Mictlán vs Aurora – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
11/03/2026 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Nacional - Clausura - Round 11

Match Stats

Ball possession
60%40%
Total shots
86
Shots on target
20
Corner kicks
29
Yellow cards
22
Total shots
86
Shots on target
20
Shots off target
66
Corner kicks
29

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 30', 1 - 0, Fajardo W. ,
  • 36', Folleco R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Gonzalez L. , Lovato N. ,
  • 46', Urias V. , Ticuru J. ,
  • 56', Soriano B. 🟨,
  • 58', Garcia A. 🟨,
  • 66', Lemus M. , Monroy E. ,
  • 69', 2 - 0, Rodriguez J. ,
  • 70', Ruiz D. , Ibarguen E. ,
  • 74', Folleco R. , Menendez B. ,
  • 78', 🟨,
  • 83', Rodriguez J. , Grijalva M. ,
  • 88', Mingorance P. , Almaraz E. ,

Chances of winning


Mictlán
47.1%
Draw
29.8%
Aurora
23.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.9% 27.5% 25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48% 28.2% 25%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mictlán has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • Aurora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mictlán than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aurora than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
  • Mictlán - Aurora Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.94
    (1.94)
    3.06
    (3.3)
    3.94
    (3.55)
    9.7%
    (10.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Mictlán - Aurora?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Mictlán will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Aurora will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Mictlán: 23.1%88.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Aurora (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Aurora may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Mictlán might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Mictlán won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 3:1.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Mictlán won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mictlán - Aurora were as follows:
    22.11.2025 Mictlán - Aurora 4:0
    22.10.2025 Aurora - Mictlán 3:2
    Latest results of Mictlán
    08.03.2026 Mictlán - Municipal 2:1
    01.03.2026 Xelajú - Mictlán 2:0
    26.02.2026 Deportivo Mixco - Mictlán 2:2
    22.02.2026 Mictlán - Marquense 2:1
    19.02.2026 Comunicaciones - Mictlán 2:1
    Latest results of Aurora
    08.03.2026 Aurora - Xelajú 0:0
    01.03.2026 Aurora - Deportivo Mixco 1:1
    25.02.2026 Marquense - Aurora 0:0
    22.02.2026 Aurora - Comunicaciones 2:0
    18.02.2026 Antigua GFC - Aurora 2:0
    Guatemala Liga Nacional Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Xelaju1575323:111226
    2Coban Imperial1575324:15926
    3Comunicaciones1581624:22225
    4Deportivo Mixco1565417:17023
    5Municipal1564522:18422
    6Antigua1556418:19-121
    7Mictlan1563616:18-221
    8Guastatoya1555517:16120
    9Marquense1553717:20-318
    10Deportivo Achuapa1543811:18-715
    11Aurora F.C1536612:21-915
    12Malacateco1534814:20-613

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