Spartak Trnava vs Auda Riga – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:1
03/08/2023 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - QUALIFICATION - QUARTER-FINALS
  • Referee: Cibelli L. (Sui)

Chances of winning


Spartak Trnava
71.6%
Draw
18.9%
Auda Riga
9.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.4% 22.4% 17.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.2% 21.8% 16.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Spartak Trnava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Spartak Trnava's performance.
  • Auda Riga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Auda Riga might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spartak Trnava than the current prediction. (-9.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Spartak Trnava that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Auda Riga than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Auda Riga could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Spartak Trnava - Auda Riga Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.31
    (1.56)
    5.06
    (4.2)
    9.83
    (5.5)
    6.3%
    (6.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Spartak Trnava - Auda Riga?
  • Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Trnava will win (votes: 21 - 87.5%). Auda will win (votes: 3 - 12.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Trnava: 74.3%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-1.
    • Trnava has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Auda is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • In this match Trnava is certain favorite.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Trnava won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Spartak Trnava - Auda Riga were as follows:
    27.07.2023 Auda Riga - Spartak Trnava 1:1
    Latest results of Spartak Trnava
    Latest results of Auda Riga
    30.07.2023 Auda Riga - Liepāja 1:1
    27.07.2023 Auda Riga - Spartak Trnava 1:1
    23.07.2023 Auda Riga - RFS 2:5
    16.07.2023 BFC Daugavpils - Auda Riga 1:4
    08.07.2023 Riga - Auda Riga 1:0
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1KuPS (21)Lech Poznan (11)0 : 1, 0 : 2
    2Noah (19)AZ Alkmaar (14)0 : 4, 1 : 0
    3Zrinjski (23)Crystal Palace (10)0 : 2, 1 : 1
    4Jagiellonia (17)Fiorentina (15)4 : 2, 0 : 3
    5Shkendija (22)Samsunspor (12)0 : 4, 0 : 1
    6Drita (20)Celje (13)2 : 3, 2 : 3
    7Sigma Olomouc (24)Lausanne (9)2 : 1, 1 : 1
    8Omonia (18)Rijeka (16)1 : 3, 0 : 1
    9Rayo Vallecano (5)Bye
    10Shakhtar Donetsk (6)Bye
    11AEK Athens (3)Bye
    12Sparta Prague (4)Bye
    13Mainz (7)Bye
    14AEK Larnaca (8)Bye
    15Strasbourg (1)Bye
    16Rakow (2)Bye