Result
1:3
02/10/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Pacena - Round 8
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bolivia | Futbol Canal |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.36 | 0.48 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (257/329) | 86% (376/439) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.36 | 0.48 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 0.05 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 21 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (257/329) | 86% (376/439) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (30/59) | 60% (37/62) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (72/120) | 74% (106/143) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 36% (4/11) | 10% (1/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 0.18 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 21 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 79% (15/19) | 78% (7/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 32 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 9 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.05 | 0.67 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.95 | -0.33 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 14', Fabinho 🟥,
- 35', 1 - 0, Fernandez A. ⚽, Sejas C. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 46', Padilla C. ↓, Centella G. ↑,
- 67', 1 - 1, Villarroel M. (Pen),
- 71', Centella G. 🟨,
- 72', Viviani L. 🟨,
- 73', Sanchez A. ↓, Vidaurre I. ↑,
- 73', Fernandez A. ↓, Terrazas A. ↑,
- 77', Justiniano E. ↓, Becerra M. A. ↑,
- 80', 1 - 2, Sanchez H. (Own goal),
- 80', Amarilla A. 🟨,
- 85', Ballivian R. 🟨,
- 85', Villarroel M. 🟨,
- 89', Ballivian R. ↓, Blanco O. ↑,
- 90', Enoumba M. 🟨,
- 90+1', 1 - 3, Vadala G. ⚽, Abisab M. (A),
Chances of winning
Aurora
50.2% | Draw
25.2% | Blooming
24.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aurora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aurora's performance.Blooming has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aurora than the current prediction. (-5.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aurora that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Blooming than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
Aurora - Blooming Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.85 ↓
(2.05) |
3.68 ↑
(3.14) |
3.76 ↑
(3.4) |
7.9%
(10%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aurora won 3.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Aurora may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Aurora will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Aurora won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 25:26. (average 1.3:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Aurora won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 21:13. (average 1.9:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Aurora won against Blooming?
Aurora has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Blooming won against Aurora?
Blooming has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Aurora - Blooming were as follows:
13.08.2025
Aurora
-
Blooming
4:1
03.12.2024
Blooming
-
Aurora
1:1
08.08.2024
Aurora
-
Blooming
1:0
31.03.2024
Aurora
-
Blooming
4:2
28.03.2024
Blooming
-
Aurora
1:0
Latest results of Blooming
