Result
2:3
30/08/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Bundesliga - Round 2
- Referee: Exner F. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Africa | Azam Sports 2, CANAL+ Sport 4, New World Sport 1, Sporty TV, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football |
Albania | Tring Sport 2 |
Angola | Z Sports 2 |
Argentina | Disney+, ESPN 3 |
Armenia | Fast Sports 2, Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 2 |
Asia | MBC Action |
Australia | Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 |
Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Top Event, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1 |
Azerbaijan | Setanta Sports 2 |
Belgium | Play Sports 1 |
Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Xsports, Zapping |
Bulgaria | Nova Sport |
Canada | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada |
Chile | Disney+ |
China | Migu |
Colombia | Disney+, ESPN |
Croatia | SportKlub 1 |
Czech-republic | Nova Sport 3, Oneplay |
Denmark | See, Viaplay |
Europe | Setanta Sports 2 Baltic |
Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay |
France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free, New World TV |
Georgia | Setanta Sports 2 |
Germany | Amazon Prime Video, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga UHD, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW |
Greece | Nova Sports 3 |
Hong-kong | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, M Plus Live, Now Player |
Hungary | Arena 4 |
Iceland | SÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay |
India | Vision+ |
Indonesia | iNews, K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel, Vidio |
Iran | IRIB Varzesh |
Ireland | NOW |
Israel | Sport 1, Sport 4 |
Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 254 |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Kazakhstan | Setanta Sports 2 |
Kosovo | Arena Premium 3 |
Kyrgyzstan | Setanta Sports 2 |
Laos | beIN Connect |
Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka |
Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 5 |
Mexico | Sky Sport |
Moldova | Setanta Sports 2 |
Mongolia | Premier Sports 4 |
Netherlands | Viaplay |
North-central-america | Sky Sports Norte |
Norway | Viaplay, V Sport 2 |
Peru | Disney+, ESPN |
Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
Poland | Eleven Sports 1 |
Portugal | DAZN 1 |
Romania | Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4 |
Russia | Okko Sport |
Saudi-arabia | Shahid |
Serbia | Arena Premium 3, SportKlub 1 |
Singapore | beIN Sports 3 |
Slovakia | Sport TV2, Voyo |
South-america | ESPN South |
South-korea | Coupang Play |
Spain | DAZN Espana |
Sweden | Viaplay |
Switzerland | Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Top Event |
Taiwan | ELTA Sports 1 |
Tajikistan | Setanta Sports 2 |
Thailand | AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, PPTV Sports |
Turkey | beIN Connect, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1 |
Turkmenistan | Setanta Sports 2 |
Ukraine | Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+ |
United-kingdom | NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Football |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Uzbekistan | Setanta Sports 2 |
Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN, Inter |
Vietnam | TV 360 |
World | Daystar Pacific, Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.50 | 3.81 |
Ball Possession |
---|
43% | 57% |
Total shots |
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10 | 20 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 10 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 7 |
Corner Kicks |
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7 | 5 |
Passes |
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79% (294/372) | 85% (434/513) |
Yellow Cards |
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3 | 4 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.50 | 3.81 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
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1.35 | 4.52 |
Total shots |
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10 | 20 |
Shots on target |
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3 | 10 |
Shots off target |
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6 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
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1 | 5 |
Shots inside the Box |
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7 | 16 |
Shots outside the Box |
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3 | 4 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
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0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
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0 | 7 |
Corner Kicks |
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7 | 5 |
Touches in opposition box |
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22 | 38 |
Accurate through passes |
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0 | 6 |
Offsides |
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4 | 3 |
Free Kicks |
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10 | 12 |
Passes |
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79% (294/372) | 85% (434/513) |
Long passes |
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37% (19/51) | 53% (31/59) |
Passes in final third |
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59% (44/74) | 74% (133/180) |
Crosses |
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28% (5/18) | 25% (3/12) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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0.89 | 2.62 |
