Result
2:1
07/04/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/16-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 69% | 66% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 61% (58/95) | 65% (50/77) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 57% (24/42) | 44% (17/39) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 75% (9/12) | 64% (7/11) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 35% (27/77) | 39% (37/95) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 56% (22/39) | 43% (18/42) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 36% (4/11) | 25% (3/12) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 60% (82/137) | 58% (67/116) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 42% (49/116) | 40% (55/137) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 52% (131/253) | 48% (122/253) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 82% (14/17) | 75% (12/16) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 25% (4/16) | 18% (3/17) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 55% (18/33) | 45% (15/33) |
Chances of winning
August Holmgren
30.2% | Otto Virtanen
69.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
August Holmgren has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that August Holmgren's form might have worsened.Otto Virtanen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Otto Virtanen's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for August Holmgren than the current prediction. (+5.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for August Holmgren, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Otto Virtanen than the current prediction. (-5.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Otto Virtanen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
August Holmgren - Otto Virtanen Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.05 ↑
(2.33) |
|
1.34 ↓
(1.53) |
7.7%
(8.3%) | |
What is the prediction for August Holmgren - Otto Virtanen?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Virtanen will win (votes: 11 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Virtanen: 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Virtanen (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Holmgren is ranked ATP: 202. Virtanen is ranked ATP: 135.
- Recent matches Holmgren is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Virtanen is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Holmgren could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Virtanen will have a small advantage in this match.
- Recently, the players did not play each other.
How many head-to-head matches has August Holmgren won against Otto Virtanen?
August Holmgren has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Otto Virtanen won against August Holmgren?
Otto Virtanen has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between August Holmgren - Otto Virtanen were as follows:
Latest results of August Holmgren
Latest results of Otto Virtanen
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Coric B. (1) | Blockx A. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Rincon D. (Alt) | Piros Z. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Holmgren A. | Virtanen O. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Hardt N. (LL) | Royer V. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Harris B. (3) | Ofner S. | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Giustino L. (Q) | Gaubas V. | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Trungelliti M. | Merida Aguilar D. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Buse I. (Alt) | Cilic M. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Kotov P. (5) | Hassan B. | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Butvilas E. | Moro Canas A. | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Damas M. (WC) | Gombos N. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Boyer T. | Shevchenko A. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Carreno-Busta P. (6) | Paul J. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Hemery C. | Zapata Miralles B. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 15 | Taberner C. | Roca Batalla O. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Majchrzak K. | Dellien H. (2) | 2 : 0 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Coric B. (1) | Piros Z. | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Holmgren A. | Royer V. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Ofner S. | Gaubas V. | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Trungelliti M. | Cilic M. (8) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Kotov P. (5) | Moro Canas A. | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Gombos N. | Shevchenko A. (4) | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Carreno-Busta P. (6) | Hemery C. | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Taberner C. | Majchrzak K. | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Piros Z. (RET.) | Royer V. (7) | 0 : 0 |
| 2 | Gaubas V. | Cilic M. (8) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Kotov P. (5) | Gombos N. | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Carreno-Busta P. (6) | Majchrzak K. | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Royer V. (7) | Cilic M. (8) | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Gombos N. | Majchrzak K. | 1 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Cilic M. (8) | Majchrzak K. | 1 : 2 |
