Result
2:1
31/01/2026 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Bundesliga - Round 20
- Referee: Stegemann S. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Focus |
 Albania | Tring Sport 6 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Australia | beIN Connect |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3 |
 Bulgaria | Play Diema Xtra |
 Canada | DAZN Canada, OneSoccer |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | SportKlub 8 |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Europe | Go3 Sport 2 Baltic |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, WOW |
 Greece | Nova Sports Extra 2 |
 Hong-kong | beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 India | Vision+ |
 Indonesia | K-Vision |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Mexico | Sky Sport |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 North-central-america | Sky Sports Norte |
 Norway | TV2 Play, Viaplay |
 Pakistan | Tapmad |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Portugal | DAZN / App |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Saudi-arabia | MBC Shahid |
 Singapore | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | Sky Sport Bundesliga 3 |
 Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Turkey | S Sport+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | TV 360 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.35 | 2.42 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (324/414) | 82% (427/523) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.35 | 2.42 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.67 | 1.04 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 28 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (324/414) | 82% (427/523) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (32/64) | 37% (18/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (54/85) | 55% (74/135) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (4/16) | 19% (3/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.81 | 1.47 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 21 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (8/12) | 60% (12/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 33 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.04 | 1.67 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.04 | -0.33 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 29', Wolf M. 🟨,
- 31', Baum M. 🟨,
- 32', 0 - 1, Sinani D. (Penalty Awarded),
- 41', 1 - 1, Gregoritsch M. ⚽, Claude-Maurice A. (A),
- 44', Fellhauer R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Arthur Chaves ↓, Keitel Y. ↑,
- 59', 2 - 1, Gregoritsch M. ⚽, Claude-Maurice A. (A),
- 60', Rieder F. ↓, Kade A. ↑,
- 63', Sinani D. ↓, Kaars M. ↑,
- 63', Jones R.J. ↓, Pereira Lage M. ↑,
- 69', Banks N. 🟨,
- 71', Fujita J. ↓, Irvine J. ↑,
- 77', Rexhbecaj E. ↓, Zesiger C. ↑,
- 77', Wolf M. ↓, Pedersen M. ↑,
- 84', Saliakas M. ↓, Ceesay A. ↑,
- 84', Gregoritsch M. ↓, Essende S. ↑,
- 90+1', Sands J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Augsburg
45.3% | Draw
31% | St. Pauli
23.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Augsburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)St. Pauli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Augsburg than the current prediction. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Pauli than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
Augsburg - St. Pauli Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.12 ↑
(1.98) |
3.09 ↓
(3.39) |
4.02 ↑
(3.97) |
4.4%
(5.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Augsburg - St. Pauli?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.5 - St. Pauli (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Augsburg (1.22) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Users Predictions:
Augsburg will win
(23 of 29 users predict this - 79.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.57% – 94.05%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Augsburg will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 12 high ROI users predict this event. Augsburg (votes: 11 - 91.7%). St. Pauli (votes: 1 - 8.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga).
- Recent performances by Augsburg have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- St. Pauli's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Augsburg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Augsburg is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Augsburg: Gouweleeuw J.
(Knee Injury)
Matsima C.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in St. Pauli: Hountondji A.
(Ankle Injury)
Metcalfe C.
(Knee Injury)
Nemeth D.
(Groin Injury)
- There are questionable in Augsburg: Jakic K.
(Calf Injury)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Augsburg won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.7:1.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Augsburg won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Augsburg won against St. Pauli?
Augsburg has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has St. Pauli won against Augsburg?
St. Pauli has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Augsburg - St. Pauli were as follows:
14.09.2025
St. Pauli
-
Augsburg
2:1
01.02.2025
St. Pauli
-
Augsburg
1:1
15.09.2024
Augsburg
-
St. Pauli
3:1
Latest results of Augsburg
Latest results of St. Pauli
German Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 27 | 22 | 4 | 1 | 97:25 | 72 | 70 |
| 2 | Dortmund | 27 | 18 | 7 | 2 | 58:28 | 30 | 61 |
| 3 | Stuttgart | 27 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 56:36 | 20 | 53 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 53:35 | 18 | 50 |
| 5 | Hoffenheim | 27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 54:39 | 15 | 50 |
| 6 | Bayer Leverkusen | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 52:36 | 16 | 46 |
| 7 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 50:51 | -1 | 38 |
| 8 | Freiburg | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 39:44 | -5 | 37 |
| 9 | Union Berlin | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 31:46 | -15 | 31 |
| 10 | Augsburg | 27 | 9 | 4 | 14 | 33:50 | -17 | 31 |
| 11 | Mainz | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 33:42 | -9 | 30 |
| 12 | Hamburger SV | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 31:40 | -9 | 30 |
| 13 | B. Monchengladbach | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 33:46 | -13 | 29 |
| 14 | Werder Bremen | 27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 30:47 | -17 | 28 |
| 15 | FC Koln | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 38:47 | -9 | 26 |
| 16 | St. Pauli | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 24:44 | -20 | 24 |
| 17 | Wolfsburg | 27 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 35:57 | -22 | 21 |
| 18 | Heidenheim | 27 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 27:61 | -34 | 15 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga
