August Holmgren vs Thomas Faurel – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
11/03/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cherbourg, hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
53
Double Faults
11
1st serve percentage
74%66%
1st serve points won
73% (45/62)61% (36/59)
2nd serve points won
45% (10/22)50% (15/30)
Break Points Saved
2/46/10
1st return points won
44% (26/59)29% (18/62)
2nd return points won
50% (15/30)55% (12/22)
Break Points Converted
4/102/4
Winners
3621
Unforced errors
4020
Net points won
75% (15/20)71% (10/14)
Service Points Won
65% (55/84)57% (51/89)
Return Points Won
43% (38/89)35% (29/84)
Total Points Won
54% (93/173)46% (80/173)
Last 10 balls
55
Match points saved
00
Service games won
86% (12/14)69% (9/13)
Return games won
31% (4/13)14% (2/14)
Total games won
59% (16/27)41% (11/27)

Chances of winning


August Holmgren
58.2%
Thomas Faurel
41.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
66.1% 33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70% 30%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • August Holmgren has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that August Holmgren's form might have worsened.
  • Thomas Faurel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Thomas Faurel's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for August Holmgren than the current prediction. (+11.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for August Holmgren, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thomas Faurel than the current prediction. (-11.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Thomas Faurel, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • August Holmgren - Thomas Faurel Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.6
    (1.4)

    2.24
    (2.74)
    7%
    (7.8%)
    What is the prediction for August Holmgren - Thomas Faurel?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Holmgren will win (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Holmgren (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Holmgren is ranked ATP: 201. Faurel is ranked ATP: 405.
    • Holmgren is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Faurel has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Faurel may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of August Holmgren
    Latest results of Thomas Faurel
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Budkov Kjaer N. (1)Bertola R.0 : 2
    2Holmgren A.Faurel T. (WC)2 : 1
    3Sels J.Blancaneaux G.0 : 2
    4Lokoli L. (WC)Gojo B. (8)0 : 2
    5Glinka D. (4)Added D.1 : 2
    6Krumich M.Cassone M.0 : 2
    7Smith K.Martineau M.1 : 2
    8Kotov P.Chidekh C. (6)2 : 1
    9Rodionov J. (5)Janvier M. (Q)2 : 1
    10Knaff A. (LL)Visker N. (Q)2 : 0
    11Onclin G.Gueymard Wayenburg S. (WC)2 : 0
    12Paris T.Poullain L. (Q)0 : 2
    13Tabur C. (7)Nishikori K.2 : 0
    14Ghibaudo A. (Q)Bailly G. A.2 : 1
    15Perot R. (Alt)Romano F. (Q)1 : 2
    16Brady P. (Q)Herbert P. (2)2 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Bertola R.Holmgren A.2 : 0
    2Blancaneaux G.Gojo B. (8)1 : 2
    3Added D.Cassone M.0 : 2
    4Martineau M.Kotov P.1 : 2
    5Rodionov J. (5)Knaff A.2 : 0
    6Onclin G.Poullain L.2 : 0
    7Tabur C. (7)Ghibaudo A.2 : 0
    8Romano F.Brady P.2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Bertola R.Gojo B. (8)0 : 2
    2Cassone M.Kotov P.0 : 2
    3Rodionov J. (5)Onclin G.2 : 0
    4Tabur C. (7)Romano F.1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Gojo B. (8)Kotov P.1 : 2
    2Rodionov J. (5)Romano F.1 : 2

    Final
    1Kotov P.Romano F.