RB Leipzig vs Augsburg – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German Bundesliga
Result
2:1
07/03/2026 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga - Round 25
  • Referee: Petersen M. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 2
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
brazilBrazilCanal GOAT
bulgariaBulgariaPlay Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada, OneSoccer
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports 6
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 3, M Plus Live
hungaryHungaryArena 4
icelandIcelandViaplay
indiaIndiaSony LIV, Vision+
indonesiaIndonesiaK-Vision
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kazakhstanKazakhstanSetanta Sports
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 7
mexicoMexicoIzzi TV, Sky Sport
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, Viaplay, V Sport 3
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN SPORTS MAX
portugalPortugalDAZN 3, DAZN / App
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaMBC Shahid
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 3
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
slovakiaSlovakiaSport TV2
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 3
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, True Premier Football 5
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+
ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamTV 360
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.262.94
Ball possession
61%39%
Total shots
1716
Shots on target
85
Big chances
46
Corner kicks
68
Passes
86% (478/554)77% (263/341)
Yellow cards
02
Expected goals (xG)
2.262.94
xG on target (xGOT)
2.041.40
Total shots
1716
Shots on target
85
Shots off target
68
Blocked shots
33
Shots inside the box
1313
Shots outside the box
43
Hit the woodwork
11
Big chances
46
Corner kicks
68
Touches in opposition box
4227
Accurate through passes
12
Offsides
14
Free kicks
98
Passes
86% (478/554)77% (263/341)
Long passes
54% (26/48)49% (27/55)
Passes in final third
74% (147/199)67% (59/88)
Crosses
21% (6/29)38% (8/21)
Expected assists (xA)
1.681.45
Throw ins
1715
Fouls
89
Tackles
50% (4/8)69% (9/13)
Duels won
4440
Clearances
2236
Interceptions
34
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
47
xGOT faced
1.402.04
Goals prevented
0.401.04

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 23', Schlotterbeck K. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 39', 0 - 1, Fellhauer R. ⚽, Rieder F. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Komur M. ↓, Kade A. ↑,
  • 61', Nusa A. ↓, Bakayoko J. ↑,
  • 61', Gruda B. ↓, Banzuzi E. ↑,
  • 62', Banks N. 🟨,
  • 72', Fellhauer R. ↓, Wolf M. ↑,
  • 74', Romulo Cardoso ↓, Harder C. ↑,
  • 74', Baku R. ↓, Henrichs B. ↑,
  • 76', 1 - 1, Diomande Y. ⚽, Harder C. (A),
  • 77', Jakic K. ↓, Rexhbecaj E. ↑,
  • 78', Giannoulis D. 🟨,
  • 84', Banks N. ↓, Schnitzer T. ↑,
  • 85', Ribeiro R. ↓, Gregoritsch M. ↑,
  • 90+2', 2 - 1, Arthur Chaves (Own goal),
  • 90+5', Diomande Y. ↓, Gomis T. ↑,

Chances of winning


RB Leipzig
70.5%		Draw
17.6%		Augsburg
11.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
63% 19.9% 17.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.2% 18.7% 18.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • RB Leipzig has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in RB Leipzig's performance.
  • Augsburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Augsburg might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for RB Leipzig than the current prediction. (-11.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with RB Leipzig that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Augsburg than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Augsburg could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
    •

    RB Leipzig - Augsburg Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.36 ↓
    (1.51)    		 5.38 ↑
    (4.77)    		 8 ↑
    (5.57)    		 4.8%
    (5.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    What is the prediction for RB Leipzig - Augsburg?
  • Users Predictions: 32 users predict this event. RB Leipzig will win (votes: 23 - 71.9%). Augsburg will win (votes: 6 - 18.8%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 9.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for RB Leipzig: 56.3% – 87.5%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1.25 - RB Leipzig (1.84) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -2 - Augsburg (1.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.5 - Augsburg (7.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): RB Leipzig will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. RB Leipzig (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Augsburg (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: ) and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, RB Leipzig won 3.
    • In recent matches, RB Leipzig has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Augsburg is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • RB Leipzig may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, RB Leipzig is the obvious favorite.
    • There will not play in RB Leipzig: Gebel V. (Knee Injury) Gulacsi P. (Knee Injury) Nedeljkovic K. (Back Injury) Ouedraogo A. (Knee Injury) Schlager X. (Groin Injury)
    • There will not play in Augsburg: Gouweleeuw J. (Knee Injury) Keitel Y. (Knee Injury) Matsima C. (Muscle Injury) Ogundu U. (Ankle Injury) Zesiger C. (Yellow Cards)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, RB Leipzig won 12 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 44:15. (average 2.2:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, RB Leipzig won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 21:4. (average 2.6:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between RB Leipzig - Augsburg were as follows:
    25.10.2025 Augsburg - RB Leipzig 0:6
    14.02.2025 Augsburg - RB Leipzig 0:0
    28.09.2024 RB Leipzig - Augsburg 4:0
    10.02.2024 Augsburg - RB Leipzig 2:2
    16.09.2023 RB Leipzig - Augsburg 3:0
    Latest results of RB Leipzig
    01.03.2026 Hamburger SV - RB Leipzig 1:2 ✺
    21.02.2026 RB Leipzig - Borussia Dortmund 2:2 ✺
    15.02.2026 RB Leipzig - Wolfsburg 2:2 ✺
    11.02.2026 Bayern Munich - RB Leipzig 2:0 ✺
    08.02.2026 Köln - RB Leipzig 1:2 ✺
    Latest results of Augsburg
    27.02.2026 Augsburg - Köln 2:0 ✺
    21.02.2026 Wolfsburg - Augsburg 2:3 ✺
    15.02.2026 Augsburg - Heidenheim 1:0 ✺
    07.02.2026 Mainz - Augsburg 2:0 ✺
    31.01.2026 Augsburg - St. Pauli 2:1 ✺
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich27224197:257270
    2Dortmund27187258:283061
    3Stuttgart27165656:362053
    4RB Leipzig27155753:351850
    5Hoffenheim27155754:391550
    6Bayer Leverkusen27137752:361646
    7Eintracht Frankfurt27108950:51-138
    8Freiburg271071039:44-537
    9Union Berlin27871231:46-1531
    10Augsburg27941433:50-1731
    11Mainz27791133:42-930
    12Hamburger SV27791131:40-930
    13B. Monchengladbach27781233:46-1329
    14Werder Bremen27771330:47-1728
    15FC Koln27681338:47-926
    16St. Pauli27661524:44-2024
    17Wolfsburg27561635:57-2221
    18Heidenheim27361827:61-3415

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

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