Result
1:0
27/07/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Primera - Round 17
- Referee: Carvajal R. (Chi)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.90 | 0.83 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 38% | 62% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (194/291) | 83% (406/492) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.90 | 0.83 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 0.38 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (194/291) | 83% (406/492) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (24/64) | 50% (30/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (68/113) | 71% (78/110) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (3/14) | 14% (2/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.61 | 0.69 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 27 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 76% (16/21) | 59% (10/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 61 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.38 | 0.82 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.38 | -0.18 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 15', Orellana N. 🟨,
- 30', Gonzalez C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 49', 1 - 0, Gonzalez C. ⚽, Jorquera M. (A),
- 53', Palacios L. ↓, Eduardo Vargas ↑,
- 53', Orellana N. ↓, Riep A. ↑,
- 63', Fuentes M. ↓, Guajardo P. ↑,
- 69', Henriquez A. ↓, Moya M. ↑,
- 69', Gomez M. ↓, Orellana D. ↑,
- 72', Puch E. ↓, Fernandez C. D. N. ↑,
- 74', Jorquera M. ↓, Salinas Flores H. ↑,
- 77', Rojas Munoz O. J. ↓, Gil Romero G. ↑,
Chances of winning
Deportes Iquique 30.6% | Draw 29.2% | Audax Italiano 40.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportes Iquique has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)Audax Italiano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Iquique than the current prediction. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Audax Italiano than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
Deportes Iquique - Audax Italiano Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.05 ↑ (3.03) |
3.26 ↓ (3.39) |
2.33 ↑ (2.25) |
6.4% (6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Deportes Iquique - Audax Italiano?
Users Predictions:
Audax Italiano will win
(14 of 15 users predict this - 93.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.7% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Audax Italiano will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportes Iquique won 3.
- Deportes Iquique is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Audax Italiano is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Audax Italiano may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Audax Italiano has had a series of home games.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Deportes Iquique won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 30:39. (average 1.5:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Deportes Iquique won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:14. (average 1.6:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Deportes Iquique won against Audax Italiano?
Deportes Iquique has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Audax Italiano won against Deportes Iquique?
Audax Italiano has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportes Iquique - Audax Italiano were as follows:
21.02.2025
Audax Italiano
-
Deportes Iquique
4:2
20.07.2024
Deportes Iquique
-
Audax Italiano
2:1
19.02.2024
Audax Italiano
-
Deportes Iquique
2:3
Latest results of Deportes Iquique
Latest results of Audax Italiano
Chilean Primera Division Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coquimbo | 25 | 19 | 5 | 1 | 38:12 | 26 | 62 |
| 2 | U. Catolica | 25 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 39:22 | 17 | 48 |
| 3 | O'Higgins | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 32:29 | 3 | 44 |
| 4 | A. Italiano | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 44:38 | 6 | 43 |
| 5 | U. De Chile | 24 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 47:25 | 22 | 42 |
| 6 | Palestino | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 33:24 | 9 | 42 |
| 7 | Cobresal | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 31:28 | 3 | 41 |
| 8 | Colo Colo | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 36:27 | 9 | 34 |
| 9 | Huachipato | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 37:39 | -2 | 32 |
| 10 | Nublense | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 24:33 | -9 | 30 |
| 11 | Union La Calera | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 25:28 | -3 | 29 |
| 12 | La Serena | 25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 29:44 | -15 | 24 |
| 13 | Everton | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 25:37 | -12 | 22 |
| 14 | Limache | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 27:35 | -8 | 21 |
| 15 | U. Espanola | 25 | 6 | 2 | 17 | 28:47 | -19 | 20 |
| 16 | Deportes Iquique | 25 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 26:53 | -27 | 15 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso