Result
3:0
13/03/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Primera - Round 7
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 0.93 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (337/416) | 84% (348/412) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 0.93 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.91 | 0.26 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 12 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (337/416) | 84% (348/412) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (46/84) | 56% (38/68) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (43/75) | 74% (95/128) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 50% (6/12) | 34% (11/32) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 0.87 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 16 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (9/12) | 76% (16/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 36 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.26 | 1.91 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.74 | -1.09 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 0)
- 3', 1 - 0, Ferrario E. ⚽, Aedo N. (A),
- 9', 2 - 0, Chiaverano G. ⚽, Guajardo P. (A),
- 12', Sandoval M. ↓, Sepulveda N. ↑,
- 32', 3 - 0, Troyansky F. ⚽, Ortiz M. (A),
- 45+3', Troyansky F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Cavalleri M. ↓, Henriquez J. ↑,
- 46', Vejar B. ↓, Rojas J. ↑,
- 46', Aedo N. ↓, Sandoval M. ↑,
- 49', Sepulveda N. 🟨,
- 60', Chiaverano G. ↓, Coelho D. ↑,
- 60', Guajardo P. ↓, Jimenez M. ↑,
- 72', Troyansky F. ↓, Cabral R. ↑,
- 78', Larrivey J. ↓, Gillard A. ↑,
- 78', Rodriguez Y. ↓, Espinoza E. ↑,
- 79', Sandoval M. 🟨,
- 80', Collao M. ↓, Loyola F. ↑,
- 82', Gillard A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Audax Italiano
44.3% | Draw
29% | Deportes Concepción
26.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Audax Italiano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Audax Italiano's form might have worsened.Deportes Concepción has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportes Concepción's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Audax Italiano than the current prediction. (+9.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Audax Italiano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Concepción than the current prediction. (-6.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportes Concepción, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Audax Italiano - Deportes Concepción Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.12 ↑
(1.75) |
3.21 ↓
(3.6) |
3.51 ↓
(4.65) |
6.8%
(6.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Audax Italiano - Deportes Concepción?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Audax Italiano will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Deportes Concepción will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Audax Italiano: 23.1% – 88.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Deportes Concepción (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Deportes Concepción (2.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Deportes Concepción (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 13 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso).
- Audax Italiano has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Deportes Concepción is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Deportes Concepción may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Audax Italiano will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Audax Italiano won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Audax Italiano won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Audax Italiano won against Deportes Concepción?
Audax Italiano has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportes Concepción won against Audax Italiano?
Deportes Concepción has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Audax Italiano - Deportes Concepción were as follows:
07.05.2025
Audax Italiano
-
Deportes Concepción
2:1
06.04.2025
Deportes Concepción
-
Audax Italiano
0:0
Latest results of Audax Italiano
Latest results of Deportes Concepción
Chilean Primera Division Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Colo Colo | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 8:4 | 4 | 15 |
| 2 | Limache | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 16:8 | 8 | 14 |
| 3 | Nublense | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 9:6 | 3 | 12 |
| 4 | U. Catolica | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 13:10 | 3 | 11 |
| 5 | U. De Concepcion | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6:9 | -3 | 11 |
| 6 | A. Italiano | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7:5 | 2 | 10 |
| 7 | Union La Calera | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10:9 | 1 | 10 |
| 8 | U. De Chile | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 10 |
| 9 | O'Higgins | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10:11 | -1 | 10 |
| 10 | La Serena | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 9 |
| 11 | Coquimbo | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 8:8 | 0 | 9 |
| 12 | Huachipato | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 9 |
| 13 | Palestino | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11:11 | 0 | 8 |
| 14 | Everton | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6:9 | -3 | 7 |
| 15 | Cobresal | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10:16 | -6 | 7 |
| 16 | D. Concepcion | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4:12 | -8 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso
