Result
1:0
16/07/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Chile - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
- Referee: Flores D. (Chi)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.45 | 0.49 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (324/400) | 83% (464/561) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.45 | 0.49 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.37 | 0.22 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (324/400) | 83% (464/561) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 61% (43/70) | 43% (30/69) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (75/113) | 63% (80/126) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (5/15) | 27% (3/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 0.31 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 29 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 62% (8/13) | 50% (7/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 33 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.22 | 0.37 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.22 | -0.81 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 23', Gil Romero G. 🟨,
- 30', Riep A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Gil Romero G. ↓, Collao M. ↑,
- 46', Pina D. ↓, Munoz C. ↑,
- 46', Fuentes M. ↓, Riveros L. ↑,
- 46', Riep A. ↓, Troyansky F. ↑,
- 56', Quinteros M. ↓, Aliaga I. ↑,
- 61', Guiffrey G. 🟨,
- 62', Leiva Y. 🟨,
- 62', Munoz H. 🟨,
- 67', Orellana N. ↓, Guajardo P. ↑,
- 67', 1 - 0, Valencia Rossel L. ⚽,
- 77', Rojas Munoz O. J. 🟨,
- 77', Rojas D. ↓, Ortiz F. ↑,
- 77', Leiva Y. ↓, Saez W. ↑,
- 85', Gonzalez J. 🟨,
- 87', Guisolfo B. ↓, Fernandez N. ↑,
Chances of winning
Audax Italiano 55.5% | Draw 24.6% | Curicó Unido 19.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Audax Italiano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Audax Italiano's form might have worsened.Curicó Unido has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Audax Italiano than the current prediction. (+9.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Audax Italiano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Curicó Unido than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
Audax Italiano - Curicó Unido Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.67 ↑ (1.5) |
3.78 ↓ (4.2) |
4.73 ↓ (5.85) |
7.6% (7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Audax Italiano - Curicó Unido?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Audax Italiano will win (votes: 6 - 100%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Audax Italiano (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- 1st leg result: 1-0. 2nd leg.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Audax Italiano won 2.
- Audax Italiano has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Curicó Unido is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Curicó Unido may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Audax Italiano is considered a favorite.
- We predict that Audax Italiano will win today's game, with odds of 1.5.
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Audax Italiano won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 28:23. (average 1.6:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Audax Italiano won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 19:5. (average 2.1:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Audax Italiano won against Curicó Unido?
Audax Italiano has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Curicó Unido won against Audax Italiano?
Curicó Unido has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Audax Italiano - Curicó Unido were as follows:
09.07.2025
Curicó Unido
-
Audax Italiano
0:1
24.07.2023
Audax Italiano
-
Curicó Unido
3:0
03.02.2023
Curicó Unido
-
Audax Italiano
2:1
24.10.2022
Audax Italiano
-
Curicó Unido
1:1
Latest results of Audax Italiano
Latest results of Curicó Unido
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Limache | Cobreloa | 3 : 0, 3 : 1 |
| 2 | Union La Calera | Coquimbo | 1 : 4, 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Antofagasta | S. Wanderers | 2 : 3, 0 : 3 |
| 4 | La Serena | San Luis | 4 : 1, 1 : 3 |
| 5 | U. De Chile | Curico Unido | 2 : 2, 1 : 2 |
| 6 | A. Italiano | Deportes Temuco | 2 : 0, 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Nublense | Magallanes | 2 : 0, 1 : 1 |
| 8 | Huachipato | D. Concepcion | 2 : 0, 1 : 1 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Limache | Coquimbo | 3 : 2, 2 : 1 |
| 2 | S. Wanderers | La Serena | 1 : 5, 2 : 4 |
| 3 | Curico Unido | A. Italiano | 0 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 4 | Nublense | Huachipato | 1 : 2, 2 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Limache | La Serena | 6 : 1, 2 : 0 |
| 2 | A. Italiano | Huachipato | 2 : 4, 1 : 0 |
Final