Augsburg vs Wolfsburg – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German Bundesliga Augsburg - Wolfsburg
Result
3:1
04/10/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga - Round 6
  • Referee: Brand B. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaStarTimes App, Startimes Sports Focus
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 5
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, beIN Connect
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports
colombiaColombiaDisney+
denmarkDenmarkTV3 Sport, Viaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 8, Free
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports 6
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live
icelandIcelandViaplay
indiaIndiaVision+
indonesiaIndonesiaK-Vision
japanJapanDAZN Japan
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN SPORTS MAX
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
norwayNorwayViaplay
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaShahid
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 4
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamTV 360
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.691.11
Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
1014
Shots on target
54
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
105
Passes
77% (286/372)82% (355/432)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
1.691.11
xG on target (xGOT)
3.161.24
Total shots
1014
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
37
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
810
Shots outside the Box
24
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
105
Touches in opposition box
1927
Accurate through passes
02
Offsides
52
Free Kicks
79
Passes
77% (286/372)82% (355/432)
Long passes
44% (26/59)49% (28/57)
Passes in final third
62% (84/136)77% (80/104)
Crosses
14% (3/21)31% (5/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.911.20
Throw-ins
2318
Fouls
97
Tackles
50% (5/10)67% (16/24)
Duels won
3346
Clearances
1929
Interceptions
615
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
1.243.16
Goals prevented
0.240.16

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 3', 1 - 0, Banks N. , Komur M. (A),
  • 6', Banks N. 🟨,
  • 39', Jenz M. 🟨,
  • 41', Giannoulis D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Pejcinovic D. , Skov Olsen A. ,
  • 46', Vini Souza , Eriksen C. ,
  • 51', 2 - 0, Komur M. , Matsima C. (A),
  • 63', 3 - 0, Fellhauer R. , Rieder F. (A),
  • 65', 3 - 1, Daghim A. , Amoura M. (A),
  • 71', Giannoulis D. , Kade A. ,
  • 78', Svanberg M. , Majer L. ,
  • 79', Saad E. , Essende S. ,
  • 84', Banks N. , Zesiger C. ,

Chances of winning


Augsburg
39.4%
Draw
27.9%
Wolfsburg
32.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.9% 26.6% 37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4% 27% 36.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Augsburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
  • Wolfsburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Augsburg than the current prediction. (-3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wolfsburg than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
  • Augsburg - Wolfsburg Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.54
    (2.66)
    3.6
    (3.58)
    3.11
    (2.55)
    -0.7%
    (4.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Augsburg - Wolfsburg?
  • Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Augsburg will win (votes: 4 - 14.8%). Wolfsburg will win (votes: 20 - 74.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 11.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Wolfsburg: 57.6%90.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Wolfsburg will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Bundesliga (Relegation) and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Augsburg won 3.
    • Augsburg has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Wolfsburg has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Augsburg: Gouweleeuw J. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Wolfsburg: Angely M. (Injury) Lindstrom J. (Groin Injury) Paredes K. (Foot Injury) Rogerio (Muscle Injury) Vavro D. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Augsburg: Kade A. (Ankle Injury) Maier A. (Illness)
    • There are questionable in Wolfsburg: Skov Olsen A. (Injury) Wind J. (Calf Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Augsburg won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 23:31. (average 1.2:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Augsburg won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:17. (average 1.3:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Augsburg - Wolfsburg were as follows:
    15.03.2025 Augsburg - Wolfsburg 1:0
    02.11.2024 Wolfsburg - Augsburg 1:1
    16.03.2024 Wolfsburg - Augsburg 1:3
    28.10.2023 Augsburg - Wolfsburg 3:2
    01.04.2023 Wolfsburg - Augsburg 2:2
    Latest results of Augsburg
    27.09.2025 Heidenheim - Augsburg 2:1
    20.09.2025 Augsburg - Mainz 1:4
    14.09.2025 St. Pauli - Augsburg 2:1
    03.09.2025 Augsburg - Greuther Fürth 1:2
    30.08.2025 Augsburg - Bayern Munich 2:3
    Latest results of Wolfsburg
    27.09.2025 Wolfsburg - RB Leipzig 0:1
    13.09.2025 Wolfsburg - Köln 3:3
    31.08.2025 Wolfsburg - Mainz 1:1
    23.08.2025 Heidenheim - Wolfsburg 1:3
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich770027:42321
    2RB Leipzig751110:9116
    3Stuttgart750211:6515
    4Dortmund742113:6714
    5Bayer Leverkusen742116:11514
    6FC Koln732212:10211
    7Eintracht Frankfurt731319:18110
    8Hoffenheim731312:12010
    9Union Berlin731311:14-310
    10Freiburg723211:1109
    11Hamburger SV72237:10-38
    12Werder Bremen722311:16-58
    13Augsburg721412:14-27
    14St. Pauli72148:12-47
    15Wolfsburg71248:13-55
    16Mainz71158:14-64
    17Heidenheim71156:13-74
    18B. Monchengladbach70346:15-93

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga