Result
1:2
04/03/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Thionville, hard - 1/16-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 59% | 76% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 76% (35/46) | 76% (39/51) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 34% (11/32) | 69% (11/16) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 0% (0/3) | 0% (0/2) |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 24% (12/51) | 24% (11/46) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 31% (5/16) | 66% (21/32) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 100% (2/2) | 100% (3/3) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 22 | 22 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 31 | 19 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 67% (6/9) | 67% (8/12) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 61% (46/76) | 75% (50/67) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 25% (17/67) | 39% (30/76) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 44% (63/143) | 56% (80/143) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 1 | 9 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 77% (10/13) | 86% (12/14) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 14% (2/14) | 23% (3/13) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 44% (12/27) | 56% (15/27) |
Chances of winning
August Holmgren
39% | Keegan Smith
61% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
August Holmgren has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)Keegan Smith has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for August Holmgren than the current prediction. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Keegan Smith than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
August Holmgren - Keegan Smith Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.38 ↑
(2.24) |
|
1.56 ↓
(1.6) |
6.2%
(7.1%) | |
What is the prediction for August Holmgren - Keegan Smith?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Holmgren (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Holmgren is ranked ATP: 201. Smith is ranked ATP: 306.
- Holmgren is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Smith is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Holmgren may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.
- We predict that Smith will win today's game, with odds of 1.65.
- Recently, there has been no match between the players.
How many head-to-head matches has August Holmgren won against Keegan Smith?
August Holmgren has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Keegan Smith won against August Holmgren?
Keegan Smith has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between August Holmgren - Keegan Smith were as follows:
Latest results of August Holmgren
Latest results of Keegan Smith
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Gaston H. (1) | Glinka D. (RET.) | 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Holmgren A. | Smith K. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Sels J. (LL) | Kouame M. (WC) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Engel J. | Zeppieri G. (5) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Ofner S. (4) | Loffhagen G. (Alt) | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Cassone M. (Q) | Broom C. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Rodionov J. | Grenier H. (RET.) | 1 : 0 |
| 8 | Added D. (Alt) | Krumich M. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Blanchet U. (8) | Watanuki Y. (RET.) (Q) | 1 : 1 |
| 10 | Bertola R. (Alt) | Chidekh C. | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Herbert P. | Bailly G. A. (Alt) | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Paris T. (WC) | Virtanen O. (3) | 1 : 2 |
| 13 | Budkov Kjaer N. (6) | Molcan A. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Tabur C. (Alt) | Nishikori K. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 15 | Safiullin R. | Skatov T. | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Malige M. (WC) | Choinski J. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Gaston H. (1) | Smith K. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Kouame M. | Zeppieri G. (RET.) (5) | 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Ofner S. (4) | Cassone M. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Rodionov J. | Krumich M. | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Blanchet U. (8) | Chidekh C. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Herbert P. | Virtanen O. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Budkov Kjaer N. (6) | Nishikori K. | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Safiullin R. | Choinski J. (2) | 1 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Gaston H. (1) | Kouame M. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Ofner S. (4) | Rodionov J. | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Blanchet U. (8) | Virtanen O. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Budkov Kjaer N. (6) | Choinski J. (2) | 2 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Gaston H. (1) | Ofner S. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Virtanen O. (3) | Budkov Kjaer N. (6) | 1 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Ofner S. (4) | Budkov Kjaer N. (6) | 2 : 1 |