Throw-ins |
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21 | 22 |
Fouls |
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14 | 11 |
Tackles |
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70% (16/23) | 63% (10/16) |
Duels won |
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54 | 46 |
Clearances |
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31 | 22 |
Interceptions |
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12 | 12 |
Errors leading to shot |
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2 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
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1 | 1 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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7 | 1 |
xGOT faced |
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4.52 | 1.35 |
Goals prevented |
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1.52 | -0.65 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 28', 0 - 1, Gnabry S. ⚽, Kane H. (A),
- 31', Gouweleeuw J. 🟨,
- 39', Wolf M. ↓, Rexhbecaj E. ↑,
- 45+4', 0 - 2, Diaz L. ⚽, Laimer K. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 48', 0 - 3, Olise M. ⚽, Kane H. (A),
- 53', 1 - 3, Jakic K. ⚽, Fellhauer R. (A),
- 60', Laimer K. 🟨,
- 60', Olise M. 🟨,
- 64', Saad E. ↓, Tietz P. ↑,
- 64', Giannoulis D. ↓, Kade A. ↑,
- 70', Goretzka L. ↓, Pavlovic A. ↑,
- 71', Laimer K. ↓, Boey S. ↑,
- 76', 2 - 3, Komur M. ⚽, Jakic K. (A),
- 86', Schlotterbeck K. 🟨,
- 86', Gnabry S. ↓, Guerreiro R. ↑,
- 90', Massengo H. ↓, Banks N. ↑,
- 90+6', Diaz L. 🟨,
- 90+7', Boey S. 🟨,
- 90+8', Zesiger C. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Augsburg 10.4% | Draw 15.9% | Bayern Munich 73.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Augsburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)Bayern Munich has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Augsburg than the current prediction. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayern Munich than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
Augsburg - Bayern Munich Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
9.26 ↑ (7.77) |
6 ↑ (5.52) |
1.3 ↓ (1.35) |
4.5% (5.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Augsburg - Bayern Munich?
Users Predictions:
33 users predict this event. Augsburg will win (votes: 3 - 9.1%). Bayern will win (votes: 26 - 78.8%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 12.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bayern: 64.9% – 92.7%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 10 high ROI users predict this event. Augsburg (votes: 2 - 20%). Bayern (votes: 6 - 60%). Tie (votes: 2 - 20%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Augsburg won 0.
- In recent matches, Augsburg has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Bayern is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Augsburg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Bayern is the clear favorite.
- There will not play in Augsburg: Claude-Maurice A.
(Ankle Injury)
Essende S.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Bayern: Bischof T.
(Surgery)
Davies A.
(Knee Injury)
Ito H.
(Foot Injury)
Musiala J.
(Broken calfbone)
- There are questionable in Augsburg: Bauer M.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Augsburg won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 16 matches, and goals 22:57. (average 1.1:2.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Augsburg won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 14:25. (average 1.4:2.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Augsburg won against Bayern Munich?
Augsburg has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bayern Munich won against Augsburg?
Bayern Munich has won 6 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Augsburg - Bayern Munich were as follows:
04.04.2025
Augsburg
-
Bayern Munich
1:3
22.11.2024
Bayern Munich
-
Augsburg
3:0
27.01.2024
Augsburg
-
Bayern Munich
2:3
27.08.2023
Bayern Munich
-
Augsburg
3:1
11.03.2023
Bayern Munich
-
Augsburg
5:3
Latest results of Augsburg
Latest results of Bayern Munich
German Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Bayern Munich | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14:2 | 12 | 9 |
2 | Dortmund | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8:3 | 5 | 7 |
3 | FC Koln | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8:4 | 4 | 7 |
4 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 6 |
5 | Hoffenheim | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 6 |
6 | RB Leipzig | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:6 | -3 | 6 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7:5 | 2 | 5 |
8 | St. Pauli | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:3 | 2 | 4 |
9 | Bayer Leverkusen | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 4 |
10 | Augsburg | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 3 |
11 | Stuttgart | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 3 |
12 | Freiburg | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:8 | -3 | 3 |
13 | Union Berlin | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:8 | -4 | 3 |
14 | B. Monchengladbach | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 1 |
15 | Mainz | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
16 | Werder Bremen | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4:7 | -3 | 1 |
17 | Hamburger SV | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0:7 | -7 | 1 |
18 | Heidenheim | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:7 | -6 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga