Augsburg vs Bayern Munich – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German Bundesliga Augsburg - Bayern Munich
Result
1:3
04/04/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga - Round 28
  • Referee: Jollenbeck M. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaNew World Sport 1, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football
albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 2
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
austriaAustriaDAZN, Sky Go Austria
belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1, Play Sports 1
brazilBrazilCanais Globo, Canal GOAT, Claro TV+, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 3
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3
denmarkDenmarkTV3 MAX, Viaplay
europeEuropeSetanta Sports 1 Baltic
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay, V Sport 2
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 9, Free, New World TV
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 1
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch
greeceGreeceNova Sports 3
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 2, Now Player
hungaryHungaryArena 4, Net4+
icelandIcelandViaplay
indiaIndiaJioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2, Vision+
indonesiaIndonesiaRCTI+
israelIsraelSport 1
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Arena
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
maldivesMaldivesMedianet
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 5
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaFlow Sports App Caribbean, Flowsports.co Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayViaplay, V Sport 1
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
polandPolandEleven Sports 1, Viaplay
portugalPortugalDAZN 1
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4, Prima TV
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 3, SportKlub 3
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 3
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaSport TV1
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Premium
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
taiwanTaiwanELTA Sports 1
thailandThailandAIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, Tivibu Spor 1
ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Mix, Sky Sports Mix
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamON Plus
worldWorldDisney+, Onefootball, Setanta Sports 1 Eurasia

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.332.38
Ball Possession
30%70%
Total shots
619
Shots on target
37
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
24
Passes
76% (218/285)89% (611/684)
Yellow Cards
40
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.332.38
xG on target (xGOT)
0.481.80
Total shots
619
Shots on target
37
Shots off target
28
Blocked Shots
14
Shots inside the Box
614
Shots outside the Box
05
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
24
Touches in opposition box
1349
Through passes
50% (1/2)0% (0/1)
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
88
Passes
76% (218/285)89% (611/684)
Long passes
50% (25/50)58% (31/53)
Passes in final third
60% (43/72)84% (198/235)
Crosses
9% (1/11)41% (7/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.422.18
Fouls
88
Tackles
38% (5/13)56% (9/16)
Duels won
3837
Clearances Total
2412
Interceptions
155
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
42
xGOT faced
1.800.48
Goals prevented
-0.20-0.52

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 30', 1 - 0, Giannoulis D. , Gouweleeuw J. (A),
  • 32', Zesiger C. 🟨,
  • 42', 1 - 1, Musiala J. , Sane L. (A),
  • 45+1', Claude-Maurice A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 54', Musiala J. , Muller T. ,
  • 59', Zesiger C. 🟨,
  • 60', 1 - 2, Kane H. , Olise M. (A),
  • 61', Jensen F. , Schlotterbeck K. ,
  • 61', Claude-Maurice A. , Rexhbecaj E. ,
  • 67', Olise M. , Gnabry S. ,
  • 74', Essende S. , Tietz P. ,
  • 81', Onyeka F. , Berisha M. ,
  • 81', Wolf M. , Komur M. ,
  • 84', Gouweleeuw J. 🟨,
  • 90+3', 1 - 3, Matsima C. (Own goal),
  • 90+4', Kane H. , Vidovic G. ,
  • 90+4', Sane L. , Guerreiro R. ,

Chances of winning


Augsburg
12.4%
Draw
19.6%
Bayern Munich
68%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
11.9% 19.6% 68.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.5% 20.3% 70.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Augsburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • Bayern Munich has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Augsburg than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayern Munich than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
  • Augsburg - Bayern Munich Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    7.74
    (8.15)
    4.88
    (4.94)
    1.41
    (1.42)
    4.3%
    (3.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Augsburg - Bayern Munich?
  • Users Predictions: 64 users predict this event. Augsburg will win (votes: 9 - 14.1%). Bayern will win (votes: 51 - 79.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 6.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Bayern: 69.8%89.6%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +1.5 - Bayern (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Augsburg will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 8 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • Bayern is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Augsburg won 0.
    • Now both teams are in good shape.
    • In this match Bayern is indisputable favorite.
    • There will not play in Bayern: Buchmann T. (Shoulder Injury) Coman K. (Thigh Injury) Davies A. (Knee Injury) Ito H. (Foot Injury) Neuer M. (Calf Injury) Pavlovic A. (Illness) Upamecano D. (Knee Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Augsburg won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 16 matches and goals 22:57 (average 1.1:2.9).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Augsburg won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 14:25 (average 1.4:2.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Augsburg - Bayern Munich were as follows:
    22.11.2024 Bayern Munich - Augsburg 3:0
    27.01.2024 Augsburg - Bayern Munich 2:3
    27.08.2023 Bayern Munich - Augsburg 3:1
    11.03.2023 Bayern Munich - Augsburg 5:3
    19.10.2022 Augsburg - Bayern Munich 2:5
    Latest results of Augsburg
    29.03.2025 Hoffenheim - Augsburg 1:1
    15.03.2025 Augsburg - Wolfsburg 1:0
    02.03.2025 Augsburg - Freiburg 0:0
    Latest results of Bayern Munich
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Union Berlin00000:000
    2Eintracht Frankfurt00000:000
    3Bayern Munich00000:000
    4Bayer Leverkusen00000:000
    5Werder Bremen00000:000
    6Hamburger SV00000:000
    7Wolfsburg00000:000
    8Dortmund00000:000
    9B. Monchengladbach00000:000
    10Hoffenheim00000:000
    11FC Koln00000:000
    12Mainz00000:000
    13Freiburg00000:000
    14St. Pauli00000:000
    15Augsburg00000:000
    16Stuttgart00000:000
    17Heidenheim00000:000
    18RB Leipzig00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga