Auckland vs Otago – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Rugby union New Zealand Bunnings NPC Auckland - Otago
Result
17:51
03/10/2025 at 21:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Bunnings NPC
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Tries
00
Conversion Goals
00
Conversion Goal Attempts
00
Penalty Goals
00
Penalty Goal Attempts
00
Goals %
00
Dropped Goals
00
Total Runs
00
Metres Run With Ball
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (5 - 28)
  • 2nd Half (12 - 23)

Chances of winning


Auckland
38.3%
Draw
4%
Otago
57.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.6% 4.4% 65.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31% 4.5% 64.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Auckland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Auckland's performance.
  • Otago has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Otago might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Auckland than the current prediction. (-7.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Auckland that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Otago than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Otago could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Auckland - Otago Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.42
    (3)
    22
    (21)
    1.57
    (1.41)
    9.9%
    (9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 56.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Auckland won 2.
    • Auckland has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Otago is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Auckland may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Auckland has had a series of away games.
    • Otago is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Auckland won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 296:205. (average 32.9:22.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Auckland won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 150:82. (average 37.5:20.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Auckland - Otago were as follows:
    16.08.2024 Otago - Auckland 27:25
    27.08.2022 Auckland - Otago 35:5
    Latest results of Auckland
    25.09.2025 Hawkes Bay - Auckland 45:28
    19.09.2025 Counties Manukau - Auckland 49:28
    13.09.2025 Auckland - Manawatu 52:29
    07.09.2025 Tasman - Auckland 21:29
    30.08.2025 Wellington - Auckland 36:17
    Latest results of Otago
    26.09.2025 Otago - North Harbour 41:26
    20.09.2025 Canterbury - Otago 36:38
    13.09.2025 Otago - Taranaki 28:26
    05.09.2025 Otago - Northland 29:10
    30.08.2025 Tasman - Otago 27:31
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Canterbury (1)Counties Manukau (8)
    2Hawke's Bay (4)Taranaki (5)
    3Otago (2)Waikato (7)44 : 41
    4Bay of Plenty (3)Tasman (6)27 : 7