5 | 38 |
| 6 | San Antonio | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 26:29 | -3 | 35 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (First stage: )
