Result
1:3
04/04/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Bundesliga - Round 28
- Referee: Jollenbeck M. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Africa | New World Sport 1, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football |
Albania | SuperSport 2 |
Argentina | Disney+ |
Armenia | Fast Sports |
Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD |
Australia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
Austria | DAZN, Sky Go Austria |
Belgium | DAZN 1, Play Sports 1 |
Brazil | Canais Globo, Canal GOAT, Claro TV+, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Bulgaria | Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra |
Canada | DAZN Canada |
Chile | Disney+ |
China | ZhiBo8 |
Colombia | Disney+ |
Croatia | SportKlub 3 |
Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go |
Czech-republic | Nova Sport 3 |
Denmark | TV3 MAX, Viaplay |
Europe | Setanta Sports 1 Baltic |
Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay, V Sport 2 |
France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 9, Free, New World TV |
Georgia | Setanta Sports 1 |
Germany | DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch |
Greece | Nova Sports 3 |
Hong-kong | beIN Sports 2, Now Player |
Hungary | Arena 4, Net4+ |
Iceland | Viaplay |
India | JioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2, Vision+ |
Indonesia | RCTI+ |
Israel | Sport 1 |
Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Arena |
Laos | beIN Connect |
Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka |
Maldives | Medianet |
Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 5 |
Mexico | Sky Sport |
Netherlands | Viaplay |
New-zealand | beIN Connect |
North-central-america | Flow Sports App Caribbean, Flowsports.co Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte |
North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
Norway | Viaplay, V Sport 1 |
Pakistan | Tapmad |
Peru | Disney+ |
Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 |
Poland | Eleven Sports 1, Viaplay |
Portugal | DAZN 1 |
Romania | Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4, Prima TV |
Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
Serbia | Arena Premium 3, SportKlub 3 |
Singapore | beIN Sports 3 |
Slovakia | Voyo |
Slovenia | Sport TV1 |
South-korea | Coupang Play |
Spain | DAZN Espana |
Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Premium |
Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
Taiwan | ELTA Sports 1 |
Thailand | AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 |
Turkey | beIN Connect, Tivibu Spor 1 |
Ukraine | Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+ |
United-kingdom | Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Mix, Sky Sports Mix |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
Vietnam | ON Plus |
World | Disney+, Onefootball, Setanta Sports 1 Eurasia |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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0.33 | 2.38 |
Ball Possession |
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30% | 70% |
Total shots |
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6 | 19 |
Shots on target |
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3 | 7 |
Big Chances |
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1 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
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2 | 4 |
Passes |
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76% (218/285) | 89% (611/684) |
Yellow Cards |
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4 | 0 |
Red Cards |
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1 | 0 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
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0.33 | 2.38 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
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0.48 | 1.80 |
Total shots |
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6 | 19 |
Shots on target |
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3 | 7 |
Shots off target |
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2 | 8 |
Blocked Shots |
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1 | 4 |
Shots inside the Box |
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6 | 14 |
Shots outside the Box |
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0 | 5 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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0 | 1 |
Headed Goals |
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0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
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1 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
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2 | 4 |
Touches in opposition box |
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13 | 49 |
Through passes |
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50% (1/2) | 0% (0/1) |
Offsides |
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0 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
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8 | 8 |
Passes |
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76% (218/285) | 89% (611/684) |
Long passes |
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50% (25/50) | 58% (31/53) |
Passes in final third |
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60% (43/72) | 84% (198/235) |
Crosses |
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9% (1/11) | 41% (7/17) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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0.42 | 2.18 |
Fouls |
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8 | 8 |
Tackles |
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38% (5/13) | 56% (9/16) |
Duels won |
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38 | 37 |
Clearances Total |
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24 | 12 |
Interceptions |
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15 | 5 |
Errors leading to shot |
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0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
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0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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4 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
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1.80 | 0.48 |
Goals prevented |
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-0.20 | -0.52 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 30', 1 - 0, Giannoulis D. ⚽, Gouweleeuw J. (A),
- 32', Zesiger C. 🟨,
- 42', 1 - 1, Musiala J. ⚽, Sane L. (A),
- 45+1', Claude-Maurice A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 54', Musiala J. ↓, Muller T. ↑,
- 59', Zesiger C. 🟨,
- 60', 1 - 2, Kane H. ⚽, Olise M. (A),
- 61', Jensen F. ↓, Schlotterbeck K. ↑,
- 61', Claude-Maurice A. ↓, Rexhbecaj E. ↑,
- 67', Olise M. ↓, Gnabry S. ↑,
- 74', Essende S. ↓, Tietz P. ↑,
- 81', Onyeka F. ↓, Berisha M. ↑,
- 81', Wolf M. ↓, Komur M. ↑,
- 84', Gouweleeuw J. 🟨,
- 90+3', 1 - 3, Matsima C. (Own goal),
- 90+4', Kane H. ↓, Vidovic G. ↑,
- 90+4', Sane L. ↓, Guerreiro R. ↑,
Chances of winning
Augsburg 12.4% | Draw 19.6% | Bayern Munich 68% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Augsburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)Bayern Munich has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Augsburg than the current prediction. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayern Munich than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
Augsburg - Bayern Munich Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
7.74 ↓ (8.15) |
4.88 ↓ (4.94) |
1.41 ↓ (1.42) |
4.3% (3.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Augsburg - Bayern Munich?
Users Predictions:
64 users predict this event. Augsburg will win (votes: 9 - 14.1%). Bayern will win (votes: 51 - 79.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 6.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bayern: 69.8% – 89.6%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +1.5 - Bayern (votes: 3 - 100%).
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Augsburg will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 8 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
- Bayern is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Augsburg won 0.
- Now both teams are in good shape.
- In this match Bayern is indisputable favorite.
- There will not play in Bayern: Buchmann T.
(Shoulder Injury)
Coman K.
(Thigh Injury)
Davies A.
(Knee Injury)
Ito H.
(Foot Injury)
Neuer M.
(Calf Injury)
Pavlovic A.
(Illness)
Upamecano D.
(Knee Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Augsburg won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 16 matches and goals 22:57 (average 1.1:2.9).
- Including matches at home between the teams Augsburg won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 14:25 (average 1.4:2.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Augsburg won against Bayern Munich?
Augsburg has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bayern Munich won against Augsburg?
Bayern Munich has won 5 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Augsburg - Bayern Munich were as follows:
22.11.2024
Bayern Munich
-
Augsburg
3:0
27.01.2024
Augsburg
-
Bayern Munich
2:3
27.08.2023
Bayern Munich
-
Augsburg
3:1
11.03.2023
Bayern Munich
-
Augsburg
5:3
19.10.2022
Augsburg
-
Bayern Munich
2:5
Latest results of Augsburg
Latest results of Bayern Munich
German Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Union Berlin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Bayern Munich | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Bayer Leverkusen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Werder Bremen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Hamburger SV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Dortmund | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | B. Monchengladbach | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Hoffenheim | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | FC Koln | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Mainz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Freiburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | St. Pauli | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Augsburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Stuttgart | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Heidenheim | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | RB Leipzig | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga