Result
2:3
21/02/2026 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Bundesliga - Round 23
- Referee: Schlager D. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Africa | StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Focus |
Albania | Tring Sport 5 |
Argentina | Disney+ |
Australia | beIN Connect |
Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4 |
Bulgaria | Play Diema Xtra |
Canada | DAZN Canada, OneSoccer |
Chile | Disney+ |
China | Migu, QQ Sports |
Colombia | Disney+ |
Denmark | Viaplay |
Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay |
France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free |
Germany | DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, WOW |
Greece | Nova Sports Extra 1 |
Hong-kong | beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live |
Iceland | Viaplay |
India | Sony LIV, Vision+ |
Indonesia | K-Vision |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Laos | beIN Connect |
Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
Mexico | Izzi TV, Sky Sport |
Netherlands | Viaplay |
New-zealand | beIN Connect |
North-central-america | Sky Sports Norte |
North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
Norway | TV2 Play, Viaplay |
Pakistan | Tapmad |
Peru | Disney+ |
Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
Portugal | DAZN / App |
Russia | Okko Sport |
Saudi-arabia | MBC Shahid |
Serbia | Arena Sport 5 |
Singapore | beIN SPORTS MAX |
South-korea | Coupang Play |
Spain | DAZN Espana |
Sweden | Viaplay |
Switzerland | Sky Sport Bundesliga 4 |
Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
Turkey | S Sport+ |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
Vietnam | TV 360 |
World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.59 | 1.79 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (399/458) | 84% (374/447) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.59 | 1.79 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.44 | 1.99 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (399/458) | 84% (374/447) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (18/42) | 55% (36/65) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (61/92) | 79% (129/163) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (5/15) | 18% (6/33) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.03 | 1.22 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 13 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 85% (11/13) | 79% (11/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.99 | 1.44 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.01 | -0.56 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 17', Majer L. 🟨,
- 41', 1 - 0, Gerhardt Y. ⚽, Eriksen C. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 3)
- 50', Ribeiro R. 🟨,
- 55', Schlotterbeck K. 🟨,
- 58', Komur M. ↓, Rieder F. ↑,
- 59', 1 - 1, Ribeiro R. ⚽, Claude-Maurice A. (A),
- 64', Svanberg M. 🟨,
- 65', Majer L. ↓, Shiogai K. ↑,
- 65', Svanberg M. ↓, Paredes K. ↑,
- 68', Massengo H. ↓, Rexhbecaj E. ↑,
- 69', Giannoulis D. ↓, Wolf M. ↑,
- 70', 2 - 1, Shiogai K. ⚽, Amoura M. (A),
- 81', Ribeiro R. ↓, Gregoritsch M. ↑,
- 81', Fellhauer R. ↓, Ogundu U. ↑,
- 82', Amoura M. ↓, Pejcinovic D. ↑,
- 86', Jakic K. 🟨,
- 87', 2 - 2, Gregoritsch M. (Penalty Awarded),
- 90+3', 2 - 3, Rexhbecaj E. ⚽, Claude-Maurice A. (A),
- 90+5', Kumbedi S. ↓, Burger J. ↑,
- 90+5', Vavro D. ↓, Adjetey J. ↑,
- 90+8', Gregoritsch M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Wolfsburg 43.4% | Draw 28.3% | Augsburg 28.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Wolfsburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)Augsburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wolfsburg than the current prediction. (+5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Augsburg than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
Wolfsburg - Augsburg Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.2 ↑ (2.06) |
3.36 ↑ (3.24) |
3.4 ↓ (3.88) |
4.7% (5.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Wolfsburg - Augsburg?
Users Predictions:
30 users predict this event. Wolfsburg will win (votes: 10 - 33.3%). Augsburg will win (votes: 11 - 36.7%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Augsburg: 19.5% – 53.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Augsburg (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - Augsburg (2.37) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Augsburg (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.25 - Wolfsburg (1.88) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Wolfsburg (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Augsburg (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wolfsburg won 0.
- Wolfsburg is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Augsburg is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Wolfsburg will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Wolfsburg: Cleiton
(Ankle Injury)
Dardai B.
(Knee Injury)
Fischer K.
(Thigh Injury)
Lindstrom J.
(Illness)
Maehle J.
(Shoulder Injury)
Rogerio
(Muscle Injury)
Seelt J.
(Illness)
Wimmer P.
(Muscle Injury)
Wind J.
(Thigh Injury)
- There will not play in Augsburg: Gouweleeuw J.
(Knee Injury)
Matsima C.
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Wolfsburg won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 30:26. (average 1.5:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Wolfsburg won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:9. (average 1.6:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Wolfsburg won against Augsburg?
Wolfsburg has won 1 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Augsburg won against Wolfsburg?
Augsburg has won 5 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Wolfsburg - Augsburg were as follows:
04.10.2025
Augsburg
-
Wolfsburg
3:1
15.03.2025
Augsburg
-
Wolfsburg
1:0
02.11.2024
Wolfsburg
-
Augsburg
1:1
16.03.2024
Wolfsburg
-
Augsburg
1:3
28.10.2023
Augsburg
-
Wolfsburg
3:2
Latest results of Wolfsburg
Latest results of Augsburg
German Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 24 | 20 | 3 | 1 | 88:23 | 65 | 63 |
| 2 | Dortmund | 24 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 51:25 | 26 | 52 |
| 3 | Hoffenheim | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 49:31 | 18 | 46 |
| 4 | Stuttgart | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 48:32 | 16 | 46 |
| 5 | RB Leipzig | 24 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 46:33 | 13 | 44 |
| 6 | Bayer Leverkusen | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 44:29 | 15 | 40 |
| 7 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 48:49 | -1 | 34 |
| 8 | Freiburg | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 34:39 | -5 | 33 |
| 9 | Augsburg | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 30:41 | -11 | 31 |
| 10 | Union Berlin | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 29:38 | -9 | 28 |
| 11 | Hamburger SV | 23 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 26:34 | -8 | 26 |
| 12 | B. Monchengladbach | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 27:39 | -12 | 25 |
| 13 | FC Koln | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 33:41 | -8 | 24 |
| 14 | Mainz | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 27:39 | -12 | 23 |
| 15 | St. Pauli | 24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 23:40 | -17 | 23 |
| 16 | Werder Bremen | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 25:44 | -19 | 22 |
| 17 | Wolfsburg | 24 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 33:53 | -20 | 20 |
| 18 | Heidenheim | 24 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 22:53 | -31 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga