Hawkes Bay vs Auckland – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Rugby union New Zealand Bunnings NPC Hawkes Bay - Auckland
Result
45:28
25/09/2025 at 03:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Bunnings NPC
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport 1
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomFloSports app

Match Stats

Tries
00
Conversion Goals
00
Conversion Goal Attempts
00
Penalty Goals
00
Penalty Goal Attempts
00
Goals %
00
Dropped Goals
00
Total Runs
00
Metres Run With Ball
00

Chances of winning


Hawkes Bay
68.5%
Draw
3.8%
Auckland
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
69.4% 4.1% 26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.8% 3.9% 24.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Hawkes Bay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • Auckland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hawkes Bay than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hawkes Bay, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Auckland than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
  • Hawkes Bay - Auckland Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.33
    (1.3)
    21
    (22)
    3.45
    (3.4)
    8.9%
    (10.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 58.00
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)
    Preview Facts
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • In this match, Hawkes Bay is a strong favorite.
    • We predict that Hawkes Bay will win today's game, with odds of 1.35.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Hawkes Bay won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 99:106. (average 24.8:26.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Hawkes Bay won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 77:72. (average 25.7:24).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Hawkes Bay - Auckland were as follows:
    27.09.2024 Hawkes Bay - Auckland 36:35
    25.08.2023 Auckland - Hawkes Bay 34:22
    Latest results of Hawkes Bay
    19.09.2025 Taranaki - Hawkes Bay 38:24
    12.09.2025 Bay of Plenty - Hawkes Bay FRO
    05.09.2025 Hawkes Bay - Wellington 45:19
    30.08.2025 Northland - Hawkes Bay 27:21
    22.08.2025 Hawkes Bay - Canterbury 7:26
    Latest results of Auckland
    19.09.2025 Counties Manukau - Auckland 49:28
    13.09.2025 Auckland - Manawatu 52:29
    07.09.2025 Tasman - Auckland 21:29
    30.08.2025 Wellington - Auckland 36:17
    23.08.2025 Auckland - Northland 24:43
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Canterbury (1)Counties Manukau (8)
    2Hawke's Bay (4)Taranaki (5)
    3Otago (2)Waikato (7)44 : 41
    4Bay of Plenty (3)Tasman (6)27 : 7