Auburn Tigers vs Illinois State Redbirds – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

02/04/2026 at 21:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NIT - Semi-finals

Chances of winning


Auburn Tigers
74.8%
Illinois State Redbirds
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
69.3% 30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.9% 32.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Auburn Tigers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Auburn Tigers's performance.
  • Illinois State Redbirds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Illinois State Redbirds might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Auburn Tigers than the current prediction. (-6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Auburn Tigers that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Illinois State Redbirds than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Illinois State Redbirds could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Auburn Tigers - Illinois State Redbirds Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.27
    (1.35)

    3.72
    (3.05)
    5.9%
    (6.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 149.00
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-8)
    Preview Facts
    • Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
    • Recently, Auburn has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Auburn is seen as the favorite.
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Auburn Tigers
    Draw
    2026

    1/16-finals
    1AuburnSouth Alabama78 : 67
    2SeattleSt. Thomas (Minn.)67 : 52
    3George MasonLiberty71 : 77
    4NevadaMurray State89 : 75
    5Wake ForestNavy82 : 72
    6Illinois StateKent State79 : 58
    7YaleNC Wilmington67 : 78
    8DaytonBradley80 : 66
    9New MexicoSam Houston St.107 : 83
    10Utah Valley StateGeorge Washington78 : 79
    11Colorado StateSaint Josephs Hawks64 : 69
    12CaliforniaIllinois (Chi.)91 : 73
    13TulsaStephen F. Austin89 : 84
    14UC IrvineUNLV72 : 75
    15Wichita StateWyoming74 : 70
    16Oklahoma StateDavidson84 : 80

    1/8-finals
    1AuburnSeattle91 : 85
    2LibertyNevada63 : 73
    3Wake ForestIllinois State75 : 78
    4NC WilmingtonDayton61 : 80
    5New MexicoGeorge Washington86 : 61
    6Saint Josephs HawksCalifornia76 : 75
    7TulsaUNLV77 : 66
    8Wichita StateOklahoma State96 : 70

    Quarter-finals
    1AuburnNevada75 : 69
    2Illinois StateDayton61 : 55
    3New MexicoSaint Josephs Hawks84 : 69
    4TulsaWichita State83 : 79

    Semi-finals
    1AuburnIllinois State
    2New MexicoTulsa69 : 74

    Final
    1TBD #1Tulsa